
Free Pick: Cubs vs. Mets Odds
Looking for Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Cubs taking on the Mets on 6/22 at Citi Field, in New York. This free MLB baseball pick is based on matchup analysis and documented handicapping data tracked by CappersPicks since 2004, with a focus on identifying the strongest betting angle for this Cubs Mets matchup..
2026 MLB Handicapping – Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets
(40-37) Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets (34-43)
Date: Jun 22, 2026
Time: 7:10 PM ET
Venue: Citi Field in New York, NY
Projected Starting Pitchers: Shota Imanaga vs. Kodai Senga
MLB Moneyline Odds: Cubs -117 | Mets -103 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Cubs -1.5 | Mets +1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 8.5
Here’s why I’m backing a Chicago ML bet below in my Cubs Mets free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
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Cubs vs. Mets Gameday
The Chicago Cubs travel to Citi Field tonight for a matchup against the New York Mets. Chicago enters with a 40-37 record, while New York comes in at 34-43. Both clubs are looking to halt losing streaks, with the Cubs dropping their last game and the Mets losing their last two.
Recent meetings have favored Chicago.
The Cubs have won the last three matchups against the Mets. Even with that success, Chicago remains seven games back in the NL Central, while New York trails by 14 games in the NL East.
Both teams need momentum, making this matchup more important.
Weather conditions could become a factor tonight.
Light rain and mild temperatures are expected in New York. Fans can watch the action on SNY as both clubs look to improve their standing within the division.
Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets Odds & Last 5
The betting market gives a slight edge to the Cubs entering tonight’s game. Chicago is listed at -117 on the moneyline, while the Mets sit at -101. On the runline, the Cubs are -1.5 with +138 odds and New York is +1.5 at -166.
The total for the game has been set at 8.5 runs.
Both the over and under carry nearly identical pricing. Oddsmakers are expecting a fairly competitive contest.
The Cubs have played solid baseball over their recent stretch.
Chicago has gone 6-4 over its last 10 games. One of the highlights was a dominant 16-2 victory over the Blue Jays.
The Mets have been less consistent recently.
New York has split its last 10 games and is coming off a 15-3 loss to Philadelphia. Both teams will be looking to shift momentum in a positive direction.
Mets Stats
The Mets have struggled to generate consistent offense this season. Their .232 batting average ranks 22nd in baseball. New York also ranks 22nd in on-base percentage at .296 and 22nd in slugging percentage at .372.
Power production has still been present at times.
The Mets have hit 82 home runs this season, ranking 16th in the league. Timely power remains an important part of the offense.
The pitching staff has delivered stronger results. New York owns a 4.09 ERA, ranking 14th in baseball. Opponents are batting only .233 against Mets pitchers, which ranks 6th in the league.
Home run prevention has also been effective.
The Mets have allowed 78 home runs this season, ranking 6th in baseball. Those numbers have helped keep many games competitive.
Juan Soto recently hit two home runs against the Phillies and continues to be a key contributor. Bo Bichette leads the team with 39 runs and 42 RBIs, while Marcus Semien has added 9 home runs.
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Cubs Stats
The Cubs have produced solid offensive numbers throughout the season. Their .244 batting average ranks 13th in baseball. Chicago’s .337 on-base percentage ranks an impressive 3rd overall.
Getting runners on base has been a consistent strength.
The Cubs continue to create opportunities despite only average batting numbers. Their ability to reach base has helped drive the offense.
The pitching staff has experienced some ups and downs. Chicago owns a 4.28 ERA, ranking 17th in baseball. Opponents are batting .239 against Cubs pitchers, which ranks 10th in the league.
The staff has still done a respectable job limiting contact.
Those numbers suggest opposing lineups have not consistently squared up Cubs pitching. Continued improvement would strengthen the overall profile of the staff.
Pete Crow-Armstrong delivered a 3-for-3 performance with a run and an RBI against Toronto on June 19th. Carson Kelly has also contributed with a .282 batting average and 26 RBIs in 56 games.
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Cubs vs. Mets Pitching Matchup
Shota Imanaga takes the mound for Chicago carrying a 4-6 record this season. He owns a 4.26 ERA and has recorded 84 strikeouts. Despite the record, Imanaga has often pitched better than the win-loss mark suggests.
His WHIP currently stands at 1.06.
That number reflects his ability to limit baserunners effectively. His strikeout totals also show he can create problems for opposing hitters.
Kodai Senga gets the start for New York with a 0-5 record this season. He enters with a 9.00 ERA and has collected 28 strikeouts. The numbers reflect a difficult season to this point.
His WHIP currently sits at 1.88.
Senga has struggled to keep runners off base consistently and will be looking for a turnaround performance. Finding better command and rhythm remains a major priority moving forward.
Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets bottom line: Chicago enters with the recent edge in the series, but both teams are searching for momentum.
Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets Baseball Betting Trends
- The Mets are 2-3 straight-up in their last 5 games.
- The Mets have gone over the total in 3 of their last 5 games.
- The Cubs are 3-2 straight-up in their last 5 games.
- Also, the Cubs have gone over the total in 3 of their last 5 games.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in 3 of their last 5 games.
- Additionally, the Cubs have covered the run line in 3 of their last 5 games.
Cubs Mets Free Pick: Cubs ML -117
Here is my Cubs Mets free pick: Chicago has the better recent feel in this matchup. The Cubs are 3-2 over their last 5 games, while the Mets have been a step behind at 2-3.
The head-to-head results matter here too, with Chicago winning the last 3 meetings and outscoring New York by an average of 3.7 runs. That is not just a coin flip trend.
Add in the Mets struggling to cover numbers recently, and the Cubs look like the more reliable side. Is it flashy? No, but it is clean enough.
The Cubs have already shown they match up well with New York.
Chicago has the current form, the matchup edge, and the better recent results.
Cubs ML (-117) is where I land.
Today’s MLB Free Pick
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MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
Pregame work 💪 pic.twitter.com/2ZcZrPu7N2
— New York Mets (@Mets) June 20, 2026
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