Free MLB Pick: Guardians vs. Tigers Odds
Looking for Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Guardians taking on the Tigers on Monday, July 8th, 2024 at Comerica Park, in Detroit, MI. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Guardians Tigers free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers
(56-32) Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers (42-48)
Date: Monday, July 8th
Time: 6:40 ET
Venue: Comerica Park Detroit, MI
Projected Starting Pitchers: Gavin Williams vs. Keider Montero
MLB Moneyline Odds: Guardians -148 | Tigers +126 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Guardians -1.5 | Tigers +1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 8.5
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Guardians vs. Tigers Gameday
It’s a warm night in Detroit, with the temperature currently sitting at 89 degrees under overcast skies. The Cleveland Guardians are in town to take on the Tigers in an AL Central matchup at Comerica Park. First pitch is set for 6:40 PM ET.
On the mound for the Guardians is Gavin Williams, while the Tigers will counter with Keider Montero. The Guardians come in as the favorites, with a money line payout of -148 compared to the Tigers at +126. The over/under line is set at 8.5 runs.
Cleveland Guardians
Cleveland comes into today’s road matchup vs. the Tigers having taken two straight games, and they are 56-32 overall. The Guardians lead the AL Central by six games over the Twins. So far, they have gone 14-10 in divisional games this year.
At home, the Guardians have been great, going 30-11, and they have gone 26-21 on the road. This season, the Guardians have been really good in day games, going 24-9. As the favorite, Cleveland is 40-18 this year, and they are 16-14 as the underdog.
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Heading into their last game vs. the Giants, the Guardians closed out the series with a 5-4 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at -132 on the money line. It was a big 2nd inning that really turned things in their favor, as the Guardians scored two runs to take the lead and added another two runs in the 4th to extend their lead.
Carlos Carrasco got the start for the Guardians, going five innings and giving up three earned runs on six hits. He only had four strikeouts in the outing and took the win. Cleveland’s offense was carried by Bo Naylor, who went 1/2 with a homer and three RBIs.
Guardians Gambling
Today’s over/under line of 8.5 runs for the Cleveland Guardians’ road game against the Detroit Tigers is slightly higher than their average over/under line of 8 runs. The Guardians have played 20 games this season with over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, and their record in those games is 12-12. Their combined run average for the season is 8.8 runs per game, and their over/under record overall is 44-38.
When the Guardians win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.4 runs per game. When they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.0 runs per game. Their overall run line record is 47-41, and they are 26-21 against the run line on the road. They are 20-10 against the run line as an underdog, but just 27-31 as a favorite.
Guardians Stats
The Cleveland Guardians have been a solid offensive team this season, averaging 5 runs per game, which ranks them 5th in the league. Their home and road splits are fairly consistent, scoring 5.1 runs per game at home and 4.8 runs per game on the road. They are 10th in total home runs with 103, and their batting average of .246 is 9th in the league. José Ramírez has been one of their top hitters, with a .271 batting average, 23 home runs, and 76 RBIs this season. Steven Kwan has been hot at the plate, hitting .381 over his last 5 games. The Guardians have been striking out at a good rate, ranking 4th in the league in strikeouts per game at 7.
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Detroit Tigers
Detroit is 42-48 overall and trails the Guardians by 15 games in the AL Central. The Tigers are coming off a three-game sweep of the Reds and have an AL Central division record of 13-12 this year. This season, they are 19-22 at home compared to 23-26 on the road.
As the home underdog, the Tigers have gone 5-8 this year and are 22-29 as the underdog overall. Detroit has won two straight games as the underdog, and they are 20-19 when favored this year. So far, their overall series record is 11-14-4.
The Tigers’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Reds, closing out their series with a 5-1 win. After going 0-4 in the leadoff spot, Zach McKinstry hit a homer for the Tigers, and they added another run in the 4th inning. Detroit’s offense scored their final three runs in the 8th.
Tarik Skubal put together a good start for the Tigers, going seven innings and giving up just one run on three hits. He also issued only one walk and struck out 13 Reds batters. Detroit’s bullpen closed things out with a scoreless 9th inning.
Tigers Gambling
When the Detroit Tigers play at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, which is exactly their combined run average for the season. Their over/under record for the season is 47-40, and their average over/under line is set at 8 runs. When the line is set at 8.5 runs, their over/under record is 10-9. Overall, 63.3% of their games have had lower over/under lines than 8.5 runs, and their current under streak is at 2 games.
The Tigers have been a solid team to bet on the run line with a 40-50 record. They have been a better bet on the run line on the road, going 26-23. They have been a good bet as the underdog, going 30-21 on the run line. They have been a poor bet as the favorite, going 10-29 on the run line.
Tigers Stats
When looking at the Detroit Tigers’ offensive numbers, they are below average in most categories. Their runs per game, batting average, and OBP all rank in the bottom third of the league. Their power numbers are also below average, as they rank 17th in total home runs. However, they do have a couple of hitters who have been productive this season. Riley Greene leads the team in RBIs and has an OBP of .356, which is the best on the team. Matt Vierling is second on the team in RBIs and has an OBP of .282. In terms of recent performances, Colt Keith has been on a hot streak, hitting .375 with 3 home runs in his last 6 games. The Tigers have a few players currently on hitting streaks, including Colt Keith, who has a 5-game streak.
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Guardians Tigers Pitching
Gavin Williams and the Cleveland Guardians are on the road to take on the Detroit Tigers. Williams is looking to bounce back from a loss in his first start of the season, where he gave up 5 runs in 4 innings of work. He did strike out 7 batters in that outing.
Keider Montero is getting the start for the Tigers at home against the Guardians. Montero has started 2 games this season, and he picked up a win in his last outing, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up 2 earned runs. He has 4 strikeouts in each of his first two starts.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Guardians head into the game having gone 4-6 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Guardians they are 4-6 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Tigers are 5-5 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Tigers have a 4-6 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Guardians are 2-1 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 1-2 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Tigers have a record of 2-1 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 2-1 in their last three games.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
Our prediction for this Guardians vs. Tigers matchup is to take the Guardians on the money line, with the payout being -148. We actually have the Guardians winning this one by a score of 5-4.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Gavin Williams finishing with six strikeouts, which would have him as the fourth highest among all starters today. As for Keider Montero, we have him finishing with five strikeouts, which would have him as the seventh highest.
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