Free MLB Pick: Cubs vs. Brewers Odds
Looking for Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Cubs taking on the Brewers at American Family Field, Milwaukee Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Cubs Brewers free pick.
2022 MLB Handicapping
(8-12-0) Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers (14-7-0)
Date: Sunday, May 1st
Time: 2:10 ETPM ET
Venue: American Family Field Milwaukee
Projected Pitchers: Marcus Stroman vs. Corbin Burnes
MLB Moneyline Odds: Cubs -170 Brewers -205
MLB run line Betting Odds: Cubs +1.5, Brewers -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 7
For the Cubs, they have been the underdog in 65.0% of their games, overcoming the odds 29% of the time. In these matchups, they have a scoring average of 8 runs, on an average scoring differential of -0.15.
On the season, the Brewers have been favored in 86% of their games, posting a win percentage of 67.0%. As the favorites, they have an average scoring differential of 0.67, while averaging 4 runs per game.
Chicago Cubs
The Chicago Cubs take on the Milwaukee hoping to improve on their record of just 8-12-0, placing them 3rd in the NL Central division. Chicago has gone 4-6 in their games on the road. The Cubs will be looking to bounce back, after falling to the Milwaukee by a score of 11-1 To start the year, Chicago has picked up just 1 series win, going 1-4-2.
Against Milwaukee, the Cubs will send Marcus Stroman to the mound. Through 4 starts Stroman has yet to find the win column, with an overall record of 0-3. Heading into his start, he has an ERA of 6.98. This comes while averaging 4.78 innings per outing. If Stroman is going to bring down his ERA, he needs to lower his batting average allowed of 0.278, placing him in the bottom half of the league among starting pitchers. His rough start to the year is also backed by a FIP score of 4.96, an above-average figure for MLB starters. A key factor for this rating is that he is giving up an average of 1.86 homers per 9 innings pitched. This also includes a home run to fly ball ratio of 19.0%.
Milwaukee Brewers
As the Brewers, play host to Chicago, they have put together a record 14-7-0, placing them 1st in the NL Central division. So far, Milwaukee has been tough in their 9 games at American Family Field, posting a home record of 6-3. The Brewers are looking to keep things rolling as they are coming off an 11-1 win over the Chi Cubs. When looking at how Milwaukee has performed in their previous series, they have an above .500 record, going a combined 5-2-1.
For Milwaukee, Corbin Burnes comes into this game making his 5th start of the season, on an overall record of 1-0. To date, Burnes is lasting an average of 6.3 innings per appearance while posting a strong ERA of just 1.75. Opposing teams are having trouble generating runs against him as they are hitting just 0.151 against the right-hander. In addition to a strong earned run average, his FIP confirms 2.98 his strong performances thus far.
MLB Baseball Betting Trends:
- Cubs are 22-46 in their last 68 games as a road underdog.
- Cubs are 22-55 in their last 77 games as an underdog.
- Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
- Brewers are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Prediction Under 7:
With Corbin Burnes on the mound, I don’t expect much offense to come from Chicago, leaving it up to Milwaukee to carry this game over 7 runs. On offense, Milwaukee comes into the game averaging 4.05 runs per game, placing them 17th in the league. A key reason for Brewer’s lack of run-scoring is a team batting average that sits at just (0.217), placing them 23rd in the league. Although the team has a strong home run per at-bat figure of 32.19, their slugging percentage sits at just 0.367 (17th).
4* Free MLB Betting Pick: Brewers ML
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