Free MLB Pick: Guardians vs. Yankees Odds
Looking for Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Guardians taking on the Yankees on Monday, October 14th, 2024 at Yankee Stadium, in New York, NY. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Guardians Yankees Game 1 ALCS free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – Cleveland Guardians vs New York Yankees
2024 MLB Playoffs – Game 1 ALCS
(92-69) Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees (94-68)
Date: Monday, October 14th
Time: 7:38 ET
Venue: Yankee Stadium New York, NY
Projected Starting Pitchers: Alex Cobb vs. Carlos Rodón
MLB Moneyline Odds: Guardians +139 | Yankees -162 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Guardians +1.5 | Yankees -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 7.5
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Guardians vs. Yankees Gameday
It’s a chilly night in the Bronx as the New York Yankees host the Cleveland Guardians in this American League matchup, it’s Game 1 of the 2024 ALCS. First pitch is set for 7:38 PM ET at Yankee Stadium, and you can catch the action on TBS.
The Yankees are slight favorites in this one, with a money line of -162 compared to the Guardians’ +139.
Carlos Rodón gets the start for the Yankees, while Alex Cobb takes the mound for the Guardians. The over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, with the under slightly favored at -119 compared to the over at -101.
Cleveland Guardians
Cleveland heads into today’s road matchup vs. the Yankees holding a two-game lead over the Rays for the top AL Wild Card spot. The Guardians are also 6.5 games behind the White Sox for the AL Central lead. Cleveland is 92-69 overall and went 30-22 in divisional games.
The Guardians lost two straight games to close out their series vs. the White Sox, but they won their series opener vs. the Tigers. This season, the Guardians are 50-30 at home and have gone 42-39 on the road. As the favorite, Cleveland is 66-37 and 29-34 as the underdog. Their overall series record is 30-16-8, and they are 5-5 over their last 10 games.
Led by a big game by Lane Thomas at the plate, the Guardians are coming off a 7-3 win over the Tigers to close out their series. Thomas went 2/4 with five RBIs and a homer. The Guardians really broke things open with a five-run 3rd inning. Looking at the betting lines going into the game, the Guardians were the slight underdog at -102.
Matthew Boyd got the start for the Guardians, going two innings, and didn’t give up a run. He also issued just one walk and struck out five Tigers batters. Cleveland’s bullpen was solid, as well, going a combined five innings and giving up just three runs. Emmanuel Clase closed things out in the 9th, picking up the save.
Guardians Gambling
The Cleveland Guardians are on the road today against the New York Yankees. The over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs, which is lower than their season average of 8.2 runs per game. The Guardians have gone over the total in 70 of their 154 games this season, and their over/under record when the line is set at 7.5 runs is 18-24. The over has hit in each of their last two games.
When betting the run line, the Cleveland Guardians have been a better bet on the road this season, going 43-40. They have an average run margin of +0.4 runs per game on the road, compared to +0.8 runs per game at home. The Guardians have been a better bet on the run line as an underdog, going 37-26, compared to 47-56 as the favorite.
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Guardians Stats
The Cleveland Guardians have been a middle-of-the-pack offensive team this season, averaging 4.4 runs per game, which ranks 14th in the league. Their batting average of .238 is below average, but they have been good at limiting strikeouts, ranking 4th in the league in that category. José Ramírez has been the standout hitter for the Guardians this season, with a .279 batting average, 39 home runs, and 118 RBIs. In his last 9 games, Ramírez has been hitting .333 with 3 home runs and 9 RBIs. Lane Thomas is currently on a 3-game hitting streak, while Brayan Rocchio and Steven Kwan are both on 5-game hitting streaks.
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New York Yankees
With an overall record of 94-68, the Yankees lead the AL East by three games over the Orioles. Today, they host the Guardians with an overall division record of 26-26. The Yankees have won two straight games, and this came after dropping five of their previous six games.
At home, the Yankees are 44-37 this season, and they have been really good on the road at 50-31. As the favorite, the Yankees are 79-61 this season, and they are 18-8 as the underdog. New York’s overall series record is 30-18-5, and they have won four straight series on the road.
The Yankees’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Royals, closing out their series with a 3-1 win. After allowing one run to the Royals in the bottom of the first, the Yankees responded with a run of their own. New York went on to add another run in the 5th inning and closed things out with a 3rd run in the 6th.
Gerrit Cole put together a good start for the Yankees, going seven innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. New York’s offense was carried by Gleyber Torres and Giancarlo Stanton, who each had two hits and scored a run. The Yankees also had Luke Weaver come in and close things out in the 9th.
Yankees Gambling
The New York Yankees are playing the Cleveland Guardians at home today. The over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, which is lower than their combined run average of 9.1 runs per game. The Yankees have an over/under record of 87-74 this season, and their games have averaged an over/under line of 8 runs. When the line has been set at 7.5 runs, their record is 9-11. The over has hit in 86.4% of their games this season, and they are currently on a streak of three straight unders.
The Yankees have been a solid run line bet on the road this season, going 50-33. Their average run margin on the road is +1.4, and they have covered the run line in their last game as the favorite. However, they have not been a good bet at home, going just 35-48 on the run line.
Yankees Stats
The New York Yankees have been one of the top offensive teams in the league this season. They are 3rd in runs per game, 1st in total home runs, and lead the league in walks. Their top hitters this season have been Aaron Judge and Juan Soto. Judge leads the team in batting average and on-base percentage, while also leading the team in home runs and RBI. In terms of recent performances, Giancarlo Stanton has been hitting .286 over his last 6 games with a home run and 4 RBI. The Yankees have a few players on hitting streaks, with Anthony Rizzo leading the way with a 4-game streak.
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Guardians Yankees Pitching
Alex Cobb and the Guardians are on the road to take on the Yankees. Cobb has started 3 games this season, and he has a 2-1 record. His last start was a loss to the Tigers, where he went 3 innings and gave up 2 earned runs. Cobb’s first start of the season was a win over the Pirates, and he also has a win over the Cubs.
Carlos Rodón gets the start for the Yankees today and comes into the game with a record of 16-9 and an ERA of 3.96. Out of his 32 starts, Rodón has turned in 16 quality starts and is averaging 10.03 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Rodón took the loss, going 3 2/3 innings and giving up four earned runs. Before that, he had won two straight starts. One positive note for Rodón is that he has not allowed a home run in his last two outings. His ERA at home is 4.0 compared to 5.25 on the road.
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Guardians head into the game having gone 5-5 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Guardians they are 5-5 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Yankees are 8-2 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Yankees have a 7-3 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Guardians are 2-1 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 1-2 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Yankees have a record of 2-1 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 1-2 in their last three games.
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
Well, Carlos Rodon’s last outing? Not exactly one for the highlight reel. In Game 2 of the ALDS on October 7, he took the ‘L’ against Kansas City. Yep, the lefty got rocked for four runs on seven hits, didn’t walk anyone (so… small victories?), and managed to sit down seven batters—all in just 3.2 innings. It was a rough day at the office.
But hey, let’s not forget his regular season. The guy finished with a solid 3.96 ERA, a 1.22 WHIP, and a 195:57 strikeout-to-walk ratio over 175 innings. Oh, and he also led the Yankees with 16 wins. So, he’s not exactly chopped liver. Sure, this performance wasn’t his finest, but Rodon has been a key player all year. We know he’s got the stuff to bounce back.
Our prediction for this Guardians vs. Yankees matchup is to take the under, as we see this one finishing with a 3-2 win for the Yankees. With the line sitting at 7.5 runs, there is a bit of cushion in case the game does end up being a 3-2 final.
Looking at some potential player props, we have Carlos Rodón finishing with six strikeouts compared to Alex Cobb with five. As for the Yankees and Guardians lineups, we have the Yankees finishing with eight strikeouts compared to the Guardians with nine.
Can he turn it around next time? Only time will tell—but you know we’ll be watching.
Today’s MLB Game 1 ALCS Free Pick
MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
One step closer. #RepBX pic.twitter.com/MOy3KK8oSz
— New York Yankees (@Yankees) October 11, 2024
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