Free MLB Pick: Reds vs. Mets Odds
Looking for Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Reds taking on the Mets on Saturday, September 7th, 2024 at Citi Field, in New York, NY. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Reds Mets free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets
(68-74) Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets (77-64)
Date: Saturday, September 7th
Time: 4:10 ET
Venue: Citi Field New York, NY
Projected Starting Pitchers: Jakob Junis vs. Jose Quintana
MLB Moneyline Odds: Reds +133 | Mets -157 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Reds +1.5 | Mets -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 8.5
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Reds vs. Mets Gameday
At 4:10 PM ET in New York, the Mets will host the Reds at Citi Field. The Mets are looking to extend their winning streak to nine games, and they are favored to do so with a money line of -157 compared to the Reds’ +133.
Jose Quintana will be on the mound for the Mets, while Jakob Junis will get the start for the Reds. The over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, with the over paying out at -112 compared to the under at -110.
It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Mets vs Reds series. New York went into the matchup as -172 favorites and squeaked out a 6-4 win. Heading into the game, the Mets had lost two in a row.
Cincinnati had a two-run 4th inning to tie the game at 2-2, but the Mets responded with two runs in the 6th and added two insurance runs in the 10th. As for the Reds, they scored their final two runs in the 7th.
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Sean Manaea got the win for the Mets, going 6 2/3 innings and giving up four earned runs. He finished the game with nine strikeouts but issued two walks. As for the Reds, Fernando Cruz only went one inning and gave up two earned runs.
Cincinnati is 68-74 overall, and they are 13.5 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. The Reds lost the first game of this series vs. the Mets, and they trail the Cardinals by 3.5 games for the final Wild Card spot. So far, they are 20-23 in divisional games.
As the road team today, the Reds are 32-35 this season compared to 36-39 at home. Cincinnati has been the favorite in 66 of their games, going 33-33 in those matchups. They are 35-41 as the underdog this year. The Reds’ overall series record is 17-25-3, and they are 5-5 over their last 10 games overall.
The Cincinnati Reds have an over/under record of 67-68 this season, with an average combined run average of 8.9 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, they have a record of 16-12. The Reds have played 72 games with over/under lines set higher than 8.5 runs, which accounts for 50.7% of their games this season.
Reds Gambling
The Reds have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 76-66 overall. They have been especially good on the run line on the road, going 41-26. Their average run margin for the season is just 0.1 runs per game, but they have been outscored by an average of 0.3 runs per game at home. They have been a better bet on the run line as the underdog, going 49-27.
Reds Stats
The Cincinnati Reds have been an average offensive team this season, ranking 15th in runs per game with 4.5. Their batting average of .233 is 18th in the league, but they have shown some power with a .165 ISO, which is 9th in the league. Elly De La Cruz has been one of their top hitters this season, leading the team with 23 home runs and ranking 2nd with 65 RBI. Spencer Steer has also been a key contributor, with 19 home runs and 86 RBI on the year. Ty France has been hot at the plate recently, hitting .440 over his last 7 games. Nick Martini and Spencer Steer are both on 3-game hitting streaks.
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With an overall record of 77-64, the Mets are eight games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. The Mets have been playing well of late, as they have won eight straight games, and they are 9-1 over their last 10. New York has gone 22-17 against other teams in the NL East this year.
At home, the Mets are 39-33 this year and 38-31 on the road. As the favorite, the Mets are 50-35 this year and 27-29 as the underdog. New York has won five straight home games, and they are 32-22 as the home favorite this year.
The Mets are at home against the Reds today, and the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Mets games this season is 9.2 runs, and their over/under record is 71-66. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 25-17. Overall, 35 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, accounting for 24.8% of their games this season. Their current over streak is at three games.
Mets Gambling
When the Mets are favored, they are 38-47 against the run line, but when they are the underdog, they are 33-23. Their overall run line record is 71-70, and they have a run line win streak of 4 games at home. Their average run margin is +0.4 runs per game.
Mets Stats
The New York Mets have been a solid offensive team this season, averaging 4.8 runs per game, which ranks 7th in the league. Their home and road splits are fairly consistent, with 4.7 runs per game at home (12th) and 4.9 runs per game on the road (8th). The Mets have hit 181 home runs this season, which is 5th in the league. Their batting average of .249 is 9th in the league, while their on-base percentage of .321 ranks 5th. Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have been two of the Mets’ top hitters this season, with Lindor hitting .273 with 30 home runs and 84 RBI, while Alonso has 31 home runs and 78 RBI. Lindor is currently on a 16-game hitting streak, while Mark Vientos has a 6-game hitting streak.
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Reds Mets Pitching
Jakob Junis is getting the start for the Reds today and comes in with a record of 4-0 and ERA of 3.13. So far, he has made 20 appearances and two starts. Looking back at his last outing, Junis went 3 2/3 innings out of the bullpen, giving up one earned run on two hits. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. Junis has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings. Per nine innings, he has 6.65 strikeouts and just 1.17 walks. Junis has been better on the road, coming in with a 3-0 record and 4.12 ERA compared to 1-0 with a 2.77 ERA at home.
Jose Quintana gets the start for the Mets today and will be looking to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win. Against the White Sox on August 31st, he went 5 innings, giving up 2 runs (1 earned), and he had 6 strikeouts in the outing. Looking back further, Quintana has made 27 starts, and his record for the season is 7-9 with a 4.27 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting .243 off Quintana this season. The left-hander has turned in nine quality starts this year and is averaging 6.94 strikeouts per nine innings.
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Reds head into the game having gone 4-6 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Reds they are 5-5 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Mets are 7-3 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Mets have a 8-2 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Reds are 1-2 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 2-1 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Mets have a record of 3-0 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 3-0 in their last three games.
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
We see the Reds coming out on top in this one with a predicted final score of 6-2. Given that they are the underdogs on the money line at +133, that is the route we recommend going. If you’re looking for a parlay, we would recommend taking the over at 8.5.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Jakob Junis finishing with seven strikeouts, which is good for fourth among starters. As for Jose Quintana, he is predicted to finish with five K’s, which has him sixth worst among starters.
Today’s MLB Free Pick
MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
More walkoff pictures? More walkoff pictures. #MetsWin | #LGM pic.twitter.com/r4p0cQWI7t
— New York Mets (@Mets) September 7, 2024
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