Free MLB Pick: Astros vs Diamondbacks Odds
Looking for Houston Astros vs. Arizona Diamondbacks free mlb predictions? MLB betting sees the Astros taking on the Diamondbacks on Sunday, May 6, 2018 at Chase Field in Phoenix Arizona. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Astros Diamondbacks free pick.
2018 MLB Season
(21-13) Houston Astros vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (21-11)
Date: Sunday, May 6, 2018
Time: 4:10 PM ET
Venue: Chase Field, Phoenix Arizona
Projected Pitchers: Justin Verlander vs. Matt Koch
MLB Moneyline Odds: Astros -190 | Diamondbacks +178
MLB RunLine Betting Odds: Astros -1.5 (-145)
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: 8
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Verlander was absolutely brilliant in his previous start that came against the New York Yankees. He traveled eight scoreless-innings only giving up three hits while striking out a season-high 14 batters and walking none. Unfortunately Verlander walked away with the no-decision as Houston spotted New York four runs in the ninth as they’d go on to win 4-0.
The 35 year old has been pitching out of his mind in this early part of the season. Averages say he won’t be able to keep up this torrid pace, but his stat line reads as a thing of beauty. He currently owns a 11.71 K/9, a 1.51 BB/9, a 0.76 HR/9, a .202 BABIP, a 95.2% LOB% and a sparkling 1.13 ERA and 2.35 FIP.
Houston has just gotten by in the last week going 4-3 in that span. During that time their lineup is slashing .253/.307/.391 to go with 20 extra-base hits and 32 RBI.
Koch was solid in his last outing that came against the Los Angeles Dodgers. He went five innings giving up two earned off of four hits while striking out three and walking three. Koch owns a sub-par 11:7 strikeout-to-walk ratio his his three starts this year.
His strikeout-to-walk ratio has been underwhelming, but he has done a good job limiting the hits and runs in 17 innings of work just giving up 12 hits and five runs. There is bound to be some regression in his 2.37 ERA however as his .200 BABIP and 81.4% is unsustainable considering his inability to produce swing-and-misses.
Arizona has been playing sub-par baseball in the last week going 3-4 in that span. During that time their lineup is only slashing .227/.296/.382 to go with 19 extra-base hits for just 19 RBI.
MLB Baseball Betting Trends:
- HOU are 44-17 in their last 61 games as a favorite.
- HOU are 49-22 in their last 71 interleague games.
- HOU are 10-4 in the last 14 meetings.
- ARI are 21-9 in their last 30 games as an underdog.
- ARI are 7-3 in their last 10 Sun. games.
- Under is 10-1-2 in ARI last 13 home games.
Free Houston Astros vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Prediction: Houston edges out Arizona on the road
4* Free MLB Betting Pick: Diamondbacks +1.5
Koch hasn’t gotten to the point where I’m going to fade him just yet, while Verlander may be due for a small tumble on the road after putting in five quality starts in a row. I still believe Houston will win, but it’s going to be a tight contest thanks to Arizona’s 3rd ranked bullpen.
MLB Free Score Prediction: Astros 5 – Diamondbacks 4
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