Free MLB Pick: Reds vs. Pirates Odds
Looking for Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Reds taking on the Pirates on Tuesday, June 18th, 2024 at PNC Park, in Pittsburgh, PA. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Reds Pirates free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates
(34-38) Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (35-37)
Date: Tuesday, June 18th
Time: 6:40 ET
Venue: PNC Park Pittsburgh, PA
Projected Starting Pitchers: Nick Lodolo vs. Bailey Falter
MLB Moneyline Odds: Reds -130 | Pirates +111 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Reds -1.5 | Pirates +1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 8.5
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At 6:40 PM ET in Pittsburgh, the Reds are taking on the Pirates at PNC Park. The weather forecast calls for 93 degrees with light rain, so it could be a wet one. The Reds are looking to snap a three-game losing streak, while the Pirates are hoping to extend their winning streak to three games.
On the mound, Nick Lodolo will start for the Reds, while Bailey Falter gets the nod for the Pirates. Oddsmakers have this one pretty even, with the Reds currently sitting at -130 on the money line compared to the Pirates at +111. The over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, with the over currently at -107 and the under at -115.
Pittsburgh picked up a 4-1 win over the Reds in the most recent game of this series. The Pirates had a three-run 1st inning and added their final run in the 2nd. As for the Reds, they scored their only run in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Pirates were favored at -184 on the money line.
Paul Skenes started for the Pirates and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with seven strikeouts but issued five walks. On the other side, Carson Spiers got the start for the Reds and took the loss, going six innings and giving up four earned runs.
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Bryan Reynolds went 2/4 with two RBIs and a run scored for the Pirates. Rowdy Tellez also had two hits and drove in a run. For the Reds, Elly De La Cruz had a three-hit game.
Cincinnati is on the road today, looking to pick up a win vs. the Pirates and snap their three-game losing streak. The Reds are 34-38 overall, putting them 4th in the NL Central. Currently, they trail the Brewers by eight games in the division.
This season, the Reds have gone 18-19 at home compared to 16-19 on the road. As the favorite, Cincinnati has gone 18-13 and 16-25 as the underdog. The Reds have dropped three straight road games, and their overall series record is 8-13-2.
When the Reds are on the road, the over/under line is typically set at 8.5 runs, and their games have averaged 8.4 runs per game this season. Overall, the over/under record for Reds games is 31-38, and when the line is set at 8.5 runs, the record is 5-6. The under has hit in their last three games.
Reds Gambling
When the Reds are on the road, they are a good bet to cover the run line, as they are 23-12. Their average run differential is +0.6 runs per game on the road, and their overall run line record is 38-34. They are 15-16 vs. the run line as the favorite and 23-18 as the underdog. In their wins, they are covering the run line by an average of 3.6 runs per game, while in their losses, they are failing to cover by an average of 2.9 runs per game.
Reds Stats
The Cincinnati Reds have been an average offensive team this season, ranking 16th in runs per game with 4.3. Their batting average of .226 is 21st in the league, and their OPS of .679 is 17th. However, they have some hitters who have been performing well recently. Jeimer Candelario has been on a 6-game hitting streak and has hit .344 with 4 home runs and 10 RBI over his last 8 games.
Elly De La Cruz, who is hitting .242 this season, has an OBP of .340 and leads the team with 12 home runs and 31 RBI. Spencer Steer has also been productive, with 8 home runs and 43 RBI on the season.
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Pittsburgh is 35-37 overall and trail the Brewers by seven games in the NL Central. The Pirates have taken the first two games of this series vs. the Reds, and they are 9-9 in divisional games this year. Overall, the Pirates’ series record is 9-10-4 this year.
At home, the Pirates are 17-17 this season and 18-20 on the road. So far, they have gone 13-17 as the favorite and 22-20 as the underdog. Pittsburgh has been playing well, going 6-4 over their last 10 games.
The Pittsburgh Pirates are playing at home against the Cincinnati Reds today. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs, which is slightly lower than the combined run average of 8.6 runs per game for these two teams.
The Pirates have played to the over in 35 of their 71 games this season, and their games have averaged 8 runs per game. The over/under line for their games has been set at 8.5 runs in 23% of their games this season, and they have gone over that line in 13 of those 23 games.
Pirates Gambling
The Pirates have a run line record of 40-32 this season, including an 18-16 mark at home. They have a run line record of 22-16 on the road and are 29-13 against the run line as an underdog. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.1, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.6.
Pirates Stats
The Pittsburgh Pirates offense has been below average this season, ranking 22nd in runs per game at 4.1. Their batting average of .233 is 17th in the league, and they strike out 9 times per game, which is 26th in the league.
However, they do have some hitters who have been performing well recently. Bryan Reynolds is hitting .351 over his last 9 games, while Andrew McCutchen is hitting .344 over his last 8 games. McCutchen is also on a 4-game hitting streak, along with Ke’Bryan Hayes, Rowdy Tellez, Bryan Reynolds, and Oneil Cruz.
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Reds Pirates Pitching
Cincinnati is sending left-hander Nick Lodolo to the mound today as he faces the Pirates on the road. Lodolo has made 10 starts this season and has a record of 7-2 with a 2.93 ERA. So far, he has turned in five quality starts and is averaging 9.57 strikeouts per nine innings.
Lodolo has been especially good on the road, coming in with a record of 3-1 and an ERA of 2.57. In his last outing, he gave up two earned runs in six innings of work, coming away with the win. Before that, he had given up two homers in back-to-back starts.
Bailey Falter gets the start for the Pirates today and is looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Cardinals. In that start, which came on June 12th, he took the loss and gave up three earned runs in four innings of work.
Looking back over his last three outings, Falter has given up at least one homer in each of them. The left-hander’s ERA for the season is 3.86, along with a record of 3-4. Opposing batters have a batting average of .227 vs. Falter this season. So far, he has made six quality starts.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Reds head into the game having gone 6-4 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Reds they are 7-3 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Pirates are 5-5 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Pirates have a 5-5 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Reds are 3-0 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 0-3 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Pirates have a record of 2-1 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 1-2 in their last three games.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
Our pick for today’s Reds vs. Pirates game is to take the Pirates on the money line at +111. We have the Pirates winning this one by a score of 5-4, giving us a good payout with the money line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we actually have Bailey Falter finishing with fewer strikeouts than Nick Lodolo, but we still have Falter picking up more wins this season. Our projections have Falter finishing with four strikeouts compared to Lodolo with seven.
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