Free MLB Pick: Guardians vs. White Sox Odds
Looking for Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Guardians taking on the White Sox on Thursday, May 9th, 2024 at Guaranteed Rate Field, in Chicago, IL. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Guardians White Sox free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox
(24-13) Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox (9-28)
Date: Thursday, May 9th
Time: 7:40 ET
Venue: Guaranteed Rate Field Chicago, IL
Projected Starting Pitchers: Ben Lively vs. Erick Fedde
MLB Moneyline Odds: Guardians -161 | White Sox +134 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Guardians -1.5 | White Sox +1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 8
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It’s a chilly night in Chicago as the White Sox host the Guardians in an AL Central matchup. Ben Lively will be on the mound for Cleveland, while Erick Fedde will get the start for the White Sox. The Guardians are the favorites in this one, with a money line of -161 compared to the White Sox at +134.
First pitch is set for 7:40 PM ET, and you can catch the action on NBCS. The over/under line is currently sitting at 8 runs, with the under slightly favored at -112 compared to the over at -109.
Cleveland Guardians
Cleveland is on the road today to take on the White Sox, and they lead the AL Central with a record of 24-13. The Guardians hold a 2.5-game lead over the Twins in the division. So far, they have gone 6-2 in divisional matchups this season.
At home, the Guardians have been good, going 12-6, and they have the same record on the road. This season, they have been really good in day games, going 11-3. As for their overall series record, the Guardians are 9-3 and have won two straight series.
Heading into their last game vs. the Tigers, the Guardians closed out the series with a 5-4 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at -128 on the money line. It was a good start for the Guardians, as they got on the board with two runs in the 2nd inning and added another two runs in the 4th.
Tanner Bibee got the start for the Guardians, going four innings and giving up four earned runs on five hits. He also issued three walks and took the loss. David Fry had only one hit, but it was a home run, and Brayan Rocchio had a good day at the plate, going 2/4 with a run scored.
The Cleveland Guardians have been trending towards the over recently, with their last two games going over the total. Their games have averaged 8.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 20-15. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, they are 4-2-1 on the season. Overall, 45.9% of their games have had over/under lines set at over 8 runs.
When the Guardians win, they tend to do so by a comfortable margin, as their average run differential in victories is +3.5. That has helped them to a 23-14 run line record this season. They have been especially profitable on the road, going 13-6 against the run line, compared to 10-8 at home. They have also been a strong bet as an underdog, going 12-3 against the run line in those games.
Guardians Stats
The Cleveland Guardians have been an average offensive team this season, ranking 8th in the league in runs per game at 4.9. Their batting average of .240 is 12th in the league, and their 38 total home runs rank 11th. They have been solid at avoiding strikeouts, ranking 6th in the league in that category.
The top hitters for the Guardians this season have been Steven Kwan, José Ramírez, and Josh Naylor. Ramírez leads the team with 30 RBIs and 7 home runs. Naylor has a .270 batting average and 9 home runs. In terms of recent performances, Josh Naylor has hit 2 home runs in his last 7 games, while José Ramírez has 2 home runs in his last 8 games.
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Chicago White Sox
Chicago is 5-12 at home this year and just 4-16 on the road. The White Sox are really struggling this year, coming in at 9-28 overall, which is 15 games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead. So far, they have really struggled against other AL Central teams, going 2-18 in the division.
As the underdog, the White Sox have yet to win a game this year, going 0-0. They have also lost three straight games at home and are 5-12 as the home underdog. Chicago’s overall series record is 2-9-1 this year.
Heading into their last game vs. the Rays, the White Sox closed out the series with a 4-1 win. Leading up to thethe game, they were the heavy favorite at +214. Offensively, the White Sox scored their four runs on 12 hits and only hit one home run.
Chris Flexen put together a good start for the White Sox, going six innings and giving up just one earned run, and striking out eight. However, he did get the win, and the White Sox’s bullpen closed things out with a scoreless 7th and 8th.
Chicago White Sox games have been averaging 8.2 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 17-19. The over/under line for today’s game against the Cleveland Guardians is set at 8 runs. The White Sox have played 19 games with over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, going 4-1 in those games. Their games have gone under the total in their last two contests.
Chicago has been a solid run line bet at home this season, going 10-7, but they have struggled on the road, going 7-13. Their average run margin is -2.4, and they have been a run line underdog in every game this season. Their average run margin in losses is -3.9.
White Sox Stats
The Chicago White Sox have struggled to score runs this season, ranking last in the league in runs per game at 2.9. Their offense has been particularly anemic on the road, where they average just 2.7 runs per game. The team’s power numbers are also near the bottom of the league, as their 26 total home runs rank 22nd.
Their top hitters this season have been Gavin Sheets, Andrew Benintendi, Paul DeJong, and Eloy Jiménez. In terms of recent performances, Bryan Ramos and Paul DeJong have been swinging the bat well, with both players on 4-game hitting streaks.
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Ben Lively will be making his 5th start of the season for the Cleveland Guardians, and he will be on the road against the White Sox. Lively has been solid in his first 4 outings, as he has yet to allow more than 2 earned runs in a start. He is coming off a win over the Angels, where he went 6 innings and struck out 5.
Chicago is sending right-hander Erick Fedde to the mound today vs. the Guardians. He has made seven starts this year and has a record of 2-0 with a 3.46 ERA. Fedde’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.18. In his 39 innings of work, he has given up a total of seven home runs. Looking back at his last outing, Fedde finished with a no-decision vs. the Cardinals, giving up five earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had gone three straight starts without giving up a homer.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Guardians head into the game having gone 5-5 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Guardians they are 6-4 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the White Sox are 3-7 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the White Sox have a 4-6 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Guardians are 2-1 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 2-1 as the underdog (last 3).
- The White Sox have a record of 1-2 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 1-2 in their last three games.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
Our predicted final score for this Guardians vs. White Sox matchup is 8-4 in favor of the Guardians. However, we are recommending taking the over, as there is a lot of value in this line sitting at 8 runs. Our projections have the Guardians combining for nine hits and the White Sox with eight.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Erick Fedde is projected to finish with six strikeouts compared to Ben Lively with four. However, Fedde is ninth in terms of chances to pick up a win, and we have Lively with the second-worst odds.
Another reason we like the over is that the payout for a Guardians win is -161, and we don’t see a ton of value in this payout. If you are looking for a payout, we would recommend taking the over and pairing it with a Guardians win.
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MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
Heading home happy! pic.twitter.com/qJbeiJ9KAE
— Chicago White Sox (@whitesox) May 9, 2024
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