Free MLB Pick: White Sox vs. Guardians Odds
Looking for Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the White Sox taking on the Guardians on Saturday, 8/20/2022 at Progressive Field in Cleveland. Cappers picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this White Sox Guardians free pick.
2022 MLB Handicapping
(61-58) Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians (63-56)
Date: Saturday, 8/20/2022
Time: 6:10 PM ET
Venue: Progressive Field, Cleveland
Projected Pitchers: Johnny Cueto (CWS) vs. Shane Bieber (CLE)
MLB Moneyline Odds: White Sox +140 / Guardians -165
MLB RunLine Betting Odds: White Sox +1.5 (-145) / Guardians -1.5 (+120)
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: 7.5
The White Sox and Guardians will play game 2 of their series Saturday night in Cleveland. We will see Johnny Cueto for the Sox and Shane Bieber for the Guardians.
The Guardians open as -165 home favorites and total for this game is 7.5.
Chicago White Sox
Johnny Cueto has been pretty solid in the month of August so far. He is 1-1 with a 2.45 ERA in 3 starts during this month. Cueto is coming off a very strong start vs the Astros his last time out. He picked up the win pitching 8 innings, giving up 6 hits and 1 earned run in that outing.
On the season, Cueto is 5-5 with a 2.78 ERA in 16 starts. He might be getting a little lucky with his ERA; his xERA on the season is 3.88, 1.10 higher than his season ERA of 2.78. Johnny Cueto has a 3.36 ERA at home in 8 starts, but on the road, he has a 2.12 ERA in 8 starts. Having this start on the road vs the Guardians ace will make this a better matchup for him.
As a team, the White Sox rank 5th in batting average vs righties and 17th in OBP. Looking at players to target, we have a lot of White Sox that have faced Bieber, but not a lot that have had success against him. The 2 players to target are Jose Abreu or Eloy Jimenez. Abreu is hitting .282 with 2 homeruns against Bieber in 41 plate appearances. Jimenez is hitting .357 with 3 extra base hits in 14 plate appearances against Bieber. Look to target either one of those guys to go over 1.5 total bases at probably plus money.
Cleveland Guardians
Shane Bieber has been very strong in August; he is 3-0 with a 1.80 ERA in 3 starts during the month. In his last start, he went 7 innings, giving up 8 hits and 2 earned runs vs the Blue Jays. In his 3 starts, he has giving up 2 earned to the Diamondbacks, 0 earned to the Tigers, and the 2 he gave up to the Blue Jays. He has pitched 20 innings and has struck out 22 batters during the month.
On the season, Bieber is 8-6 with a 3.18 ERA in 22 starts. The problem pitch for Bieber this year has been his fastball. It is down 1.7 MPH from last year, and he is allowing a .295 batting average and a .314 xBA. The best pitch for him has been his slider; he is allowing .191 batting average and a .193 xBA.
As a team, the Guardians are 3rd in batting average vs righties and 6th in OBP. The Guardians players really haven’t seen Cueto a ton in their careers. The obvious player to target would be Jose Ramirez. But a sleeper player to look at is Andres Gimenez. He is hitting .319 with 11 homeruns and 16 doubles vs righties this year. Also, Gimenez is 2-3 against Cueto with 2 singles. I’d target him if you are looking for a prop; either over on hits or total bases.
MLB Baseball Betting Trends:
- White Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 during game 2 of a series.
- White Sox are 7-1 in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Biebers last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Under is 5-0 in Biebers last 5 home starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
- Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings.
- White Sox are 2-5 in the last 7 meetings in Cleveland.
- Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Cleveland.
Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Prediction:
I’m going to take the Guardians -.5 in the F5 in this matchup. Then, give me Gimenez to over 1.5 total bases.
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