Free MLB Pick: Guardians vs. Padres Odds
Looking for Cleveland Guardians vs. San Diego Padres free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Guardians taking on the Padres on Tuesday, 8/23/2022 at Petco Park in San Diego. Cappers picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Guardians Padres free pick.
2022 MLB Handicapping
(64-56) Cleveland Guardians vs. San Diego Padres (68-56)
Date: Tuesday, 8/23/2022
Time: 9:40 PM ET
Venue: Petco Park, San Diego
Projected Pitchers: Aaron Civale (CLE) vs. Mike Clevinger (SD)
MLB Moneyline Odds: Guardians +130 / Padres -155
MLB RunLine Betting Odds: Guardians +1.5 (-165) / Padres -1.5 (+140)
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: 8
The Guardians will head to San Diego to kickoff a series against the Padres on Tuesday. Aaron Civale will go for the Guardians, and Mike Clevinger will get the start for the Padres.
The Padres open as -155 home favorites and the total for this game is set at 8.
Cleveland Guardians
Aaron Civale has pitched pretty decent so far in the month of August. He is 0-0 with a 2.70 ERA in 10 innings of work during the month. In his last start, he went 6 innings, giving up 3 hits and 1 earned run against the Tigers. In that start, he also struck out a season high, 10 batters. Civale’s ERA has gone down every single month of the season so far; so we will see if he can keep that trend up by having another good start.
On the season, Civale is 2-5 with a 5.63 ERA in 14 starts. Of the 40 earned runs he has surrendered, 27 of those came in April and May. As I stated above, he has gotten stronger as the season has gone on. The money pitch for Civale this season has been has curveball; he is giving up just a .108 batting average and a .150 xBA. His curveball actually ranks in the 96th percentile for spin rate.
As a team, the Guardians rank 4th in batting average and 8th in OBP vs righties on the season. As for any props, nobody on the Guardians has over 2 at-bats vs Clevinger. The last 30 days, Steven Kwan is hitting .333 in 108 at-bats with 2 homers and 6 RBIs. He might be worth playing over 1.5 Hits+RBIs+Runs in this matchup.
San Diego Padres
Mike Clevinger in the month of August so far has pitched to a 2-1 record and a 4.29 ERA. He will look to bounce back in this start after only pitching 4.1 innings, giving up 6 hits and 3 earned runs in his last start vs the Marlins. In his four starts in the month, he has given up 1 run, 5 runs, 1 run and 3 runs. Let’s see if he continues this trend and has a good start in this game.
On the season, Clevinger is 4-4 with a 3.63 ERA in 14 starts. He has been good at limiting hard contact, ranking in the 75th percentile in average exit velocity and 65th percentile in hard hit percent. Clevinger throws 6 pitches, but really features his fastball and slider the most.
The Padres are 17th in batting average and 10th in OBP vs righties this season. Josh Bell has faced Civale 6 times and has 2 singles, but that is it for players on the Padres that have faced Civale. In the last 30 days, Manny Machado has been hot, batting .313 in 112 at-bats, but has not registered a homer in this stretch.
MLB Baseball Betting Trends:
- Over is 4-0-1 in Guardians last 5 interleague games.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Guardians last 5 vs. National League West.
- Padres are 4-0 in Clevingers last 4 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Padres are 10-1 in their last 11 games following an off day.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Padres last 8 vs. American League Central.
Cleveland Guardians vs. San Diego Padres MLB Prediction:
After seeing these trends, I’m going to take the over. Also, after a days rest, the Padres have been on fire, so I’m also going to take the Padres ML. Instead of taking them separate, let’s take the Padres ML and the over and parlay them for a nice same game parlay!
4* Free MLB Pick: Padres ML & Over 8 Parlay (+225)
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