Free Pick: Rockies vs. Cubs Odds
Looking for Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubs Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Rockies taking on the Cubs on 6/17 at Wrigley Field, in Chicago. This free MLB baseball pick is based on matchup analysis and documented handicapping data tracked by CappersPicks since 2004, with a focus on identifying the strongest betting angle for this Rockies Cubs matchup..
2026 MLB Handicapping – Colorado Rockies vs Chicago Cubs
(28-46) Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubs (38-36)
Date: Jun 17, 2026
Time: 8:05 PM ET
Venue: Wrigley Field in Chicago, IL
Projected Starting Pitchers: Sean Sullivan vs. Javier Assad
MLB Moneyline Odds: Rockies +156 | Cubs -191 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Rockies +1.5 | Cubs -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 10
Here’s why I’m backing an UNDER bet below in my Rockies Cubs free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
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Rockies vs. Cubs Gameday
The Colorado Rockies enter this matchup with a 28-46 record and remain at the bottom of the NL West standings. Their latest result could provide a much-needed confidence boost after knocking off the Cubs by a 5-2 score. Colorado will try to build on that momentum as the series continues.
Chicago comes into the game with a slightly stronger overall record.
The Cubs sit at 38-36 and currently hold third place in the NL Central. Even after their recent loss to Colorado, Chicago has managed a balanced 5-5 record over its last 10 games.
Momentum shifted last game, but this series remains far from settled.
Weather could become a major storyline at Wrigley Field.
Heavy rain is in the forecast and could create interruptions throughout the night. Both teams may need to adjust quickly to changing conditions in order to gain an advantage.
Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubs Odds & Last 5
The betting odds continue to favor Chicago in this matchup. The Cubs are listed at -186 on the moneyline, while the Rockies come back at +156. On the runline, Colorado receives +1.5 at -128, while Chicago sits at -1.5 with +106 odds.
The total has been set at 10 runs.
Both the over and under carry nearly identical pricing, reflecting uncertainty around how much offense could be generated. Weather conditions may also influence how that total plays out.
The Rockies picked up a 5-2 victory over the Cubs in the most recent meeting.
Colorado showed some offensive punch in that game with a home run and two extra-base hits. That performance helped the Rockies secure one of their better wins of the series.
Chicago had success earlier in the matchup as well.
The Cubs previously earned a 5-4 victory behind strong performances from their hitters. Both teams have shown the ability to score runs, which could become an important factor despite the forecast.
Cubs Stats
The Cubs have produced respectable offensive numbers this season. Their .239 batting average ranks 14th in baseball. Chicago’s .331 on-base percentage ranks 5th overall.
Power production has also been solid.
The Cubs have hit 85 home runs this season, placing them 11th in the league. Their ability to get on base continues to be one of the strengths of the offense.
The pitching staff has delivered mixed results throughout the year. Chicago owns a 4.24 ERA, ranking 18th in baseball. Opponents are batting .240 against Cubs pitchers, which ranks 12th in the league.
Home run prevention remains an issue.
The Cubs have allowed 106 home runs this season, ranking 24th overall. That number continues to be one of the bigger concerns for the staff.
Pete Crow-Armstrong has been one of the club’s hottest hitters recently. He went 4-for-4 with a home run against Colorado in one of the recent matchups. Michael Busch has added 8 home runs and 42 RBIs, while Alex Bregman owns a .251 batting average with 6 home runs.
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Rockies Stats
The Colorado offense has quietly put together some strong numbers this season. The Rockies rank 5th in batting average at .252. They also rank 2nd in doubles with 135.
Getting on base more consistently remains an area for improvement.
Colorado owns a .321 on-base percentage, which ranks 9th in baseball. The offense has shown the ability to generate contact and extra-base hits throughout the season.
Pitching has been a much bigger challenge for the Rockies. Their 5.58 ERA ranks at the bottom of the league. Colorado also ranks 24th in batting average against at .286.
The long ball has created additional problems.
The Rockies have surrendered 101 home runs, ranking 22nd in baseball. Improving overall run prevention remains a priority moving forward.
Several hitters have played major roles in the lineup. Hunter Goodman leads the club with 20 home runs. TJ Rumfield carries a .275 batting average, while Willi Castro has contributed a .282 average along with 31 RBIs.
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Rockies vs. Cubs Pitching Matchup
Sean Sullivan takes the mound for Colorado still searching for his first decision of the season. He enters with a 0.00 ERA, although his workload has been limited. Sullivan has recorded only two strikeouts so far, making this a noteworthy test against the Cubs lineup.
His early WHIP sits at an impressive 0.67.
That number suggests Sullivan has done a good job limiting both hits and walks. However, his low strikeout total may become a concern if he is forced to work deeper into the game.
Chicago counters with Javier Assad, who has started the season with a 4-1 record. His 3.99 ERA reflects both challenges and success in key situations. Assad has also collected 24 strikeouts while helping stabilize the Cubs rotation.
His WHIP currently stands at 1.02.
That figure highlights Assad’s ability to keep baserunners to a minimum. As the season continues, maintaining that consistency will be important to Chicago’s success. His performance tonight could play a major role in determining the outcome.
Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubs bottom line: Chicago remains the favorite, but Colorado’s recent win shows the Rockies are capable of making this another competitive game.
Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubs Baseball Betting Trends
- The Cubs are 3-2 straight-up in their last 5 games.
- The Cubs have gone under the total in 3 of their last 5 games.
- The Rockies are 2-3 straight-up in their last 5 games.
- Also, the Rockies have gone over the total in 3 of their last 5 games.
- The Cubs are 2-3 against the run line in their last 5 games.
- Additionally, the Rockies are 3-2 against the run line in their last 5 games.
Rockies Cubs Free Pick: Under 10
Here is my Rockies Cubs free pick: This matchup still feels a little too high.
Chicago has been involved in several lower-scoring games lately while relying more heavily on pitching and defense. That trend deserves attention.
Colorado can certainly score runs, but conditions at Wrigley could make offense more difficult than usual. So why expect a shootout tonight?
Another thing here, weather often becomes a factor when totals reach this range at Wrigley Field. Quick note, conditions matter.
The setup still points toward limited offense.
This game looks more likely to stay below the number.
The recent trends and expected conditions both support looking toward the under tonight. Final lean: Under 10.
Today’s MLB Free Pick
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MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
next-level hustle from matt shaw. 😤 pic.twitter.com/7qoGtbZNpN
— Chicago Cubs (@Cubs) June 17, 2026
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