Free MLB Pick: Tigers vs. Guardians Odds
Looking for Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Tigers taking on the Guardians on Saturday, October 5th, 2024 at Progressive Field, in Cleveland, OH. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Tigers Guardians free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians
2024 ALDS Series Preview
(86-76) Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians (92-69)
Date: Saturday, October 5th
Time: 1:08 ET
Venue: Progressive Field Cleveland, OH
Projected Starting Pitchers: Tyler Holton vs. Tanner Bibee
MLB Moneyline Odds: Tigers +128 | Guardians -149 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Tigers +1.5 | Guardians -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 7
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Tigers vs. Guardians Gameday
It’s a beautiful day for baseball in Cleveland, as the Guardians host the Tigers in this AL Central matchup. The first pitch is set for 1:08 PM ET at Progressive Field, with Tanner Bibee taking the mound for Cleveland and Tyler Holton getting the start for Detroit.
Looking at the odds, the Guardians are favored at -149 on the money line, while the Tigers come in as the underdog at +128. The over/under line is set at 7 runs, with the over paying out at -107 compared to the under at -113.
Detroit Tigers
Detroit closed out the season with an 86-76 record, and they were 6.5 games behind the Guardians in the AL Central. The Tigers will kick off their AL Divisional Round series vs. the Guardians today, having lost two straight games. Their overall record includes a 28-24 mark in AL Central matchups this year.
As the road team today, the Tigers are 43-38 at home and 43-38 on the road. Detroit has won four straight games as the underdog, and they are 48-50 in games where they were the underdog. The Tigers have won four straight games as the road underdog, and their overall series record is 27-20-4 this year.
Parker Meadows and the Tigers are coming off a big 5-2 win over the Astros to close out their series. Meadows went only 1/5, but his one hit was a home run, and the Tigers scored four runs in thejson 8th inning. Detroit was the +155 underdog going into this matchup.
Tyler Holton got the start for the Tigers, going just one inning. He was replaced by Sean Guenther, who picked up the win out of the bullpen. The Tigers also closed things out with Will Vest, who picked up the save.
Tigers Gambling
The Detroit Tigers and Cleveland Guardians kick off their AL Divisional Round series today, with the Tigers playing as the road team. The over/under line for today’s game is set at 7 runs, which is lower than their combined run average of 8.1 runs per game this season. The Tigers have played in 143 games this season with over/under lines set higher than 7 runs, which accounts for 88.3% of their games. Their over/under record for the season is 78-81, and their over/under record when the line is set at 7 runs is 8-7. They have hit the under in their last two games.
When it comes to the run line, the Tigers have been a solid bet this season, going 88-76. They have been especially good on the road, where they are 53-30 against the run line. They have covered the run line in four straight games and have been a profitable bet as the underdog, going 64-34 against the run line in those games.
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Tigers Stats
The Detroit Tigers offense has been below average this season, ranking 19th in runs per game at 4.2. Their batting average of .234 is 15th in the league, and their OBP of .300 is 21st. The Tigers have hit 162 home runs this season, which is 19th in the league. Kerry Carpenter has been the Tigers’ best hitter this season, leading the team in batting average at .284, and he has hit 18 home runs and driven in 57 runs. In his last 9 games, Carpenter has hit .269 with 3 home runs and 7 RBIs. Wenceel Pérez is on a 4-game hitting streak, while Parker Meadows has hit safely in 3 straight games.
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Cleveland Guardians
Cleveland heads into the AL Divisional Round having dropped two straight games, closing out the regular season with a record of 92-69. The Guardians will host the Tigers today, and they finished the year with a 6.5-game lead over the Royals in the AL Central. This year, they have gone 30-22 against other teams in the AL Central.
As the favorite, the Guardians have gone 64-36 this year and 28-33 as the underdog. At home, they are 50-30 this year compared to 42-39 on the road. Cleveland’s overall series record is 28-17-5, and they are 43-23 as the home favorite this year.
The Guardians will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Astros with a 4-3 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 9th inning before the Astros scored two runs in the top of the 9th. Cleveland was the -151 favorite at home going into the game.
Ben Lively got the start for the Guardians and took the loss. He only lasted four innings, giving up two earned runs on five hits. Offensively, the Guardians scored their three runs on nine hits and only had one home run.
Guardians Gambling
The Cleveland Guardians have seen a lot of high-scoring games this season, with their games averaging 8.3 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 68-82, and the over/under line for today’s game is set at 7 runs. The Guardians have had a lot of games with high over/under lines this season, as 94.4% of their games have had lines set at over 7 runs. However, their games have gone under the total in their last five games.
The Guardians have a run line record of 82-79 this season, including a 39-41 mark at home. Their average run margin is +0.5 runs per game, and they have a run line record of 43-38 on the road. They have covered the run line in 36 of 61 games as an underdog this season.
Guardians Stats
The Cleveland Guardians have been averaging 4.4 runs per game this season, which is 14th in the league. Their offense has been slightly better at home, where they are averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 9th in the league. José Ramírez has been one of the top hitters for the Guardians this season, with a .279 batting average and 39 home runs. In his last 6 games, he’s hitting .409 with 3 home runs and 9 RBIs. Josh Naylor has also been a key contributor, hitting .243 with 31 home runs and 108 RBIs this season.
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Tigers Guardians Pitching
Tyler Holton is getting the start for the Tigers today and comes into the game with a record of 7-2 and an ERA of 2.19. So far, he has made 68 appearances and nine starts. Holton’s WHIP for the season is currently .78, and opponents are batting .171 this year. The last time he took the mound was on October 2nd vs. the Astros, where he went one inning, giving up one hit and issuing a walk. Holton didn’t give up a run in that outing and finished with a no-decision. Before that, he had three straight outings where he didn’t give up a run.
Cleveland is starting right-hander Tanner Bibee today vs. the Tigers. He has made 31 starts this season and has a record of 12-8 with a 3.47 ERA. Bibee’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.12, and opponents are batting .225 off him this year. In his 31 appearances, he has turned in 12 quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, Bibee picked up the win vs. the Reds, going seven innings and giving up just one earned run. Before that, he had taken the loss in three straight outings. The right-hander has given up at least one homer in four straight starts.
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Tigers head into the game having gone 9-1 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Tigers they are 8-2 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Guardians are 5-5 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Guardians have a 6-4 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Tigers are 1-2 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 3-0 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Guardians have a record of 1-2 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 2-1 in their last three games.
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians 4* Free MLB Betting Pick: Tigers ML
Our prediction for this Tigers vs. Guardians matchup is to take the Tigers on the money line, with the payout sitting at +128. We actually have the Tigers winning this one by a score of 3-2, giving you a couple of different ways to bet this one.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Tyler Holton is projected to finish with five strikeouts, which is the lowest among all starters. As for Tanner Bibee, he is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which has him in the middle of the pack.
Today’s MLB Free Pick
MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
“Someway, somehow” is right in our comfort zone.#ForTheLand | #GuardsBall@WeAreNeoni pic.twitter.com/oHLFCoAcUi
— Cleveland Guardians (@CleGuardians) October 5, 2024
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