Free NLDS – Game 5 Pick: Cubs vs. Brewers Odds
Looking for Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Cubs taking on the Brewers on 10/11 at American Family Field, in Milwaukee. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Cubs Brewers free pick.
2025 MLB Handicapping – Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers
NLDS – Game 5
(4-3) Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers (2-2)
Date: Oct 11, 2025
Time: 8:08 PM ET
Venue: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI
Projected Starting Pitchers: TBD vs. TBD
MLB Moneyline Odds: Cubs +115 | Brewers -136 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Cubs +1.5 | Brewers -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 7.5
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Cubs vs. Brewers Gameday
As the NLDS hits its climax, the Chicago Cubs and Milwaukee Brewers are locked 2-2, heading into a winner-take-all Game 5 at American Family Field. The action goes down Saturday, October 11, 2025, at 8:08 PM ET on TBS. The stakes?
A ticket to the NLCS—and bragging rights across the Midwest.
We can only hope tonight’s clash delivers half the drama of last night’s 15-inning epic between the Tigers and Mariners — an instant ALDS classic that reminded everyone why October baseball hits different.
Even with mild weather expected, the retractable roof means no weather excuses for either side. The Cubs finished the regular season 92-70, showing steady form on the road.
Meanwhile, the Brewers rolled to a 97-65 mark, dominating at home with a 52-29 record.
Momentum now leans toward Chicago, who’s reeled off back-to-back wins to even the series. Kyle Tucker and Ian Happ have sparked the offense, combining for clutch hits and timely power. Still, Milwaukee’s earlier series wins at home prove they’re far from done.
Head-to-head, these two clubs have traded blows all season. The Cubs hold a slight scoring edge in recent matchups, but the Brewers’ home field advantage looms large in a decisive Game 5 under the lights.
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Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers Odds & Last 5
According to oddsmakers, Milwaukee enters as the slight favorite at -136 on the moneyline, while the Cubs sit at +116.
That edge reflects the Brewers’ comfort at home—but don’t count out the Cubs, who’ve already proven they can win in Milwaukee.
Recently, Chicago has turned the tide, winning two straight behind timely hitting and a locked-in bullpen. In contrast, Milwaukee will look to rediscover the formula that helped them take Games 1 and 2 at home.
Historically, this matchup has been tight, with both sides exchanging wins throughout the season.
The Cubs’ recent offensive rhythm gives them momentum, yet Milwaukee’s home record still makes this one a true toss-up.
Brewers Stats
The Brewers have leaned heavily on contact hitting and plate discipline. They rank second in batting average at .258 and post an on-base percentage of .331, trailing only one team league-wide. However, their .403 slugging percentage ranks 10th, suggesting some inconsistency with power swings.
Pitching, though, has been Milwaukee’s backbone. Their 3.59 ERA sits second in MLB, and opponents have hit just .230 against them, ranking fourth overall. Still, they’ve surrendered 168 homers, something they’ll want to keep in check tonight.
While the Brewers blasted three home runs in their October 6 win over Chicago, their recent two losses show cracks in consistency. Nevertheless, players like Brice Turang and William Contreras remain critical.
Turang leads the team with a .288 average and 97 runs, while Contreras chips in a .260 mark with 89 runs scored.
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Cubs Stats
The Cubs, meanwhile, have been balanced on both sides of the ball. Their .249 batting average ranks eighth in MLB, while their .320 on-base percentage sits sixth.
They’ve also shown pop—posting a .430 slugging mark and smashing 223 home runs, ranking top-six in both categories.
Chicago’s pitching has been steady, not flashy. A 3.81 ERA places them ninth overall, and they’ve limited opponents to a .238 average. However, they’ve given up 202 home runs, which ranks 21st, leaving little room for mistakes in a Game 5 environment.
Lately, the Cubs have surged. They blanked the Brewers 6-0 behind Matthew Boyd’s sharp outing and Kyle Tucker’s homer, then edged them 4-3 thanks to a Michael Busch bomb. Busch leads the club with a .261 average and 34 home runs, while Seiya Suzuki’s 32 homers and 103 RBI keep him firmly in MVP conversation.
Nico Hoerner adds consistency, leading the team with a .297 average and 89 runs.
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Cubs vs. Brewers Pitching Matchup
Both teams are keeping their cards close when it comes to starting pitchers. The Cubs haven’t named their Game 5 arm yet, though recent bullpen management suggests they’re ready to mix and match.
Whoever starts will need to carry momentum from the last two wins.
Likewise, Milwaukee has yet to confirm their starter, possibly holding back for a tactical edge. The choice will matter—Brandon Woodruff or Freddy Peralta could be in play, each offering a different look at home.
Either way, the mound decisions could decide this one. Expect quick hooks, aggressive bullpen moves, and playoff-level tension from pitch one.
Milwaukee’s home-field edge is real, but Chicago’s current form and offensive rhythm make them dangerous.
Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers bottom line: Don’t be shocked if the Cubs steal this Game 5 in hostile territory.
Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers Baseball Betting Trends
- The Brewers have lost two of their last three games against the Cubs, with one game decided by a single run.
- In their last five games, the Brewers have hit at least one home run in 3 of them.
- Also, the Cubs have won three of their last five games, with 2 wins coming at home.
- The Cubs have hit at least one home run in four of their last 5.
- Additionally, the Brewers have allowed an average of 4.6 runs per game in their last 5.
- The Cubs have scored at least four runs in four of their last 5.
NLDS – Game 5 Cubs vs Brewers Prediction: Cubs ML +116
Here is my Cubs Brewers free pick. Momentum matters most in October, and the Cubs enter Game 5 of the NLDS looking like a team peaking at exactly the right time. They’ve won three of their last five games and have consistently produced offense, scoring at least four runs in four of those contests.
Their bats have also brought the thunder, with home runs in four of their last five outings — a sign that confidence at the plate is soaring.
Meanwhile, the Brewers’ edge at American Family Field hasn’t looked quite as sharp lately. They’ve dropped two of their last three games against Chicago, allowing 4.6 runs per game over their last five.
Even with home-field advantage, cracks in Milwaukee’s rotation and bullpen could be exposed again by a Cubs lineup seeing the ball well.
Importantly, Chicago’s 42-39 road record proves they’re no strangers to hostile environments. They’ve already won twice in this series, and with momentum swinging their way, the Cubs look ready to finish the job.
Given the form and firepower, the Cubs moneyline at +116 offers tremendous value in this win-or-go-home showdown.
Therefore, in this decisive Game 5, I’m riding with Chicago to stay hot and punch their ticket to the NLCS. Cubs vs. Brewers bottom line: Chicago’s bats have the edge, and that makes all the difference.
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MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
Bounce back tomorrow#MagicBrew pic.twitter.com/Iw1uv0F80A
— Milwaukee Brewers (@Brewers) October 11, 2025
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