Free MLB Pick: Tigers vs. Astros Odds
Looking for Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Tigers taking on the Astros on Tuesday, October 1st, 2024 at Minute Maid Park, in Houston, TX. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Tigers Astros free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – Detroit Tigers vs Houston Astros
(86-76) Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros (88-73)
Date: Tuesday, October 1st
Time: 2:32 ET
Venue: Minute Maid Park Houston, TX
Projected Starting Pitchers: Tarik Skubal vs. Framber Valdez
MLB Moneyline Odds: Tigers +126 | Astros -148 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Tigers +1.5 | Astros -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 6.5
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Tigers vs. Astros Gameday
Today’s AL matchup between the Detroit Tigers and the Houston Astros is set to start at 2:32 PM ET from Minute Maid Park in Houston, TX. The Tigers are looking to snap a two-game losing streak and improve on their 86-76 record, while the Astros are hoping to extend their winning streak to three games and improve on their 88-73 record.
ABC will be televising this game, and the over/under line is currently set at 6.5 runs. The Tigers are the underdog in this one, with a money line payout of +126 compared to the Astros’ -148.
Framber Valdez will be on the mound for the Astros, while the Tigers will counter with Tarik Skubal.
Detroit Tigers
Detroit is 3rd in the AL Central, tied with the Royals and trailing the Guardians by 6.5 games. The Tigers are 86-76 overall, and they are 28-24 against other teams in the AL Central. The Tigers lost the final two games of their series vs. the White Sox.
As the Tigers are on the road today, they bring a record of 43-38 on the road compared to their 43-38 mark at home. Detroit has won two straight games as the underdog, and they are 46-50 as the underdog overall. The Tigers’ series record is 26-20-5 this year, and they have won three straight series on the road.
The Tigers will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the White Sox with a 9-5 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 5th inning before the White Sox scored four runs in the top of the 7th. Detroit was the -238 favorite at home going into the game.
Kenta Maeda had a rough outing, giving up five earned runs on five hits and issuing three walks.
The Tigers also wasted a big game from Kerry Carpenter, who homered in the 2nd inning, going 1/5.
Tigers Gambling
The Detroit Tigers are on the road today against the Houston Astros. The over/under line for the game is set at 6.5 runs, which is lower than their average over/under line of 8 runs. The Tigers have played 157 games this season with over/under lines higher than 6.5 runs, and their over/under record for the season is 78-79. Their games have averaged a combined 8.2 runs per game this season.
When betting the run line, the Detroit Tigers have been a good bet on the road this season, going 51-30. They have covered the run line in two straight games and have been especially good as the underdog, going 62-34.
Their average run margin in winning games is +3.5, while it’s -3.4 in losing games.
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Tigers Stats
The Detroit Tigers have struggled to generate offense this season, as they rank 19th in runs per game with 4.2.
Their batting average of .234 is 15th in the league, and their OBP of .300 is 21st. The Tigers’ top hitters this season have been Kerry Carpenter, who leads the team with a .284 batting average, and Riley Greene, who has hit a team-high 24 home runs and 74 RBIs.
Carpenter has been hot at the plate recently, hitting .292 over his last 9 games. Wenceel Pérez is currently on a 3-game hitting streak.
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Houston Astros
The Astros are 88-73 overall this season, and they lead the AL West by 3.5 games over the Mariners. Houston will be taking on the Tigers today, and they are the home team. The Astros have an overall division record of 29-23 heading into their final game of the season.
At home, the Astros have gone 46-35 this season, and they are just above .500 at 42-38 on the road. As the favorite, the Astros have gone 67-51 this season, and they are 43-29 when favored at home. Houston’s overall series record is 27-22-2, and they are coming off a series win vs. the Guardians.
Houston closed out their series vs. the Guardians with a 4-3 win on the road. Heading into the game, the Astros were the +130 underdog. Things started off well for the Astros, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning and added three more runs in the 2nd.
Justin Verlander put together a good start for the Astros, going six innings and giving up three earned runs, and picking up the win.
Houston’s offense was carried by Mauricio Dubon, who went 2/4 with two doubles and a run scored.
Astros Gambling
The Houston Astros are at home today against the Detroit Tigers. The over/under line for the game is set at 6.5 runs, which is lower than their season average of 8 runs per game. The Astros have gone under the total in two straight games and have an over/under record of 65-90 on the season.
When betting the run line on the Astros, it’s been a better proposition to take them on the road, where they’re 45-35 compared to 38-43 at home. They’ve been a better bet as the underdog, going 28-15 compared to 55-63 as the favorite.
They’ve been outscoring opponents by an average of 0.6 runs per game overall, with a scoring margin of 0.9 at home and 0.2 on the road.
Astros Stats
The Houston Astros have been a strong offensive team this season, ranking 2nd in batting average and 8th in slugging percentage. Their runs per game are 10th in the league, and they have been particularly productive at home, where they are 5th in the league in runs per game.
The Astros have a few hitters who have been performing well recently, with Alex Bregman hitting .367 with 3 home runs in his last 8 games, and Kyle Tucker hitting .438 with 3 home runs in his last 8 games.
Yordan Alvarez has been the team’s top hitter this season, with a .308 batting average, 35 home runs, and 86 RBI.
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Tigers Astros Pitching
Tarik Skubal gets the start for the Tigers today as he faces the Astros on the road. He has made 31 starts this season and has a record of 18-4 with a 2.39 ERA. Skubal’s WHIP for the season is .92, and he has turned in 22 quality starts. Skubal is coming off a dominant outing in which he didn’t give up a run. In that start vs. the Rays, he went seven innings, picking up the win.
Skubal has won each of his last two starts. Per nine innings, he is averaging 10.69 strikeouts. Skubal has allowed a total of 15 home runs this season.
Framber Valdez gets the start for the Astros today vs. the Tigers and comes in with a record of 15-7 and an ERA of 2.91. So far, he has made 28 starts, and opponents are batting .218 this season. Valdez has turned in 17 quality starts, and his ERA at home is 2.98 compared to 3.78 on the road.
Valdez’s last outing came on September 24th, where he picked up the win, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up three earned runs. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without giving up an earned run. The left-hander has been tagged for two homers in three of his last four outings.
Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Tigers head into the game having gone 8-2 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Tigers they are 7-3 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Astros are 6-4 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Astros have a 6-4 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Tigers are 1-2 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 2-1 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Astros have a record of 1-2 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 2-1 in their last three games.
Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
Our prediction for this game is that the Astros will pick up a 5-4 win over the Tigers. With the money line payout for an Astros win sitting at -148, this is the bet we recommend making.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Framber Valdez is projected to finish with five strikeouts compared to Tarik Skubal, who is projected to finish with five.
However, Valdez has a better chance of picking up a win and is also projected to finish with a lower ERA.
Today’s MLB Free Pick
MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
Mission scheduled.
🎟️: https://t.co/qeWI2w4RkL pic.twitter.com/NZrxRoY1FM
— Houston Astros (@astros) October 1, 2024
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