Houston Astros vs. Philadelphia Phillies 8/28/2024 Free Pick & MLB Betting Prediction




Free MLB Pick: Astros vs. Phillies Odds

Looking for Houston Astros vs. Philadelphia Phillies Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Astros taking on the Phillies on Wednesday, August 28th, 2024 at Citizens Bank Park, in Philadelphia, PA. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Astros Phillies free pick.

2024 MLB Handicapping – Houston Astros vs Philadelphia Phillies

(70-62) Houston Astros vs. Philadelphia Phillies (78-54)
Date: Wednesday, August 28th
Time: 4:05 ET
Venue: Citizens Bank Park Philadelphia, PA
Projected Starting Pitchers: Spencer Arrighetti vs. Taijuan Walker
MLB Moneyline Odds: Astros -108 | Phillies -111 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Astros -1.5 | Phillies +1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 9.5

• Live Betting Odds for today’s Houston Astros vs. Philadelphia Phillies game!
• Want more baseball predictions like this Astros Phillies play? Check out our free MLB AI Picks for today!
• View our Updated Sportsbook Bonuses for today!

Astros vs. Phillies Gameday

At Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, the Phillies are set to host the Astros in an interleague matchup. The game is scheduled to start at 4:05 PM. The weather forecast is calling for 89 degrees with scattered clouds.

On the mound for the Astros is Spencer Arrighetti, while the Phillies will counter with Taijuan Walker. The Phillies are currently listed as the slight favorites with a money line payout of -111 compared to the Astros at -108.

Thanks to a four-run 3rd inning for the Phillies’ offense, they cruised to a 5-0 win over the Astros in the most recent game of this series. Heading into the game, the Phillies were favored at -140 on the money line.

Aaron Nola pitched well for the Phillies in this one, going seven innings and striking out six without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Justin Verlander had a rough outing for the Astros, taking the loss.

Philadelphia got a huge performance from Nick Castellanos, as he went 1/4 with a home run and three RBIs. Trea Turner and Austin Hays each scored two runs for the Phillies’ offense.

The Astros are on the road for today’s game vs. the Phillies, and they are looking to snap a two-game losing streak, as they have dropped the first two games of this series. Currently, the Astros lead the AL West by 3.5 games over the Mariners. This season, they are 70-62 overall, and they are 21-18 against other teams in the AL West.

At home, the Astros have gone 35-29 this year, and they are the same number of games over .500 on the road. As the favorite, the Astros are 52-43 this year and 18-19 as the underdog. So far, they have an overall series record of 23-17-2.

The Houston Astros are on the road against the Philadelphia Phillies today. The over/under line for the game is set at 9.5 runs, which is higher than their combined run average of 8.5 runs per game. The Astros have an over/under record of 52-76 this season, and their games have had an average over/under line of 9 runs. When the line is set at 9.5 runs, their over/under record is 2-4. This season, only 8.3% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9.5 runs or higher, with 87.1% of their games having lower lines. The under has hit in their last two games.

Astros Gambling

The Astros have been a solid team to bet on the run line this season, as they are 67-65 overall. They have been better on the road, going 38-30, but they have failed to cover in their last game. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 25-12, compared to 42-53 as the favorite. Their average run margin is +0.5 runs per game.

Astros Stats

The Houston Astros have been a solid offensive team this season, ranking 12th in runs per game with an average of 4.5. Their batting average of .260 is 3rd in the league, and their slugging percentage of .416 is 11th. They have been hitting well at home, averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 10th in the league. Yordan Alvarez has been one of their top hitters this season, with a .305 batting average and 25 home runs. Jose Altuve and Yainer Diaz are also key contributors, with Altuve hitting .297 and Diaz leading the team with 72 RBI. The Astros have some players on hitting streaks, with Ben Gamel at 4 games, Kyle Tucker at 3 games, and Yordan Alvarez at 4 games.

With an overall record of 78-54, the Phillies lead the NL East by six games over the Braves. The Phillies have won four straight games, and this includes taking the first two games of this series vs. the Astros. In the NL East, they have gone 20-14 this season.

At home, the Phillies are 44-23 this season compared to 34-31 on the road. They have been good as the favorite this season, putting together a mark of 66-40. As the underdog, the Phillies are 12-14 this season. Philadelphia’s overall series record is 22-16-6.

The Philadelphia Phillies are playing at home against the Houston Astros today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 9.5 runs. The combined run average for Phillies games this season is 8.9 runs, and their over/under record is 61-65. When the over/under line is set at 9.5 runs, their record is 7-7. Only 6.1% of their games this season have had over/under lines set at 9.5 runs, and their current under streak is at 2 games.

Phillies Gambling

Philadelphia has been a solid run line bet this season, going 65-67 overall. They have been a better bet at home, going 32-35 on the run line. They have an average run margin of +0.9 runs per game this season, and their average run margin in winning games is +4.0 runs per game.

Phillies Stats

The Philadelphia Phillies have been a strong offensive team this season, ranking 5th in runs per game and 4th in batting average. Their home offense has been particularly potent, as they rank 2nd in runs per game at home. The Phillies have a good team OBP and OPS, with their BABIP and SLG also ranking in the top 10. Their top hitters for the season have been Alec Bohm, Bryce Harper, and Kyle Schwarber. Harper and Schwarber have been on hitting streaks, with Harper hitting .280 over his last 6 games and Schwarber hitting .450 over his last 5 games.

We want to hear from you below! Comments are welcome! Give us your picks for this Houston Astros vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB matchup.

Astros Phillies Pitching

Houston is sending right-hander Spencer Arrighetti to the mound today vs. the Phillies. Arrighetti has made 23 starts this year and has a record of 6-11 with a 4.94 ERA. His WHIP for the season is currently 1.41. In his last outing, Arrighetti picked up the win, going six innings and not giving up a run vs. the Orioles. Before that, he had given up at least one homer in three straight outings. Arrighetti has a BB/9 figure of 4.09 compared to 10.8 strikeouts per nine innings.

Taijuan Walker will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing against the Royals, where he gave up six earned runs in three innings of work. In that start, he gave up two homers. Walker has a record of 3-5 and an ERA of 6.26. Looking at his home/away splits, Walker has an ERA of 8.06 on the road compared to 5.92 at home. So far, he has made 13 appearances and two of them have been quality starts. Walker’s ERA for the season is 6.26, and he has a WHIP of 1.58. Per nine innings, he is averaging 7.38 strikeouts and 3.9 walks.

Houston Astros vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Baseball Betting Trends

• The Astros head into the game having gone 6-4 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
• The Astros they are 5-5 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
• Conversely, the Phillies are 4-6 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
• Furthermore, the Phillies have a 3-7 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
• Also, the Astros are 1-2 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 1-2 as the underdog (last 3).
• The Phillies have a record of 3-0 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 2-1 in their last three games.

Houston Astros vs. Philadelphia Phillies 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:

Our predicted final score for this Astros vs. Phillies matchup is 8-5 in favor of the Phillies. Given that you can get the Phillies straight up at -111, we see this as a great value pick.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Taijuan Walker going for the Phillies. Walker has the highest projected innings total of any starter today and is fifth in terms of picking up a win.

As for Spencer Arrighetti, he does have a good projected strikeout total at seven, but we have him going just five innings, which is the ninth lowest among starters.

Offensively, we have the Astros finishing with seven hits compared to the Phillies with nine. The Astros are projected to finish with five runs compared to the Phillies with six.

Another option would be to take the over/under, and we would recommend the over at 9.5 runs.

Today’s MLB Free Pick

MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day

Vibes 📈 pic.twitter.com/uYodsMdupi

— Philadelphia Phillies (@Phillies) August 28, 2024

Also, if you’re looking for more MLB picks like Houston Astros vs. Philadelphia Phillies matchup, we’ll be providing 4* free MLB plays on the blog all season long. In fact, you can check out our MLB experts for guaranteed premium & free MLB baseball picks!

Lastly, register here for a FREE MLB Betting Account Now for daily free picks & more special offers!

About George

Back for round 3 writing at Cappers Picks. George M. graduated from Cal State Long Beach with a Bachelor’s Degree in Communication Studies and a minor in Journalism. He's been a huge sports fan since he was a young child, and plays in multiple basketball leagues, plus he loves to listen to Hip-Hop in his free time. A future ambition? To become a NBA Scout or Analyst.

Filed Under: MLB Baseball