Free MLB Pick: Astros vs. Mets Odds
Looking for Houston Astros vs. New York Mets Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Astros taking on the Mets on Saturday, June 29th, 2024 at Citi Field, in New York, NY. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Astros Mets free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – Houston Astros vs New York Mets
(40-41) Houston Astros vs. New York Mets (40-39)
Date: Saturday, June 29th
Time: 4:10 ET
Venue: Citi Field New York, NY
Projected Starting Pitchers: Framber Valdez vs. Tylor Megill
MLB Moneyline Odds: Astros -118 | Mets -101 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Astros -1.5 | Mets +1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 8
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Astros vs. Mets Gameday
It’s a battle of two teams with identical records as the Houston Astros (40-41) take on the New York Mets (40-39) at Citi Field in New York, NY. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 PM ET, and the game will be broadcast on WPIX.
On the mound for the Astros is Framber Valdez, while the Mets will counter with Tylor Megill. The Mets are currently on a four-game winning streak and are looking to continue their climb up the NL East standings.
New York picked up a 7-2 win over the Astros in the most recent game of this series. The Mets had a huge 6th inning, scoring four of their seven runs. As for the Astros, they scored their only two runs in the 3rd. Heading into the game, the Mets were favored at -110.
Jose Quintana only went four innings for the Mets but gave up just two hits and two earned runs. He finished the game with seven strikeouts but issued three walks. On the other side, Ronel Blanco got the start for the Astros, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up three earned runs on six hits.
Jeff McNeil and Tyrone Taylor each homered for the Mets, while Pete Alonso went 1/4 with three RBIs. Francisco Lindor also had a two-hit game and drove in a run. For the Astros, Jose Altuve hit a home run, going 2/5.
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Houston is 40-41 overall, and they trail the Mariners by 5.5 games in the AL West. So far, they have gone 15-12 in divisional games. The Astros have won five straight games as the favorite, and they are 31-32 when favored this year.
At home, the Astros have gone 24-19 this year, and they are just below .500 at 16-22 on the road. Houston has an overall series record of 14-11-1 this year, and they have won four straight series.
Heading into today’s game, the Astros are down 0-1 in the series vs. the Mets. Looking at their recent games, the Astros are 8-2 over their last ten games.
The Astros are on the road against the Mets today, with the over/under line set at 8 runs. Houston’s games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 29-48. When the line has been set at 8 runs, their over/under record is 3-7-2. Overall, 65.4% of their games have had higher lines than 8 runs.
Astros Gambling
When the Astros win, they win big, with an average run margin of 4.0 runs per game. When they lose, they lose by an average of 3.3 runs. They are 38-43 on the run line this season, but have covered in five straight games. They are 22-21 on the run line at home, but just 16-22 on the run line on the road. As the favorite, they are 28-35 on the run line, but as the underdog, they are 10-8.
Astros Stats
The Houston Astros have been one of the top offensive teams in the league this season, leading the MLB in batting average at .264. Their 5.1 runs per game at home ranks 5th in the league. They have hit 95 home runs, which is 7th best in the league. Their top hitters this season have been Yordan Alvarez, who leads the team with 41 RBI and 16 home runs, and Jose Altuve, who is hitting .304 with 13 home runs and 36 RBI. Altuve is currently on a 4-game hitting streak, while Yordan Alvarez has hit safely in 3 straight games. Kyle Tucker has also been hot at the plate, with a 3-game hitting streak.
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The Mets are hosting the Astros today with an overall record of 40-39, and they have won four straight games. In the NL East, they trail the Phillies by 12.5 games and are 3rd in the division. So far, they are 11-10 in divisional matchups.
New York has an 8-game winning streak at home, and they are 21-23 at home this year. On the road, the Mets are 19-16 this season. They have an overall series record of 13-12-3 and have won six straight series.
Today’s over/under line is set at 8 runs for the New York Mets’ home game against the Houston Astros. The Mets have a combined run average of 9.5 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 41-36. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, the Mets have a record of 9-4, and they have gone over the total in three straight games.
Mets Gambling
The Mets have been a good run line bet on the road this season, going 21-14. They have been a poor bet at home, going 17-27. The Mets have covered the run line in five straight home games and have been a good bet as the underdog, going 24-15. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.5, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.2.
Mets Stats
The New York Mets have been a strong offensive team this season, especially on the road where they are averaging 5.7 runs per game, which is the best in the league. Their total of 100 home runs is 4th in the league. Their top hitters for the season have been Francisco Lindor, Pete Alonso, and Brandon Nimmo. Recently, Francisco Alvarez has been on fire, hitting .562 over his last 6 games. Francisco Lindor is also on a 4-game hitting streak.
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Astros Mets Pitching
Framber Valdez gets the start for the Astros today as he faces the Mets on the road. So far this season, he has made 13 starts and has a record of 6-5. Valdez’s ERA is 3.68, along with a WHIP of 1.20. In his 13 appearances, he has turned in eight quality starts and one complete game. Looking back at his most recent outing, Valdez picked up the win, going seven innings and giving up just one earned run. Before that, he had lost two straight starts. Valdez’s ERA on the road is 4.32 compared to 4.46 at home.
New York is sending Tylor Megill to the mound today vs. the Astros, and he is coming off a rough outing vs. the Cubs. In that start, which came on June 22nd, Megill gave up six earned runs in just three innings of work. He took the loss in the outing. Before that, he had pitched well, picking up the win vs. the Padres on June 16th, where he went five innings and gave up just two earned runs. Megill’s ERA for the season is 4.81, along with a record of 2-4. Opponents are batting .229 off Megill this season.
Houston Astros vs. New York Mets MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Astros head into the game having gone 5-5 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Astros they are 5-5 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Mets are 8-2 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Mets have a 6-4 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Astros are 2-1 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 3-0 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Mets have a record of 1-2 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 3-0 in their last three games.
Houston Astros vs. New York Mets 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
Our predicted final score for this Astros vs. Mets matchup is 8-5 in favor of the Astros. Given that the payout for the Astros on the money line is -118, this is the route we recommend going. If you’re looking for a parlay, you could also look to the over/under line, with the line currently sitting at 8 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Tylor Megill is projected to finish with just four strikeouts, which is the third lowest among today’s starters. As for Framber Valdez, he is projected to finish with six strikeouts, and the Astros are projected to finish with the sixth most strikeouts as a team.
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