Free MLB Pick: Astros vs. Mets Odds
Looking for Houston Astros vs. New York Mets Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Astros taking on the Mets on Friday, June 28th, 2024 at Citi Field, in New York, NY. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Astros Mets free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – Houston Astros vs New York Mets
(40-40) Houston Astros vs. New York Mets (39-39)
Date: Friday, June 28th
Time: 7:10 ET
Venue: Citi Field New York, NY
Projected Starting Pitchers: Ronel Blanco vs. Jose Quintana
MLB Moneyline Odds: Astros -114 | Mets -105 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Astros -1.5 | Mets +1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 8.5
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Astros vs. Mets Gameday
It’s a beautiful night for baseball in New York, with the temperature sitting at 78 degrees under broken clouds. The Astros are in town to take on the Mets in an interleague matchup at Citi Field.
First pitch is set for 7:10 PM ET, and you can catch the action on APLTV. On the mound, it’s Ronel Blanco for the Astros against Jose Quintana for the Mets. The Astros come in as slight favorites, with a money line payout of -114 compared to the Mets at -105. The over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, with the over paying out at -103 compared to the under at -118.
Houston Astros
Houston is looking to get above .500 today, as they come into the game with a record of 40-40. The Astros have won seven straight games, and they are 4.5 games behind the Mariners for the AL West lead. So far, they have gone 15-12 in divisional games.
The Astros have won four straight series, and they are 14-11-1 in series this year. At home, the Astros are 24-19 and 16-21 on the road. As the road favorite, the Astros are 10-16 this year, and they are 31-32 as the favorite overall.
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Heading into their last game vs. the Rockies, the Astros closed out the series with a 7-1 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -195. Offensively, the Astros scored their seven runs on json11 hits and didn’t hit a home run.
Spencer Arrighetti put together a good start for the Astros, going seven innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just three walks and struck out 10 Rockies batters. Yainer Diaz was hot at the plate, going 3/4 with two RBIs.
Astros Gambling
The Houston Astros are on the road against the New York Mets today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average in Astros games this season is 8.8 runs per game, and their over/under record is 28-48. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 8-13. Overall, 40.0% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8.5 runs.
When the Astros are on the road, they have a run line record of 16-21. Their average run margin on the road is -0.5, but they have covered the run line in two straight games and in five of their last seven games when favored. Their overall run line record is 38-42, with an average run margin of 0.4 runs per game.
Astros Stats
The Houston Astros have been one of the best offensive teams in baseball this season. They lead the league in batting average at .263 and have the fewest strikeouts per game at 6. Their home runs total of 94 ranks 6th in the league. The Astros are averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 12th in the league. Their offense has been especially potent at home, where they are averaging 5.1 runs per game, 5th best in the league. Yordan Alvarez has been one of the top hitters for the Astros this season, with a .288 batting average, 16 home runs, and 41 RBIs. Jose Altuve is also hitting .303 this season and has a 9-game hitting streak. Kyle Tucker has been a key contributor as well, hitting .266 with 19 home runs and 40 RBIs.
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New York Mets
The Mets are at an even .500 at 39-39 as they get set to host the Astros today. New York is on a three-game winning streak, and they are 12.5 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. In the division, they have gone 11-10 this year.
At home, the Mets are 20-23 this year, and they are 19-16 on the road. So far, they have been good as the underdog, with an overall record of 19-20. As for their time as the favorite, the Mets are 20-19 this year. New York has won seven straight games as the underdog, and they have won six straight series overall.
The Mets’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Yankees, closing out their series with a 12-2 win. After going on to score three runs in the 3rd inning, the Mets added another three runs in the 4th to really break things open. New York was the +108 underdog at home going into this matchup.
Sean Manaea put together a good start for the Mets, going five innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just three hits and struck out three. Francisco Alvarez was hot at the plate, going 3/3 with a homer and three RBIs.
Mets Gambling
The Mets have been a solid over bet this season, with a 40-36 O/U record. Their games have averaged 9.5 runs per game, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, the Mets have gone 11-9. Overall, 19.2% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs. Their current over streak is at 2 games.
When betting on the Mets’ run line, it’s been more profitable to take them on the road this season. They have a 21-14 run line record away from home, compared to 16-27 at Citi Field. The Mets have won four straight games against the run line at home, but they are just 13-26 overall when favored. They have been a much better bet as the underdog, going 24-15 against the run line.
Mets Stats
The New York Mets have been a solid offensive team this season, averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 8th in the league. Their offense has been particularly strong on the road, where they average 5.7 runs per game, the best mark in the league. The Mets have hit 97 home runs this season, which is 4th in the league. Their top hitters for the season include Francisco Lindor, Pete Alonso, and Brandon Nimmo. Nimmo has been especially hot lately, hitting .323 with 5 home runs and 11 RBI over his last 8 games. Francisco Alvarez has also been on a tear, hitting .556 with 3 home runs and 9 RBI over his last 8 games. The Mets have several players on hitting streaks, including Francisco Lindor at 3 games.
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Astros Mets Pitching
Ronel Blanco gets the start for the Astros today as he faces the Mets on the road. So far this season, he has made 14 starts and has a record of 8-2. Blanco’s ERA for the season is an impressive 2.34, along with a WHIP of .97. In his 14 appearances, Blanco has turned in nine quality starts and has one complete game shutout. Looking back at his last outing, Blanco went seven innings, giving up just one earned run and picking up the win. He has won each of his last three starts.
New York is sending left-hander Jose Quintana to the mound today vs. the Astros. Quintana has made 15 starts this season and has a record of 3-5 with a 4.58 ERA. So far, he has turned in five quality starts and is averaging 6.64 strikeouts per nine innings. Quintana’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.32. In his last outing, he gave up just one earned run in 6 1/3 innings of work, coming out with the win. Before that, he had given up three earned runs in three straight outings.
Houston Astros vs. New York Mets MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Astros head into the game having gone 6-4 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Astros they are 6-4 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Mets are 8-2 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Mets have a 6-4 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Astros are 3-0 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 3-0 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Mets have a record of 1-2 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 3-0 in their last three games.
Houston Astros vs. New York Mets 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
Our pick for this Astros vs. Mets matchup is to go with the Mets on the money line at -105. We actually have the Mets winning this one by a score of 8-4. So, if you’re looking for a parlay, you could take the Mets on the money line and the over, as the line is sitting at 8.5 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Jose Quintana is projected to finish with five strikeouts, which is 19th among starters. As for Ronel Blanco, he is projected to finish with six K’s, which is good for sixth among starters.
Today’s MLB Free Pick
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