Free MLB Pick: Astros vs. Padres Odds
Looking for Houston Astros vs. San Diego Padres Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Astros taking on the Padres on Monday, September 16th, 2024 at PETCO Park, in San Diego, CA. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Astros Padres free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – Houston Astros vs San Diego Padres
(81-68) Houston Astros vs. San Diego Padres (85-65)
Date: Monday, September 16th
Time: 9:40 ET
Venue: PETCO Park San Diego, CA
Projected Starting Pitchers: Spencer Arrighetti vs. Yu Darvish
MLB Moneyline Odds: Astros +118 | Padres -139 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Astros +1.5 | Padres -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 8
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Astros vs. Padres Gameday
At 9:40 PM ET in San Diego, the Padres will host the Astros in an interleague matchup. The Padres are the favorites, with a money line of -139 compared to the Astros’ +118. The over/under line is set at 8 runs, with both the over and under carrying -110 odds.
Spencer Arrighetti will be on the mound for the Astros, while Yu Darvish will start for the Padres. The Astros are currently on a four-game winning streak and sit atop the AL West, while the Padres have won three in a row and are in second place in the NL West.
Houston Astros
The Astros are on the road today, taking on the Padres, having won four straight games. Currently, they lead the AL West with an overall record of 81-68. The Mariners are 4.5 games behind them in the division race. So far, they are 25-20 in divisional matchups.
Houston has been playing well at home this season, going 42-32, and they are above .500 on the road at 39-36. The Astros have won three straight games as the road underdog, and their overall record as the underdog on the road is 15-14 this year. So far, they are 63-49 as the favorite.
The Astros’ offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Angels, closing out their series with a 6-4 win. After scoring a run in the 3rd inning, the Astros really broke things open with a four-run 4th. Houston went on to add another run in the 8th, closing out the scoring. Going into the game, the Astros were at -202 on the money line.
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Ronel Blanco put together a good start for the Astros, going six innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just two walks and struck out five Angels batters. Houston’s offense was carried by Jason Heyward, who went 3/3 with a homer and two RBIs.
Astros Gambling
When the Astros are on the road, the over/under line is set at 8 runs, which is lower than their season average of 8.6 runs per game. Overall, the over/under record for Houston games this season is 61-83, and their average over/under line is set at 9 runs. When the line is set at 8 runs, the Astros have a record of 13-13-2. This season, 61.1% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs.
When the Astros are on the road, they have covered the run line in 42 of 75 games, including their last three. Their average run differential is +0.6 runs per game, and they have covered the run line in 52 of 112 games as the favorite.
Astros Stats
The Houston Astros have been solid offensively this season, ranking 12th in runs per game at 4.6. They have been even better at home, averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 6th in the league. Their batting average of .262 is 3rd in the league, and they have the 3rd fewest strikeouts per game at 7. The Astros have been getting great production from Yordan Alvarez, who leads the team in batting average at .308, on-base percentage at .393, and RBI with 84. Over his last 9 games, Alvarez has hit .297 with 4 home runs and 11 RBI.
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San Diego Padres
With an overall record of 85-65, the Padres are 3.5 games behind the Dodgers for the NL West lead. San Diego will host the Astros today, and they have won three straight games, closing out their series vs. the Giants with three consecutive wins. So far, they are 24-22 against other NL West teams.
At home, the Padres are 40-35 this season and have been really good on the road at 45-30. As the favorite, the Padres are 55-41 this season and 30-24 when they are the underdog. So far, they have an overall series record of 29-15-6.
The Padres’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Giants, closing out their series with a 4-3 win. After allowing one run to the Giants in the bottom of the first, the Padres responded with a run of their own. San Diego went on to add another three runs in the 6th inning.
Martin Perez put together a good start for the Padres, going five innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. San Diego’s bullpen closed things out, and Adrian Morejon picked up the save. The Padres also got a big game from Fernando Tatis Jr., going 1/1 with a homer and three RBIs.
Padres Gambling
When the Padres play at home, the over/under line is set at 8 runs. This season, their games have averaged 9.0 runs per game, and their over/under record is 80-67. When the line is set at 8 runs, their over/under record is 12-15-1. Overall, 39.3% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, while 42.0% have had lower lines.
San Diego has been a solid run line bet on the road this season, going 47-28. However, they have struggled to cover the run line at home, going just 29-46. The Padres have been a better bet as the underdog, going 37-17 against the run line, compared to 39-57 when favored. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.7, while it drops to -3.5 in losses.
Padres Stats
The San Diego Padres have been one of the best offensive teams in the league this season, leading the MLB in batting average at .265. They are scoring 4.8 runs per game, which ranks 7th in the league. Their offense has been especially strong on the road, where they average 5.1 runs per game, 4th in the league. Their top hitters for the season include Manny Machado, who leads the team with 26 home runs and 98 RBIs. Luis Arraez has been on a hitting streak, with 13 consecutive games with a hit.
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Astros Padres Pitching
Right-hander Spencer Arrighetti gets the start for the Astros today as he faces the Padres on the road. He has made 26 starts this season and has a record of 7-12 with a 4.72 ERA. Arrighetti’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.42. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, going 6 2/3 innings and giving up two earned runs on seven hits. Before that, he had won two straight starts. One of his best outings of the season came on August 28th, when he went 7 2/3 innings without giving up a run.
Yu Darvish will be looking to build off his last outing, where he faced the Mariners and came away with the win. In that September 10th outing, he went five innings, giving up two earned runs, and he finished with five strikeouts. Looking back at his last four outings, Darvish has finished with a no-decision, loss, and then a win in his most recent outing. His ERA for the season is 3.52, along with a record of 5-3. Darvish has made 13 starts, and opponents are batting .225 this season. So far, he has turned in three quality starts.
Houston Astros vs. San Diego Padres MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Astros head into the game having gone 5-5 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Astros they are 6-4 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Padres are 6-4 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Padres have a 4-6 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Astros are 3-0 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 1-2 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Padres have a record of 3-0 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 2-1 in their last three games.
Houston Astros vs. San Diego Padres 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
Our prediction for today’s Astros vs. Padres game is to take the Padres on the money line at -139. We have the final score at 7-5 in favor of the Padres, giving us some wiggle room with the over/under line sitting at 8 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Yu Darvish finishing with six strikeouts compared to Spencer Arrighetti with five. However, Darvish is projected to go just five innings, while Arrighetti is projected to go six.
Offensively, we have the Astros finishing with nine hits compared to the Padres with nine. However, the Padres have a higher projected home run total, and they are also projected to finish with fewer strikeouts than the Astros.
Today’s MLB Free Pick
MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
Fire us up, @DPFreightTrain6 🔥 pic.twitter.com/AITvpWxyWN
— San Diego Padres (@Padres) September 15, 2024
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