Free MLB Pick: Astros vs. Red Sox Odds
Looking for Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Astros taking on the Red Sox on Friday, August 9th, 2024 at Fenway Park, in Boston, MA. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Astros Red Sox free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – Houston Astros vs Boston Red Sox
(59-55) Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox (61-52)
Date: Friday, August 9th
Time: 7:10 ET
Venue: Fenway Park Boston, MA
Projected Starting Pitchers: Ronel Blanco vs. Tanner Houck
MLB Moneyline Odds: Astros +110 | Red Sox -130 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Astros +1.5 | Red Sox -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 9.5
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At 7:10 PM ET in Boston, the Red Sox are set to host the Astros at Fenway Park. The Astros come into this one with a record of 59-55, while the Red Sox are 61-52 on the year. Tanner Houck will get the start for the Red Sox, while Ronel Blanco will be on the mound for the Astros.
Currently, the Red Sox are favored to win this one, with a money line of -130 compared to the Astros at +110. The over/under line is set at 9.5 runs, with the over paying out at -116 compared to the under at -105.
Houston Astros
Houston is on the road today, taking on the Red Sox with an overall record of 59-55, which has them tied with the Mariners for the AL West lead. The Astros have gone 21-18 against other teams in the AL West. Houston has won two straight games, closing out their series vs. the Rangers with a win.
At home, the Astros are 32-26 this season, and they are just under .500 at 27-29 on the road. As the underdog, the Astros have dropped three straight, and they are 14-16 as the underdog overall. Houston’s series record is 20-16-1, and they are coming off losing two straight series at home.
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Houston closed out their series vs. the Rangers with a 6-4 win on the road. Leading up to the game, the Astros were the slight favorite at -131 on the money line. It was a good start for the Astros, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning and added another run in the 3rd.
The Rangers tied things up with two runs in the 4th, but the Astros retook the lead right away, scoring three times in the top of the 6th. Houston’s offense went on to add another run in the 8th, closing things out with a 6-4 win.
Astros Gambling
When the Astros are on the road, the over/under line is set at 9.5 runs for their game against the Red Sox. The combined run average in their games this season is 8.7 runs, and their over/under record is 45-65. The average over/under line for their games is 9 runs, and when the line is set at 9.5 runs, their record is 2-4. So far this season, only 7.0% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9.5 runs or higher.
When the Astros are on the road, they have a run line record of 30-26, and they have covered the run line in four straight games. Their average run differential on the road is -0.1 runs per game, and they have an overall run line record of 57-57. They are 38-46 against the run line as the favorite and 19-11 as the underdog. Their average run differential in wins is +3.7 runs per game, while it is -3.2 runs per game in losses.
Astros Stats
The Houston Astros have been a solid offensive team this season, ranking 13th in runs per game with an average of 4.6. They are 10th in runs per game at home with 4.8, and their batting average of .259 is 3rd in the league. The Astros are 3rd in strikeouts per game, but their walk rate is 25th. Yordan Alvarez has been one of their top hitters, with a .300 batting average, .386 on-base percentage, and 22 home runs this season. He has been hot lately, going 7 for 18 (.389) with 2 home runs and 3 RBIs in his last 5 games. Jose Altuve, Alex Bregman, and Kyle Tucker are all on 3-game hitting streaks.
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Boston Red Sox
Boston will host the Astros with an overall record of 61-52, and they are 3rd in the AL East, 5.5 games behind the Orioles for the division lead. So far, they have gone 14-13 in divisional games. The Red Sox took two of three in their most recent series vs. the Royals.
At home, the Red Sox are 27-28 this year compared to 34-24 on the road. As the favorite, Boston has gone 32-22 and 29-30 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Red Sox are 19-13-5 and have won three straight series.
Boston closed out their series vs. the Royals with an 8-4 loss. Heading into the game, the Red Sox were the +119 underdog on the money line. Things started off well for the Red Sox, as they got on the board with a three-run 3rd inning but gave up the lead right away as the Royals scored four times in the bottom of the third.
Kutter Crawford got the start for the Red Sox and took the loss. He only lasted 3 2/3 innings, giving up six earned runs on five hits. Romy Gonzalez had a big game at the plate, going 1/3 with a homer and three RBIs.
Red Sox Gambling
The Boston Red Sox are playing at home today against the Houston Astros. The over/under line for the game is set at 9.5 runs, which is slightly lower than the combined run average of 9.7 runs per game for these two teams. The Red Sox have gone over the total in 59 of their 107 games this season, and their games have averaged 9 runs per game. The over is on a six-game streak for Boston.
When betting the run line, the Red Sox have been a better play on the road this season, going 33-25 compared to 21-34 at home. They have a run differential of +0.9 on the road and -0.3 at home. As the favorite, they are just 20-34 on the run line, while they are 34-25 as the underdog. Their average run differential in wins is +4.1, while it is -4.1 in losses.
Red Sox Stats
The Boston Red Sox have been one of the top offensive teams in the league this season. Their elite .262 batting average ranks 2nd in the MLB, and their .774 OPS is the best in the league. They are also 2nd in SLG at .445. The Red Sox have been especially good on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per game away from home, which is 3rd in the league. Rafael Devers has been their best hitter this season, leading the team with a .304 batting average and 70 RBI. Jarren Duran has also been a key contributor, hitting .292 with 14 home runs and 58 RBI. Tyler O’Neill has been solid as well, hitting .268 with 22 home runs and 45 RBI. Wilyer Abreu has been hot at the plate, going 6 for 20 with 3 home runs and 7 RBI over his last 7 games.
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Astros Red Sox Pitching
Houston is sending Ronel Blanco to the mound today, and he comes in with a record of 9-6 and an ERA of 2.98. Blanco has made 21 starts this year and has one complete game shutout. Looking back at his last outing, Blanco took the loss, going five innings and giving up two earned runs on six hits. In his outing before that, he gave up four earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of work. Blanco has allowed at least one homer in each of his last three outings. So far, he has allowed 19 homers this year.
Tanner Houck will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing against the Rangers, as he gets the start for the Red Sox today. In that August 3rd start, he took the loss, giving up six earned runs in five innings of work. Looking back further, he has given up four earned runs in each of his last two outings. Houck’s record for the season is 8-8, and he has an ERA of 3.09. This year, opponents are batting .226 off the right-hander. Houck has one complete game shutout this year and 15 quality starts.
Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Astros head into the game having gone 5-5 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Astros they are 6-4 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Red Sox are 5-5 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Red Sox have a 5-5 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Astros are 2-1 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 1-2 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Red Sox have a record of 2-1 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 2-1 in their last three games.
Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
Our prediction for this game is that the Red Sox will pick up a 6-3 win over the Astros. With the Red Sox being our predicted winner and the payout being -130, we recommend taking the Red Sox on the money line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Tanner Houck is projected to finish with five strikeouts compared to Ronel Blanco, who is projected to finish with five as well. However, Houck has a better chance of picking up the win and is projected to finish with fewer earned runs.
Today’s MLB Free Pick
MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
Jano's first Red Sox homer! pic.twitter.com/GxlTSttPUR
— Red Sox (@RedSox) August 8, 2024
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