Free MLB Pick: Guardians vs. Astros Odds
Looking for Cleveland Guardians vs. Houston Astros Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Guardians taking on the Astros on 7/9 at Daikin Park, in Houston. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Guardians Astros free pick.
2025 MLB Handicapping – Cleveland Guardians vs Houston Astros
(42-48) Cleveland Guardians vs. Houston Astros (55-37)
Date: Jul 09, 2025
Time: 8:10 PM ET
Venue: Daikin Park in Houston, TX
Projected Starting Pitchers: Slade Cecconi vs. Brandon Walter
MLB Moneyline Odds: Guardians +121 | Astros -141 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Guardians +1.5 | Astros -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 7.5
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Guardians vs. Astros Gameday
The Cleveland Guardians head to Daikin Park for a night clash with the Houston Astros. First pitch is set for 8:10 PM under broken clouds, though the retractable roof ensures weather won’t be a factor. It’s warm with a light breeze — classic summer baseball conditions in Houston.
Cleveland enters with a 42-48 record under rookie manager Stephen Vogt. However, they’ve had Houston’s number lately, taking the last two matchups. That includes solid road play, as their 14-8 AL Central record shows they’re not backing down when away from home.
Meanwhile, Joe Espada’s Astros continue to flex their muscle in the AL West. At 55-37, they’re one of the league’s most consistent clubs. Especially at Daikin Park — where their 32-16 home record has made life tough for visiting teams. Despite a recent stumble versus Cleveland, Houston will be looking to reassert control and shake off any lingering rust.
Both teams have shown capable offense, with Cleveland hitting three homers in their last win. Meanwhile, the Astros managed 11 hits but fell short. Fans can catch the action on SCHN as these teams meet again tonight.
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Guardians vs. Astros Odds & Last 5
The odds for the game show the Astros as the favorites with a moneyline of -143, while the Guardians are at +121. The runline gives the Guardians a +1.5 advantage at -182, and the Astros are at -1.5 with +151. The total runs are set at 7.5, with the over at -117 and the under at -104.
In their last game, the Guardians defeated the Astros 10-6. They hit three home runs, showing off their power at the plate. José Ramírez and Angel Martínez contributed significantly, each hitting a home run.
On the other hand, the Astros have struggled in their recent games against the Guardians. Despite getting 11 hits, they could not convert them into a win. The Astros aim to improve their performance and regain their home dominance in tonight’s game.
Astros Stats
The Houston Astros lead the league with a .260 batting average. Their ability to get on base is solid, ranking 7th with a .324 on-base percentage. However, they are 9th in slugging percentage at .413, showing some room for power improvement.
On the pitching side, the Astros have a strong 3.58 ERA, ranking 5th in the league. They excel in limiting opponents’ hits, with a league-best .224 batting average against. Their pitching staff also leads in strikeouts with 882, making them a tough team to face.
Recent games show mixed results for the Astros. They won two games against the Dodgers, including a dominant 18-1 victory. However, they dropped two home games to the Guardians, highlighting some inconsistency.
Key players like Isaac Paredes and Jeremy Peña have been crucial for the Astros. Paredes leads the team with 19 home runs, while Peña maintains a .322 batting average. Their contributions are vital as the team looks to regain momentum.
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Guardians Stats
The Cleveland Guardians have had a mixed season at the plate. Their team batting average stands at .224, placing them 21st in the league. Despite this, they have shown power with 90 home runs, ranking 17th. However, their on-base percentage is .293, which ranks 22nd.
On the mound, the Guardians have been more consistent. Their earned run average is 3.99, putting them in 17th place. They have allowed a batting average against of .248, ranking 15th. Their pitching staff has given up 95 home runs, which is 10th in the league.
In recent games, the Guardians have found some momentum. They secured back-to-back wins against the Houston Astros, scoring 10-6 and 7-5. Key players like José Ramírez have been instrumental, with Ramírez hitting a home run and driving in multiple runs in these games.
José Ramírez leads the team with a .299 batting average and 16 home runs. He ranks first on the team in home runs and runs batted in. Carlos Santana and Kyle Manzardo have also contributed, with Santana hitting 10 home runs and Manzardo adding 13. These players will be crucial as the Guardians look to build on their recent successes.
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Guardians vs. Astros Pitching Matchup
Slade Cecconi takes the mound for the Cleveland Guardians. He has an ERA of 3.56 and a WHIP of 1.31. With a win-loss record of 3-4, he aims to improve his stats.
Brandon Walter will pitch for the Houston Astros. His ERA stands at 4.15, and his WHIP is 1.12. He holds a 1-1 record, looking to gain more wins.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Houston Astros Baseball Betting Trends
- Houston Astros are 3-2 straight-up in their last 5 games.
- Also, the Cleveland Guardians are 2-3 straight-up in their last 5 games.
- The total has gone over in 4 of the last 5 games for the Astros.
- The total has gone under in 3 of the last 5 games for the Guardians.
- Astros covered the run line in 3 of their last 5 games.
- Also, the Guardians covered the run line in 2 of their last 5 games.
Guardians vs Astros Prediction: Over 7.5
The Astros are heating up again, winning three of their last five games. More importantly, four of those contests flew over the total — a clear sign this lineup is clicking. With that kind of firepower, there’s every reason to believe they can keep pushing totals north.
I’m also backing the ‘Stros on the moneyline tonight — they’re in a great spot.
Meanwhile, the Guardians haven’t found the same groove. They’ve dropped three of their last five, and their games have leaned toward the under. However, facing Houston’s red-hot bats, Cleveland’s pitching could easily crack. That makes their usual under trend a risky lean.
All things considered, the over 7.5 looks like the smart play here. Houston has been raking, and if Cleveland contributes even a little, this one could clear the number by the middle innings. Let’s ride with the over.
Today’s MLB Free Pick
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MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
Back at it. #BuiltForThis pic.twitter.com/neHayFlktA
— Houston Astros (@astros) July 8, 2025
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