Free MLB Pick: Reds vs Cardinals Odds
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45-66 (19-37 V) Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals 59-53 (27-32 H)
Date: Monday May 16, 2016
Time: 7:15 PM ET
Venue: Busch Stadium, Kansas City, MO
Projected Pitchers: Anthony Desclafani vs. Jaime Garcia
MLB Moneyline Odds: St. Louis -163, Cincinnati +150
MLB RunLine Betting Odds: Off
MLB Betting Total: Cards -1.5 (+135)
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Even though a division title looks like a pipe dream at this point St. Louis is still alive for that second Wild Card spot.
They wouldn’t be my favourite for that spot but with an offense that continues to deliver and a roster of heavily experienced players and newbies they just might have the right mix to return to the playoffs.
Even after trading away their best offensive player the Reds still have enough to surprise from time to time.
Jay Bruce may be a Met but with Joey Votto and Adam Duvall there is still some thunder in the middle of their lineup while Billy Hamilton is a disruptive forces when he does get on.
He is tied for the MLB lead with 45 steals and there is really no reason he shouldn’t run every chance he gets.
The brightest light of the season is Desclafani.
To have any sort of consistent winning you need to have above average starting pitching and they have a building block there.
He is 6-0 and the team is 7-4 when he starts. This will be his first go at the Cardinals this season. Hopefully he gets some run support.
They have only scored 3 runs for him in his last two starts combined.
St. Louis Cardinals
The Cards have slipped lately. Playing like they have been there is no way they really make any ground on Chicago unless they win something like 8 of their 10 games left with the Cubbies, beginning later this week.
The Cardinals offense has sputtered lately. They have slipped below 5 runs per game dropping them to 5th.
I think that is a normalization but no matter how you look at it it is not making anything easier for them down the stretch.
By ERA standards Jaime Garcia has been the Cards second best pitcher this season but that ERA is over 4 and he is just 8-8.
The fact is that he gives up just too many baserunners and will probably never be as good as he was when he was a rookie.
The Cards have the makings of a good bullpen but things have not gone as planned.
They are looking to make it through the year and then to re-evaluate.
MLB Baseball Betting Trends:
- Under is 6-2 in CIN last 8 road games.
- Under is 7-3-1 in CIN last 11 overall.
- Under is 7-3-1 in CIN last 11 on grass.
- Over is 9-2-1 in STL last 12 overall.
- Over is 9-2-1 in STL last 12 on grass.
- STL are 9-2 in Garcias last 11 Wed. starts.
Free Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals MLB Prediction:
The Reds are very tempting because the only time you should think about them against a good time is when Desclafani is on the hill. They are definitely worth a shot at a really good value.
I am not a fan of Garcia.
In fact I think the Cards are getting a little too much respect in this one. At Cincy last week they only took one of three, contributing to their predicament.
4* Free MLB Betting Pick: Cincinnati +150
The value with the Reds is too good to ignore on this one. The Cards are scuffling and should not be so heavily favoured, even at home. Even if it were Carlos Martinez starting.
No guarantees but too good to pass up.
MLB Free Score Prediction: Cincinnati 5 – St. Louis 4
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