Free Pick: Cubs vs. Mets Odds
Looking for Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Cubs taking on the Mets on 6/25 at Citi Field, in New York. This free MLB baseball pick is based on matchup analysis and documented handicapping data tracked by CappersPicks since 2004, with a focus on identifying the strongest betting angle for this Cubs Mets matchup..
2026 MLB Handicapping – Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets
(43-37) Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets (34-46)
Date: Jun 25, 2026
Time: 7:10 PM ET
Venue: Citi Field in New York, NY
Projected Starting Pitchers: Matthew Boyd vs. Freddy Peralta
MLB Moneyline Odds: Cubs -106 | Mets -113 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Cubs -1.5 | Mets +1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 8.5
Here’s why I’m backing an OVER bet below in my Cubs Mets free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
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Cubs vs. Mets Gameday
The Chicago Cubs head to Citi Field to face the New York Mets as the two clubs enter the game on opposite paths. The Cubs have won three straight games, while the Mets have dropped their last five. This shapes up as an important matchup for New York as it looks to put an end to its losing streak.
Chicago has been playing well on both sides of the ball.
The Cubs enter with a 43-37 record and have shown that balance in recent games against the Mets. In their latest meeting, Chicago earned a 10-5 victory behind strong performances from Pedro Ramírez and Dansby Swanson, while the Mets slipped to 34-46 during their recent struggles.
Chicago has owned this series from start to finish.
The season series has been one-sided.
The Cubs have won all six meetings with the Mets this season. Across the most recent matchups, Chicago has outscored New York by an average margin of 4.3 runs, and the Cubs will look to keep that trend going while the Mets try to turn things around.
Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets Odds & Last 5
Oddsmakers have installed the Mets as slight favorites for this matchup. New York carries a moneyline of -114, while the Cubs come in at -104. Even so, Chicago has covered the runline in all six meetings against the Mets this season.
The total is set at 8.5.
That number has gone over in most of the recent matchups between these clubs. Bettors will be watching to see if another high-scoring game develops.
Chicago continues to control the recent results.
The Cubs picked up a 10-5 win in the latest meeting with the Mets. They have also reached double-digit runs in two of their last three games against New York, while the Mets continue searching for answers during their current five-game losing streak.
Mets Stats
The Mets have displayed some power at the plate this season. Their 90 home runs rank 14th in the league, while their .231 batting average ranks 19th. Their .296 on-base percentage sits 20th in baseball.
Pitching has helped keep games competitive.
New York ranks 6th in the league with a .233 batting average against. However, the Mets own a 4.22 ERA, which places them 16th overall.
Several hitters continue to lead the offense.
Bo Bichette leads the club with a .254 batting average and 10 home runs. Francisco Alvarez is batting .264 with 8 home runs, while Mark Vientos has added 10 home runs to provide additional power.
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Cubs Stats
The Cubs have produced solid numbers at the plate this season. Their .244 batting average ranks 11th in the league, while their .338 on-base percentage ranks 2nd, highlighting their ability to consistently reach base.
Pitching has produced mixed results.
Chicago owns a 4.29 ERA, ranking 17th in the league, while its 629 strikeouts rank 22nd. Even so, the Cubs have limited opponents to a .238 batting average against, which ranks 10th in baseball.
Key contributors continue to pace the lineup.
Dansby Swanson leads the team with 11 home runs and 46 RBIs. Nico Hoerner is batting .241, while Carson Kelly has supplied a solid .283 batting average.
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Cubs vs. Mets Pitching Matchup
Matthew Boyd gets the ball for the Cubs carrying a 2-1 record this season. Despite his 6.00 ERA, Boyd has struck out 31 batters. His 1.29 WHIP also shows an ability to limit baserunners despite the elevated ERA.
Consistency remains the next step for Boyd.
His results have been uneven, as reflected by both his ERA and record. Lowering that ERA while continuing to generate strikeouts will be important moving forward.
Freddy Peralta starts for the Mets with a 5-6 record, a 4.83 ERA, and a 1.39 WHIP. He has also recorded 83 strikeouts, showing his ability to miss bats throughout the season.
His strikeout ability continues to stand out.
Peralta has flashed his potential, but improving his control and lowering his ERA will be important as the season moves along. Finding greater consistency could help the Mets turn their recent fortunes around.
Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets bottom line: Chicago enters with the momentum, but New York has an opportunity to halt its skid at home.
Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets Baseball Betting Trends
- The Mets are 0-5 straight-up in their last 5 games.
- Additionally, the Cubs are 4-1 straight-up in their last 5 games.
- The total has gone over in 4 of the Mets’ last 5 games.
- The total has gone over in 4 of the Cubs’ last 5 games.
- Also, the Mets have failed to cover the run line in their last 5 games.
- The Cubs have covered the run line in 3 of their last 5 games.
Cubs Mets Free Pick: Over 8.5
Here is my Cubs Mets free pick: These teams have developed a habit of producing offense whenever they meet.
Each of their last 3 meetings has finished comfortably above the total, and that trend deserves attention.
Chicago and New York have both seen the over cash in 4 of their last 5 games. That tells me both lineups are swinging the bats well while the pitching staffs have struggled to consistently shut opponents down.
Weather shouldn’t be much of a factor at Citi Field, leaving the focus squarely on the offenses. I like that.
Everything lines up for another game with plenty of runs.
Until these clubs show they can cool each other off, I’ll keep looking toward the total.
Give me the Over 8.5.
Today’s MLB Free Pick
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MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
No doubt about it 👊 pic.twitter.com/GUixmsWqxo
— New York Mets (@Mets) June 25, 2026
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