Free MLB Pick: Astros vs. Phillies Odds
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2022 MLB Handicapping
(106-56-0) Houston Astros vs. Philadelphia Phillies (87-75-0)
Date: Thursday October 3rd
Time: 08:03 ETPM ET
Venue: Citizens Bank Park Philadelphia
Projected Pitchers: Justin Verlander vs. Noah Syndergaard
MLB Moneyline Odds: Astros -155 Phillies 130
MLB run line Betting Odds: Astros +1.5, Phillies -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 7.5
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Heading into the game, the Houston Astros have an overall record of 106-56-0. When playing on the road, the team has gone 55-31. In the AL West division, Houston currently sits 1st. So far, the team has gone 92-81-0 vs the runline, while being favored in 92.0% of their games. The Astros’ over-under record is 63-100-10.
For Houston, Justin Verlander gets the start with an overall record of 18-4. This includes a strong ERA of 1.75. So far, he is lasting an average of 6.25 innings per outing, as well as 9.51 strikeouts per 9 innings pitched. In terms of walks, he allows an average of 1.49 per 9. In total, Verlander has given up 12 home runs.
Throughout the season, the Astros have not had to turn to their bullpen for major innings. The team’s relief corps has combined for one of the lower ERA’s in the MLB at 2.8.
During the season, the Houston Astros have performed well on offense, averaging 4.53 runs per game. The team comes into the game with an overall run differential of 232.0. On offense, the Astros have a team batting average of 0.247, placing them 13th in the league. On their balls in play, Houston has the 5th ranked BABIP of 0.282. With runners on base, the Astros are averaging just 0.73 stolen bases per game.
Houston has been strong on defense, ranking 6th in fewest errors at 0.45 per game. The team’s defense is turning double plays at a rate below the league average, at 0.73 per contest.
Heading into the game, the Philadelphia Phillies have an overall record of 87-75-0. When playing at home, the team has gone 53-35. In the NL East division, Philadelphia currently sits 3rd. So far, the team has gone 91-86-0 vs the runline, while being favored in 70.0% of their games. The Philliess’ over-under record is 90-81-6.
For Philadelphia, Noah Syndergaard gets the start with an overall record of 5-8. His current ERA sits at 3.82, similar to the MLB average for starting pitchers. So far, he is lasting an average of 5.33 innings per outing. as well as 7.2 strikeouts per 9 innings pitched. In terms of walks, he allows an average of 2.48 per 9. In total, Syndergaard has given up 9 home runs.
Throughout the season, the Phillies have not had to turn to their bullpen for major innings. This group has one of the highest ERA’s among MLB bullpens at 4.27.
During the season, the Philadelphia Phillies have performed well on offense, averaging 4.63 runs per game. The team comes into the game with an overall run differential of 84.0. The Phillies come into the game with a strong team batting average of 0.251. On their balls in play, Philadelphia has the 8th-ranked BABIP of 0.273. In terms of stolen bases, the Phillies are doing so near the league average, at 0.76 per game.
Philadelphia has been strong on defense, ranking 4th in fewest errors at 0.42 per game. During the season, the team is averaging 0.76 double plays per game.
MLB Baseball Betting Trends:
- Houston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
- Houston is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games
- Philadelphia is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
- Philadelphia is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Houston
Houston Astros vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Prediction:
Heading into this game, the pitching matchup favors the Houston Astros. In addition to holding the edge in ERA, Justin Verlander has a better WHIP of 0.83 compared to Noah Syndergaard at 1.21. Verlander will be facing a Phillies offense ranked 10th in batting average. Syndergaard faces an Astros offense that has a batting average of 0.247 (13th).
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