Free MLB Pick: Tigers vs. Red Sox Odds
Looking for Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Sox free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Tigers taking on the Red Sox on Tuesday, May 4, 2021 at Fenway Park. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Tigers Red Sox free pick.
2021 MLB Handicapping
(8-21) Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Sox (17-12)
Date: Tuesday, May 4, 2021
Time: 7:10 PM ET
Venue: Fenway Park, Boston, MA.
Projected Pitchers: Fulmer (DET), Pivetta (BOS)
MLB Moneyline Odds: DET +148 | BOS -176
MLB RunLine Betting Odds: DET -132 | BOS +110
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: 9
Detroit remains the only team in baseball without ten wins yet. It has lost five in a row and ten of its last eleven.
But Michael Fulmer appears to be bouncing back from his lost 2019 season and a poor showing in limited action in his 2020 return.
The former American League Rookie of the Year, who was named an All-Star in his second season, has a 3.86 ERA in seven games (three starts) on the season.
Fulmer has struck out 20 and walked just six in 21 innings. His last outing was out of the bullpen on Thursday, in which he entered a game the Tigers were already losing. He was not sharp against the White Sox.
In his three starts, Fulmer has given up five runs in 12 innings. He has topped out at 78 pitches (April 14 at Houston). Even if he does pitch well, Detroit’s bullpen will have a heavy influence in this game.
Boston Red Sox
And that’s where the Red Sox can look forward to feasting, even if they can’t break Fulmer early.
Boston had the day off Monday following a tough end to its series in Texas, in which the Red Sox lost the final three of four.
The Boston fans are still unsure of exactly what this team is. It’s why they were so eager to announce “this team is good!” after the hot start and so quick to panic after the series in Arlington. The Red Sox come into this series facing some early-season pressure, at least on the outset.
Internally, this team is more confident of what it’s capable of. The biggest reason why has been the early-season performance of the pitching staff, including Nick Pivetta.
Pivetta has gone 3–0 in five starts with a 2.81 ERA but he’s walked a lot of batters — 17 in less than 26 innings, compared with just 25 strikeouts. It will be nearly impossible to maintain that sort of run prevention with that ratio.
MLB Baseball Betting Trends:
- Tigers are 0-5 in their last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Tigers are 0-4 in their last 4 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Tigers are 2-3 in their last 5 vs. American League East.
- Tigers are 2-6 in their last 8 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Red Sox are 27-25 in their last 52 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Red Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Red Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
Free Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Prediction: take a shot with the Tigers.
I didn’t believe in Boston’s pitching before the season. I buy some of what I saw in April but remain skeptical. In this matchup, the starting pitching combination is about a wash.
That may leave things up to the bullpen, which Boston does have an advantage in, though perhaps not much. The Red Sox relievers did not pitch well in either of the last two games against the Rangers.
So here’s just an opportunity to take a shot playing a big-money underdog in a spot it has a fighting chance.
4* Free MLB Betting Pick: Detroit +148
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