Free MLB Pick: Astros vs. Red Sox Odds
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2022 MLB Handicapping
(23-13-0) Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox (14-21-0)
Date: Wednesday, May 18th
Time: 06:10 ETPM ET
Venue: Fenway Park Boston
Projected Pitchers: Luis Garcia vs. Nick Pivetta
MLB Moneyline Odds: Astros -135 Red Sox 113
MLB run line Betting Odds: Astros +1.5, Red Sox -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 9.0
Heading into the game, the Houston Astros have an overall record of 23-13-0. When playing on the road, the team has gone 14-9. In the AL West division, Houston currently sits 1st So far, the team has gone 19-17-0 vs the runline, while being favored in 78.0% of their games. The Astros’ over-under record is 10-26-0.
For Houston, Luis Garcia gets the start with an overall record of 3-1. His current ERA sits at 2.94, similar to the MLB average for starting pitchers. So far, he is lasting an average of 5.53 innings per outing, as well as 9.89 strikeouts per 9 innings pitched. In terms of walks, he allows an average of 2.41 per 9. In total, Garcia has given up 5 home runs.
Throughout the season, the Astros have not had to turn to their bullpen for major innings. The team’s relief corps has combined for one of the lower ERAs in the MLB at 2.91.
During the season, the Houston Astros have performed well on offense, averaging 4.28 runs per game. The team comes into the game with an overall run differential of 37.0. On offense, the Astros have a team batting average of 0.229, placing them 19th in the league. On their balls in play, Houston has the 2nd ranked BABIP of 0.301. On the base paths, the Astros have put pressure on opposing pitchers, ranked 11th in the MLB in steals.
Houston has been strong on defense, ranking 1st in fewest errors at 0.33 per game. Throughout the season, the team has done a good job turning double plays, averaging 0.86 per contest.
Heading into the game, the Boston Red Sox have an overall record of 14-21-0. When playing at home, the team has gone 5-9. In the AL East division, Boston currently sits 4th So far, the team has gone 18-17-0 vs the runline, while being favored in 49.0% of their games. The Red Sox’s over-under record is 11-21-3.
For Boston, Nick Pivetta gets the start with an overall record of 1-4. He comes into the game with an elevated ERA of 5.08. So far, he is lasting an average of 4.74 innings per outing. as well as 8.82 strikeouts per 9 innings pitched. In terms of walks, he allows an average of 3.74 per 9. In total, Pivetta has given up 4 home runs.
So far, the Red Sox bullpen has been one of the most used groups in the league. This group has one of the highest ERA’s among MLB bullpens at 4.21.
Throughout the season, runs have been hard to come by for the Boston Red Sox, as they are averaging just 3.77 per contest. The team comes into the game with an overall run differential of -9.0. On offense, the Red Sox have a team batting average of 0.235, placing them 14th in the league. Boston combined batting average on balls in play is just 0.2. Placing them below average. With runners on base, the Red Sox are averaging just 0.71 stolen bases per game.
Boston has been strong on defense, ranking 8th in fewest errors at 0.46 per game. The team’s defense is turning double plays below the league average, at just 0.71 per contest.
MLB Baseball Betting Trends:
- Houston is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston’s last 6 games when playing on the road against Boston
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston’s last 6 games when playing at home against Houston
- The total has gone OVER in 7 of Boston’s last 9 games when playing Houston
Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Prediction:
Heading into this game, the pitching matchup favors the Houston Astros. In addition to holding the edge in ERA, Luis Garcia he has the better WHIP of 0.95 compared to Nick Pivetta at 1.4. Garcia will be facing a Red Sox offense with a team batting average of 0.235 (14th). Pivetta faces an Astros offense that has a batting average of 0.229 (19th).
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