Free Pick: Tigers vs. Mets Odds
Looking for Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Tigers taking on the Mets on 5/13 at Citi Field, in New York. This free MLB baseball pick is based on matchup analysis and documented handicapping data tracked by CappersPicks since 2004, with a focus on identifying the strongest betting angle for this Tigers Mets matchup..
2026 MLB Handicapping – Detroit Tigers vs New York Mets
(19-23) Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets (16-25)
Date: May 13, 2026
Time: 7:10 PM ET
Venue: Citi Field in New York, NY
Projected Starting Pitchers: Framber Valdez vs. Christian Scott
MLB Moneyline Odds: Tigers -113 | Mets -109 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Tigers -1.5 | Mets +1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 8
Here’s why I’m backing a New York ML bet below in my Tigers Mets free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
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Tigers vs. Mets Gameday
The Detroit Tigers head into Citi Field tonight looking to rebound after dropping their previous game against the Mets. Detroit enters this matchup with a 19-23 record while New York sits at 16-25 following a strong home victory.
The Mets controlled the latest meeting between these clubs from start to finish.
New York grabbed momentum last game, but this matchup still feels closer than the records suggest.
The Mets rolled to a dominant 10-2 win over the Tigers in their most recent matchup at Citi Field. Breezy winds and overcast conditions could still create some unpredictable moments during tonight’s game.
Detroit continues searching for more consistency away from home this season.
Meanwhile, the Mets will try to build momentum after snapping through with an impressive offensive showing in the previous contest. New York also carries a slight edge in the recent head-to-head history between these teams.
The Tigers know another slow start could create problems quickly in this spot.
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets Odds & Last 5
The betting odds suggest tonight’s game could turn into one of the tighter matchups on the board. Detroit enters with a moneyline of -109 while New York sits just behind at -108.
Oddsmakers are clearly expecting a competitive game throughout all nine innings.
The total has been posted at 8.0 runs with the over at -109 and the under at -112. Those numbers reflect fairly balanced expectations offensively between both clubs.
New York enters after a convincing 10-2 victory against Detroit in the latest meeting. The Mets generated offense throughout the lineup while keeping the Tigers mostly quiet at the plate.
The Tigers have still shown flashes of competitiveness recently despite the inconsistency.
Detroit picked up a recent win against the Royals while continuing to battle through uneven stretches offensively. Meanwhile, the Mets have alternated wins and losses frequently during their last ten games.
Mets Stats
The New York Mets continue carrying below-average offensive numbers into this matchup. Their .225 batting average ranks 19th across Major League Baseball this season.
The on-base production has also remained an issue throughout much of the year.
New York owns a .290 on-base percentage, ranking 27th in the league entering tonight’s game. The lineup has struggled consistently creating traffic on the bases from inning to inning.
The pitching staff has provided far more stability than the offense this season. The Mets enter with a solid 3.80 earned run average, ranking 9th overall.
The strikeout production has also remained one of the stronger areas for this staff.
New York pitchers have already recorded 387 strikeouts this season, placing them 3rd in baseball. That ability to miss bats continues helping the Mets remain competitive despite offensive inconsistency.
Mark Vientos currently leads the Mets with 5 home runs and a .416 slugging percentage. Francisco Alvarez has also delivered steady production with a .241 batting average and 4 home runs.
Those two hitters remain important pieces in the middle of New York’s lineup.
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Tigers Stats
The Detroit Tigers continue showing some solid production in several offensive categories this season. Detroit currently ranks 1st in doubles with 80 entering tonight’s matchup.
The power numbers have remained more middle-of-the-pack overall.
The Tigers have totaled 38 home runs this season, placing them 15th across the league. Detroit has still managed to generate offense consistently through extra-base hitting opportunities.
On the mound, the Tigers have delivered respectable overall pitching numbers this year. Detroit enters tonight carrying a 3.99 earned run average, ranking 13th overall.
The staff has also done a good job limiting home-run damage.
Detroit pitchers have allowed only 34 home runs this season, ranking 3rd in that category. Keeping the ball inside the park has helped the Tigers remain competitive in close games.
Kevin McGonigle continues leading the lineup with a .300 batting average and 26 runs scored this season. Dillon Dingler has added 7 home runs while Spencer Torkelson enters with 6 home runs.
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Tigers vs. Mets Pitching Matchup
Framber Valdez gets the start tonight for Detroit carrying a 2-2 record into the game. His 4.57 ERA and 1.41 WHIP suggest inconsistency has remained an issue at times.
The strikeout numbers still show why the Tigers trust his upside on the mound.
Valdez has totaled 35 strikeouts this season while continuing to work through command issues in certain outings. Limiting baserunners more consistently could become the biggest key for him tonight.
On the other side, Christian Scott takes the mound for the Mets looking to continue his steady early form. Scott enters without a win or loss but carries a strong 3.27 ERA.
His command numbers have also looked encouraging through his appearances.
Scott owns a 1.18 WHIP while recording 15 strikeouts so far this season. The Mets will look for him to continue limiting traffic on the bases against Detroit’s lineup.
Both starters enter tonight trying to provide length while helping stabilize their respective clubs. Valdez brings more strikeout experience while Scott has delivered steadier overall efficiency recently.
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets bottom line: New York enters with momentum after the blowout win, but Detroit still has enough pitching and offensive depth to keep this matchup competitive.
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets Baseball Betting Trends
- The Mets are 2-3 straight-up in their last five games.
- The Mets have gone under the total in 4 of their last 5 games.
- The Tigers are 1-4 straight-up in their last five games.
- Also, the Tigers have gone under the total in 4 of their last 5 games.
- The Mets are 1-4 against the run line in their last five games.
- Additionally, the Tigers are 1-4 against the run line in their last five games.
Tigers Mets Free Pick: Mets ML -108
Here is my Tigers Mets free pick: New York still has the better setup entering tonight.
The Mets have been playing stronger baseball lately while continuing to score enough runs to support their pitching. That recent momentum deserves respect.
Detroit has struggled badly away from home this season, and those road issues continue following them into difficult matchups. Can the Tigers really flip that trend here?
Add to that New York already hanging ten runs on Detroit in the recent meeting between these teams. Quick note, confidence carries over in baseball.
The matchup still favors the Mets overall.
New York looks positioned to protect home field again.
The road concerns for Detroit and the stronger current form both support the home side here. My MLB betting system tells me the Mets ML is the play.
Today’s MLB Free Pick
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MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
TURN ON THE JETS!!!
A.J. Ewing’s first career hit is a triple! pic.twitter.com/WDw7c5wKvZ
— New York Mets (@Mets) May 13, 2026
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