Free MLB Pick: Cubs vs. Phillies Odds
Looking for Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Cubs taking on the Phillies on Monday, September 23rd, 2024 at Citizens Bank Park, in Philadelphia, PA. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Cubs Phillies free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – Chicago Cubs vs Philadelphia Phillies
(80-76) Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies (92-64)
Date: Monday, September 23rd
Time: 6:40 ET
Venue: Citizens Bank Park Philadelphia, PA
Projected Starting Pitchers: Nate Pearson vs. Aaron Nola
MLB Moneyline Odds: Cubs +149 | Phillies -177 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Cubs +1.5 | Phillies -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 8
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Cubs vs. Phillies Gameday
At 6:40 PM ET in Philadelphia, the Phillies are set to host the Cubs at Citizens Bank Park. The Phillies are looking to snap a two-game losing streak and maintain their lead in the NL East. Aaron Nola will take the mound for the Phillies, while Nate Pearson will pitch for the Cubs.
The Phillies are favored in this one, with a money line of -177 compared to the Cubs’ +149. The over/under line is set at 8 runs, with the over paying out at -110 compared to the under at -111.
Chicago Cubs
Chicago is nine games behind the Brewers in the NL Central and are 80-76 overall. The Cubs are 21-28 against other teams in the NL Central. Chicago is 43-38 when favored and 37-38 as the underdog. On the road, they are just below .500 at 38-40.
At home, the Cubs have gone 42-36 this season. Chicago’s overall series record is 22-25-3, and they won their most recent series vs. the Nationals. Heading into today’s road game vs. the Phillies, the Cubs are 5-5 over their last ten games.
Heading into their last game vs. the Nationals, the Cubs closed out the series with a 5-0 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -207. Offensively, the Cubs scored their five runs on seven hits and didn’t hit a home run.
Shota Imanaga put together a good start for the Cubs, going seven innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just two walks and struck out four Nationals batters. Chicago’s offense was carried by Miguel Amaya, who went 2/3 with a double, two RBIs, and a run scored. The Cubs also had three other players with a single hit.
Cubs Gambling
Chicago Cubs games have gone under the total in three straight games, and their games have gone under the total in 49.4% of their games this season. The Cubs have an over/under record of 73-78 on the season, and their games have averaged 8.7 runs per game. The over/under line for today’s game against the Philadelphia Phillies is set at 8 runs, and the Cubs have an over/under record of 12-19-1 when the line is set at 8 runs.
Chicago has been a profitable team to bet on the run line this season, as they are 76-80 overall. They have been especially good on the run line on the road, going 46-32. They have been a better bet on the run line as the underdog, going 49-26, compared to just 27-54 as the favorite. Their average run differential this season is +0.4 runs per game.
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Cubs Stats
The Chicago Cubs have been a solid offensive team this season, averaging 4.6 runs per game, which ranks 13th in the league. Their offense has been particularly strong on the road, where they are averaging 5.1 runs per game, good for 4th in the league. The Cubs have been getting on base at a good clip, as their walk rank is 5th in the league. Looking at some of their top hitters for the season,
Seiya Suzuki has been one of their best offensive players, with a .279 batting average and 21 home runs. Ian Happ leads the team with 85 RBIs and has hit 25 home runs. Dansby Swanson is currently on a 5-game hitting streak.
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Philadelphia Phillies
Philadelphia is 92-64 overall and leads the NL East by five games over the Mets. The Phillies are coming off back-to-back losses and are just 4-6 across their last 10 games. At home, the Phillies are 52-26 this season and 40-38 on the road.
So far, the Phillies have gone 28-21 against other teams in the NL East. As the favorite, the Phillies are 79-46 this year and 13-18 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Phillies are 27-18-7 but have dropped two straight series.
The Phillies will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Mets with a 2-1 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the bottom of the 9th before the Mets scored two runs to pick up the win. Philadelphia was the -141 favorite on the money line going into the game.
Zack Wheeler put together a good start for the Phillies, going seven innings and giving up just two earned runs, and striking out eight. However, the Phillies couldn’t close things out, and Wheeler took the loss. Trea Turner was hot at the plate, going 2/4 with a run scored, and Nick Castellanos also had a good day, going 2/4 with a run scored.
Phillies Gambling
When the Philadelphia Phillies play at home, the over/under line is set at 8 runs. Their combined run average for the season is 8.9 runs per game, and their over/under record is 73-75. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 18-18-2. Overall, 46.8% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8 runs or higher.
When the Phillies win, they win by an average of 3.9 runs per game. When they lose, they lose by an average of 3.8 runs per game. Overall, they have a run differential of +0.8 runs per game. Their run line record is 75-81, and they are 35-43 against the run line at home. They have a run line record of 40-38 on the road and are 59-66 against the run line as the favorite.
Phillies Stats
The Philadelphia Phillies have been a strong offensive team this season, ranking 4th in runs per game and 4th in batting average. They have been particularly good at home, where they are 2nd in runs per game.
Their top hitters this season have been Kyle Schwarber, Bryce Harper, and Alec Bohm. Schwarber leads the team in home runs and RBI, while Harper is 2nd in OBP and Bohm is 2nd in batting average. Harper has struggled a bit recently, hitting just .200 in his last 9 games. Nick Castellanos is currently on a 4-game hitting streak.
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Cubs Phillies Pitching
The Cubs are sending Nate Pearson to the mound today, and he has made 57 appearances this season but has not made a start. Pearson’s ERA is 4.71, and he has a record of 2-2. Looking at his WHIP, it is currently 1.33. In his 63 innings of work, Pearson has a strikeouts per nine innings figure of 10.14.
The right-hander most recently pitched on September 20th, where he went two-thirds of an inning out of the bullpen, giving up one hit and one walk. He didn’t allow a run in that outing and finished with a no-decision. Pearson has not allowed a home run in his last three outings.
Right-hander Aaron Nola gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Cubs at home. Nola has made 31 starts this season and has a record of 12-8 with an ERA of 3.54. So far, he has turned in 19 quality starts, one shutout, and one complete game.
Looking back at his last outing, Nola finished with a no-decision against the Brewers, going seven innings and giving up one earned run on three hits. Before that, he had lost three straight starts. Nola’s ERA at home is 3.81 compared to 4.48 on the road.
Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Cubs head into the game having gone 7-3 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Cubs they are 6-4 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Phillies are 3-7 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Phillies have a 3-7 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Cubs are 2-1 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 2-1 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Phillies have a record of 1-2 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 1-2 in their last three games.
Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
We are predicting the Cubs to pick up a 5-4 road win over the Phillies. With the Cubs being the underdogs, we really like the value of them on the money line, where they are currently sitting at +149.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Aaron Nola is projected to finish with five strikeouts, which is the third-lowest among today’s starters.
We also have him finishing with the second-most earned runs allowed, and with the Cubs having a higher projected run total than Nola’s strikeout total, we would stay away from his strikeout line.
Today’s MLB Free Pick
MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
Strike ’em out. Throw ’em out.
What a wonderful thing pic.twitter.com/vd2RyTzf2s
— Philadelphia Phillies (@Phillies) September 23, 2024
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