Free MLB Pick: Reds vs. Pirates Odds
Looking for Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Reds taking on the Pirates on 8/7 at PNC Park, in Pittsburgh. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Reds Pirates free pick.
2025 MLB Handicapping – Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates
(60-55) Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (49-66)
Date: Aug 07, 2025
Time: 6:40 PM ET
Venue: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, PA
Projected Starting Pitchers: Brady Singer vs. Paul Skenes
MLB Moneyline Odds: Reds +146 | Pirates -172 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Reds +1.5 | Pirates -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 7.0
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Reds vs. Pirates Gameday
The Cincinnati Reds travel to Pittsburgh to take on the Pirates at PNC Park on Thursday evening. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 PM ET, and fans can catch the action on MLBN.
Cincinnati enters this NL Central matchup with a 60-55 record, good for third in the division. Meanwhile, the Pirates are 49-66 and sit at the bottom of the standings. Despite their placement, Pittsburgh has won six of their last ten — slightly outperforming the Reds’ 5-5 stretch over the same span.
Most recently, the Reds dropped a game to the Cubs, while the Pirates fell to the Giants. Both clubs will look to rebound in this one, and the opportunity to build momentum in-division gives this game some added edge.
Terry Francona leads the Reds dugout, with Chris Valaika and Derek Johnson overseeing hitting and pitching duties. On the Pirates’ side, interim manager Don Kelly is steering the ship, with Matt Hague and Oscar Marin rounding out the staff.
Conditions should be ideal — clear skies and a light breeze — as these two division rivals clash in Steel City.
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Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Odds & Last 5
Heading into today’s game, the Cincinnati Reds are the underdogs with a moneyline of +145. They have a slightly better record overall, but their recent performance has been inconsistent. The Reds have a road record of 27-29, which may contribute to their underdog status.
In contrast, the Pittsburgh Pirates are favored with a moneyline of -172. They have a home record of 32-27, giving them a slight edge at PNC Park. Despite their overall lower standing, the Pirates have been performing well recently with a 6-4 record in their last ten games.
Both teams are coming off losses, but the Pirates’ recent winning streak may boost their confidence. The game will take place under clear skies, providing a perfect backdrop for baseball. With both teams eager to bounce back, fans can expect a competitive game.
Pirates Stats
The Pittsburgh Pirates are having an up-and-down season. Their team batting average is .232, which ranks 20th in the league. They also have an on-base percentage of .303, placing them 17th.
Power hitting has been a challenge for the Pirates. They have hit 81 home runs, ranking 26th in the league. Their slugging percentage is .346, which is 25th overall.
On the pitching side, the Pirates have a team ERA of 3.88, placing them 15th in the league. They have done well in limiting opponents’ batting average to .236, which ranks 5th. However, they have given up 112 home runs, the 4th most in the league.
In their recent games, the Pirates have struggled. They lost two games to the San Francisco Giants, with scores of 4-2 and 8-1. However, they did secure a win against the Giants with a 5-4 score.
Andrew McCutchen leads the team in several categories. He has 11 home runs and 39 RBIs, both of which are team highs. His batting average stands at .249 with an on-base percentage of .327.
Nick Gonzales has been a bright spot for the Pirates. He has a batting average of .279, which is the highest among regular starters. His performance includes five home runs and 19 RBIs in 52 games.
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Reds Stats
The Cincinnati Reds have shown a steady performance this season with a batting average of .246, placing them 12th in the league. Their on-base percentage is .317, ranking them 10th. However, their slugging percentage is .390, which is 18th in the standings.
In terms of power, the Reds have hit 117 home runs, placing them 18th. They have also hit 179 doubles, ranking 14th. The team has drawn 381 walks, which puts them in 11th place.
On the pitching side, the Reds have an earned run average of 3.87, which ranks them 14th. Their batting average against is .234, making them 4th best in the league. What’s more, they have given up 129 home runs, placing them 13th.
The Reds have managed 47 quality starts, ranking 7th in the league. They have blown 14 saves, which is the 3rd fewest. Additionally, their pitchers have struck out 954 batters, placing them 17th.
Recent games show a mixed bag of results for the Reds. They lost 6-1 to the Cubs on August 6th but won the previous two games against the Cubs, 5-1 and 3-2, on August 5th and 4th, respectively. Their game against the Braves on August 2nd resulted in a 4-2 loss, but they managed a 3-2 victory against the Braves on August 1st.
Elly De La Cruz leads the team with a .279 batting average and 19 home runs. Also, Matt McLain has contributed with 11 home runs and 55 runs, and Spencer Steer adds another 13 home runs and 50 RBIs to the team’s efforts.
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Reds vs. Pirates Pitching Matchup
Brady Singer takes the mound for the Cincinnati Reds. He has an ERA of 4.36 and a WHIP of 1.30. His win-loss record stands at 9-8, showing some ups and downs throughout the season.
Singer has shown consistency in striking out batters. He looks to maintain his form against the Pirates. Keeping his ERA in check will be key for him.
Paul Skenes will start for the Pittsburgh Pirates. He boasts an impressive ERA of 2.02 and a WHIP of 0.92. Despite his 6-8 record, his stats highlight his effectiveness on the mound.
Skenes has been a reliable strikeout pitcher. His ability to limit hits has been a strength. He aims to continue his solid performances against the Reds.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Baseball Betting Trends
- The Pirates have won 2 of their last 5 games straight-up.
- In their last 5 games, the Pirates have hit the over on totals 3 times.
- The Reds have won 3 of their last 5 games straight-up.
- Also, the Reds have hit the under on totals in 3 of their last 5 games.
- The Pirates have covered the run line in 2 of their last 5 games.
- Additionally, the Reds have covered the run line in 3 of their last 5 games.
Reds vs Pirates Prediction: Over 7.5
We could see some steady offense tonight between the Pirates and Reds. Pittsburgh has cashed the over in three of their last five games, showing they can score runs even if the wins haven’t followed. The Reds have leaned toward the under lately, but several of those games hovered right near the total, and that matters.
Both lineups can do some damage — the Pirates rank 12th in batting average and the Reds sit 20th. That means they’re putting balls in play, and with hot weather and clear skies in the forecast, that ball might just carry a little more than usual. These conditions often work in favor of the hitters.
Pitching-wise, there’s not a huge gap. Pittsburgh ranks 14th in ERA and Cincinnati is right behind at 15th. Neither staff is lights out. It’s also worth noting that the Pirates have allowed more home runs, which is never ideal in this kind of environment.
Finally, keep an eye on the little things. The Reds rank 10th in stolen bases — those extra bases can easily turn into extra runs. The Pirates are 10th in on-base percentage, meaning they’ll have runners on to create pressure.
This one feels like a 7-4 type of game, so I’m grabbing Over 7.5.
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MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
PHAM COMES THROUGH!
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— SportsNet Pittsburgh (@SNPittsburgh) August 6, 2025
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