Free MLB Pick: Reds vs Twins Odds
Looking for Cincinnati Reds vs. Minnesota Twins free mlb predictions? MLB betting sees the Reds taking on the Twins on Saturday, April 28, 2018 at Target Field in Minneapolis Minnesota. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Reds Twins free pick.
2018 MLB Season
(5-20) Cincinnati Reds vs. Minnesota Twins (8-12)
Date: Saturday, April 28, 2018
Time: 2:10 PM ET
Venue: Target Field, Minneapolis Minnesota
Projected Pitchers: Sal Romano vs. Jake Odorizzi
MLB Moneyline Odds: Twins -140 | Reds +130
MLB RunLine Betting Odds: Twins -1.5 (+145)
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: 9.5
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Romano was solid in his last outing against the Atlanta Braves as he picked up his first win of the season. He went six innings giving up one earned off of four hits while striking out five and walking one. The lone run came off a solo home run, while the home run marks the fifth one he’s given up this year.
It’s been a struggle for Romano in the early season as he can’t produce swing-and-misses (5.47 K/9) while he is giving up walks (4.10 BB/9) at a high rate. His biggest problem is even though he’s inducing ground balls in 50.6% of his pitches, batters have been making him pay with the long ball (1.71 HR/9). This ineffectiveness has resulted in a 4.78 ERA and 5.80 FIP.
Cincinnati continues to play losing baseball as they’ve lost their last five of seven contests in the last week. In that span their lineup is slashing .254/.337/.363 to go along with 14 extra-base hits and 33 RBI.
The New York Yankees rocked Odorizzi in his last start as he couldn’t make it through five innings giving up five earned off of five hits while he struck out five and walked three. He has now given up nine earned runs and five home runs in his last two starts.
His strikeouts (8.31 K/9) are right around his career average, but command has been an issue as he is posting a high 4.85 BB/9 and very high 2.08 HR/9. He’s been lucky in terms of BABIP with a .250, and he has been doing a solid job stranding base runners with a 83.9% LOB%. Yet he still owns a 4.50 ERA and 5.95 FIP, which tells you it has something to do with the long ball.
Minnesota is slumping hard as they have lost seven of their last seven contests. Their lineup is slashing a sub-par .228/.303/.367 to go along with 19 extra-base hits and 23 RBI in that span.
MLB Baseball Betting Trends:
- CIN are 7-20 in their last 27 Sat. games.
- CIN are 17-48 in their last 65 interleague games.
- CIN are 15-37 in their last 52 overall.
- MIN are 8-0 in their last 8 interleague home games.
- MIN are 11-1 in their last 12 interleague games.
- MIN are 24-8 in their last 32 games as a favorite.
Free Cincinnati Reds vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Prediction: Minnesota snaps seven-game skid
4* Free MLB Betting Pick: Twins -140
It’s hard to pick between either squad, but considering Cincinnati ranks 29th in home runs and home runs have been Odorizzi’s issue – he should be due for a bounce-back performance. With no means to getting easy outs, I can’t trust Romano on the road. Roll with the home team to snap their seven-game losing streak.
MLB Free Score Prediction: Twins 6 – Reds 4
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