Free MLB Pick: Guardians vs. Royals Odds
Looking for Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Guardians taking on the Royals on Friday, June 28th, 2024 at Kauffman Stadium, in Kansas City, MO. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Guardians Royals free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – Cleveland Guardians vs Kansas City Royals
(51-28) Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals (45-38)
Date: Friday, June 28th
Time: 8:10 ET
Venue: Kauffman Stadium Kansas City, MO
Projected Starting Pitchers: Triston McKenzie vs. Alec Marsh
MLB Moneyline Odds: Guardians -123 | Royals +104 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Guardians -1.5 | Royals +1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 10
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Guardians vs. Royals Gameday
At 8:10 PM ET in Kansas City, the Royals are hosting the Guardians at Kauffman Stadium. The weather forecast is calling for overcast clouds and 86 degrees. Triston McKenzie is on the mound for the Guardians, while Alec Marsh is pitching for the Royals.
BSGL is televising this AL Central matchup. The Guardians are favored on the road, with a money line of -123 compared to the Royals’ +104. The over/under line is set at 10 runs.
Thanks to a two-run 6th inning for the Royals’ offense, they were able to pick up a 2-1 win over the Guardians in the most recent game of this series. Heading into the game, the Royals were at -105 on the money line.
The starting pitching matchup for this game featured Ben Lively for the Guardians, and he went six innings while giving up two runs and took the loss. Michael Wacha only went 5 1/3 innings for the Royals but gave up just one run and got a no-decision.
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Kansas City got on the board first in the 1st inning, scoring their only other run in the 5th before the Guardians got on the board with one run in the 6th. As for the Royals’ offense, they finished with just six hits and struck out eight times.
Cleveland is 51-28 overall this season, putting them 1st in the AL Central. They lead the Twins by seven games for the top spot in the division. The Guardians have dropped two straight games, with their series-opening loss to the Royals and a loss in their final game before the break.
At home, the Guardians are 26-9 this season, and they have gone 25-19 on the road. So far, they have been really good as the favorite, putting up a mark of 35-16. As for their record as the underdog, they are 16-12 this season. Cleveland’s overall series record is 18-6-2, and they have won three straight series.
The Cleveland Guardians are on the road against the Kansas City Royals today. The over/under line for the game is set at 10 runs, which is higher than their average combined run average of 8.7. The Guardians have played 73 games this season, and only three of them have had over/under lines set at 10 runs or higher. Their over/under record for the season is 37-36, and they are currently on a two-game under streak.
Guardians Gambling
When the Guardians are on the road, they are a solid bet to cover the run line, as they are 25-19 on the run line away from home. They have a run line record of 45-34 overall, and their average run margin for the season is +1.3 runs per game. They have covered the run line in 20 of 35 games at home, and their average run margin at home is +1.5 runs per game.
Guardians Stats
The Cleveland Guardians’ offense has been solid this season, averaging 5 runs per game, which is 3rd in the league. They have been particularly strong at home, averaging 5.2 runs per game, which is also 3rd in the league. Their top hitters this season have been José Ramírez and Josh Naylor. Ramírez is hitting .278 with 21 home runs and 72 RBIs, while Naylor has a .237 average with 20 home runs and 58 RBIs. Naylor has been hot lately, hitting .303 with 3 home runs and 8 RBIs in his last 9 games. The Guardians have Gabriel Arias on a 5-game hitting streak.
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The Royals are 45-38 overall and trail the Guardians by eight games in the AL Central. Overall, they have gone 14-9 against other teams in the division. Kansas City has won two straight games, and they are 2-2 so far on their current homestand.
At home, the Royals have gone 28-15 this season compared to 17-23 on the road. As the favorite, the Royals are 22-12 this year, and they are 23-26 as the underdog. Kansas City has an overall series record of 12-13-1 this year.
Despite the high over/under line of 10 runs, the Kansas City Royals have played to the under in six straight games and have an over/under record of 34-46 on the season. Their games have averaged 8.4 runs per game, and their average over/under line for the season is 8 runs. The Royals have only had two games with over/under lines set at 10 runs, and their games have gone under the line in 97.6% of their contests this season.
Royals Gambling
When the Royals win, they tend to do so by a comfortable margin, as their average run differential in victories is +3.7 runs per game. That has helped them to a 47-36 run line record this season, including a 26-17 mark at home. They have covered the run line in two straight games and are 30-19 against the run line as an underdog.
Royals Stats
The Kansas City Royals have been solid offensively at home this season, averaging 5.2 runs per game, which is 4th in the league. Their total of 79 home runs is 13th in the league, and their batting average of .243 is 13th as well. The Royals have been getting some good performances from their hitters, with Bobby Witt Jr. leading the team in batting average at .310 and Salvador Perez hitting .283. Perez and Vinnie Pasquantino have each hit 12 home runs this season. Salvador Perez is currently on a 4-game hitting streak.
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Guardians Royals Pitching
Triston McKenzie will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Blue Jays, as he finished with a no-decision in the game. In that outing, he gave up three earned runs on six hits in just three innings of work. Looking back over his last three outings, McKenzie has given up at least two homers in each start. So far this season, he has a record of 3-4, an ERA of 4.66, and has issued 5.65 walks per nine innings. McKenzie’s ERA at home is 5.90 compared to 5.06 on the road.
Right-hander Alec Marsh gets the start for the Royals today as he faces the Guardians at home. He has made 14 starts this season and has a record of 5-5 with a 4.40 ERA. Marsh’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.22, and opponents are batting .235 off him this year. In his 14 starts, Marsh has turned in three quality starts, and his ERA at home is 3.78 compared to 6.31 on the road. Marsh most recently faced the Rangers, where he gave up three earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Guardians head into the game having gone 5-5 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Guardians they are 5-5 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Royals are 3-7 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Royals have a 3-7 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Guardians are 2-1 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 2-1 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Royals have a record of 2-1 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 1-2 in their last three games.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
Our pick for this Guardians vs. Royals matchup is to take the Royals on the money line, where they are currently listed at +104. We actually have the Royals winning this one by a score of 9-5, giving you a couple of different ways to play this one.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Alec Marsh of the Royals is actually projected to finish with more strikeouts than Triston McKenzie. McKenzie is projected to finish with six K’s, which would have him ranked 10th among starters today.
Today’s MLB Free Pick
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