Free MLB Pick: Astros vs. Orioles Odds
Looking for Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Orioles Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Astros taking on the Orioles on Thursday, August 22nd, 2024 at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, in Baltimore, MD. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Astros Orioles free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – Houston Astros vs Baltimore Orioles
(68-58) Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Orioles (74-54)
Date: Thursday, August 22nd
Time: 7:08 ET
Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards Baltimore, MD
Projected Starting Pitchers: Spencer Arrighetti vs. Corbin Burnes
MLB Moneyline Odds: Astros +137 | Orioles -162 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Astros +1.5 | Orioles -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 8.5
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Astros vs. Orioles Gameday
At 7:08 PM in Baltimore, the Astros will take on the Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The weather is expected to be a beautiful 77 degrees with a clear sky, perfect for a night of baseball. This AL matchup will be broadcast on FOX.
Corbin Burnes will be on the mound for the Orioles, while Spencer Arrighetti will get the start for the Astros. The Orioles come into this game as the favorite with a money line of -162 compared to the Astros at +137. The over/under line is set at 8.5 runs.
Houston Astros
Houston is on the road today, taking on the Orioles with an overall record of 68-58. The Astros lead the AL West by five games over the Mariners. So far, they have gone 21-18 in divisional games. The Astros dropped the final two games of their series vs. the Red Sox.
At home, the Astros are 35-29 this year, and they have gone 33-29 on the road. As the road underdog, the Astros are 13-11 this year and have won eight straight games as the road underdog overall. Their overall series record is 23-17-1 and have won three straight series on the road.
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Houston closed out their series vs. the Red Sox with a 4-1 loss. Heading into the game, the Astros were the slight favorite at -137 on the money line. Things started off well for the Astros, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning but gave up the lead right away as the Red Sox scored one run in the top of the first.
Justin Verlander had a rough outing, giving up four earned runs on four hits and issuing three walks. The Astros also wasted a big game from Alex Bregman, who homered in the 1st inning but went just 1/4.
Astros Gambling
The Houston Astros are on the road today against the Baltimore Orioles. The over/under line for today’s game is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Astros games this season is 8.6 runs per game. Overall, the over/under record for Astros games this season is 50-72. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, the Astros have a record of 16-25. So far this season, 37 of the Astros’ games have had over/under lines set higher than 8.5 runs, which accounts for 29.4% of their games. On the other hand, 48 of their games have had over/under lines set lower than 8.5 runs, which accounts for 38.1% of their games.
When the Astros win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.7 runs per game. They have a run line record of 63-63, and they are 34-28 against the run line on the road. They have covered the run line in three straight games as the underdog, and they are 21-11 against the run line as the underdog this season.
Astros Stats
The Houston Astros have been a strong offensive team this season, ranking 2nd in batting average and 9th in slugging percentage. They are averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 12th in the league. Yordan Alvarez has been one of their top hitters, with a .307 batting average and 25 home runs this season. Yainer Diaz has been hot at the plate, hitting .476 over his last 5 games. The Astros will look to continue their solid offensive production as they take on their next opponent.
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Baltimore Orioles
With an overall record of 74-54, the Orioles are just a half-game behind the Yankees for the AL East lead. Baltimore will host the Astros today, and they are 28-15 against other teams in the AL East. The Orioles lost two of three in their most recent series vs. the Mets.
At home, the Orioles are 37-28 this season, and they have gone 37-26 on the road. So far, the Orioles have been good as the favorite, going 61-41, and they are 34-25 as the favorite at home. This year, their overall series record is 23-12-6.
The Orioles will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Mets with a 4-3 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 8th inning before the Mets scored three runs in the bottom of the 8th. Baltimore was the +121 underdog on the money line going into this road game.
Cole Irvin put together a good start for the Orioles, going 4 1/3 innings and giving up just two earned runs, and striking out two. However, the Orioles couldn’t close things out, and Seranthony Dominguez took the loss out of the bullpen. The Orioles also wasted a big game from Austin Slater, who homered in the 1st inning, going 3/3.
Orioles Gambling
The Baltimore Orioles are hosting the Houston Astros today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Orioles have played in 40 games this season with over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, and their record in those games is 21-16. Overall, the Orioles’ games have averaged 9.4 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 69-49.
When betting the run line, the Orioles have been a better bet on the road, where they are 39-24 compared to 32-33 at home. They have covered the run line in 52 of 102 games as the favorite and 19 of 26 games as the underdog. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.7, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.4.
Orioles Stats
The Baltimore Orioles have been one of the top offensive teams this season, ranking 3rd in runs per game overall and 2nd on the road. Their power has been on full display, leading the league in total home runs and ISO. Their top hitters this season have been Gunnar Henderson and Anthony Santander, who have combined for 70 home runs and 160 RBI. Henderson has been struggling a bit recently, going 5 for 22 in his last 6 games, but Ramón Urías has been red hot, hitting .438 over his last 6 games. Colton Cowser is currently on a 3-game hitting streak.
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Astros Orioles Pitching
Houston is sending Spencer Arrighetti to the mound today, and he comes in with a record of 5-11 and an ERA of 5.21. Arrighetti has made 22 starts this year and has a WHIP of 1.46. Looking at his overall numbers, he has allowed 17 home runs and is averaging 10.9 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Arrighetti gave up four earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work, taking the loss. Before that, he had won two straight starts. So far, he has a 7.16 ERA on the road compared to 7.37 at home.
Corbin Burnes will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Red Sox, as he got the start and took the loss on August 16th. In that game, he gave up 8 earned runs in 4 innings of work. Looking back further, Burnes has allowed at least one homer in three straight starts. Burnes’ ERA for the season is 3.10, along with a record of 12-5. For the year, he has made 25 starts, and opponents are batting .211 vs. Burnes this season. One positive note is that he has turned in 19 quality starts this year.
Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Astros head into the game having gone 9-1 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Astros they are 6-4 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Orioles are 5-5 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Orioles have a 7-3 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Astros are 2-1 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 1-2 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Orioles have a record of 2-1 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 1-2 in their last three games.
Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Orioles 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
Our prediction for this Astros vs. Orioles matchup is to take the over, with the line sitting at 8.5 runs. Our predicted final score is 7-2 in favor of the Orioles, giving us some wiggle room if you wanted to take the Orioles on the money line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Corbin Burnes is projected to finish with five strikeouts, which is higher than Spencer Arrighetti, who we have finishing with six. However, Burnes is also projected to pick up the win more often than Arrighetti, with Burnes finishing with six innings compared to Arrighetti’s six.
Offensively, we have the Astros finishing with five hits compared to the Orioles, who we have finishing with nine. However, the Orioles are projected to hit more home runs, with the Astros finishing with the second-fewest in the league today.
Today’s MLB Free Pick
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MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
That’s Austin Slater. pic.twitter.com/zm4gfN9K6Q
— Baltimore Orioles (@Orioles) August 21, 2024
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