Free MLB Pick: Cubs vs. Royals Odds
Looking for Chicago Cubs vs. Kansas City Royals Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Cubs taking on the Royals on Sunday, July 28th, 2024 at Kauffman Stadium, in Kansas City, MO. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Cubs Royals free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – Chicago Cubs vs Kansas City Royals
(50-56) Chicago Cubs vs. Kansas City Royals (57-48)
Date: Sunday, July 28th
Time: 2:10 ET
Venue: Kauffman Stadium Kansas City, MO
Projected Starting Pitchers: Javier Assad vs. Cole Ragans
MLB Moneyline Odds: Cubs +145 | Royals -171 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Cubs +1.5 | Royals -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 8.5
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Cubs vs. Royals Gameday
It’s a beautiful day for baseball in Kansas City, as the Royals host the Cubs in an interleague matchup. First pitch is set for 2:10 PM ET at Kauffman Stadium, with the temperature expected to be around 80 degrees under scattered clouds.
On the mound, it’s Javier Assad for the Cubs against Cole Ragans for the Royals. Kansas City comes into this one as the favorite, with a money line payout of -171 compared to +145 for the Cubs. The over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, with the over paying out at -119 compared to -102 for the under.
Chicago cruised to a 9-4 win over the Royals in the most recent game of this series. The Cubs had a huge 1st inning, scoring two of their nine runs. As for the Royals, they scored their first run in the 2nd and added their final three runs in the 6th.
Shota Imanaga only went 5 2/3 innings for the Cubs but gave up just three hits and three earned runs. He finished the game with three strikeouts but didn’t issue a walk. Julian Merryweather got the win out of the bullpen. As for the Royals, Seth Lugo had a rough outing, giving up six runs in 6 1/3 innings of work.
At the plate, the Cubs were led by Seiya Suzuki and Patrick Wisdom, who each homered. Suzuki, Mike Tauchman, and Hunter Renfroe each had two hits and two RBIs for Chicago’s offense.
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With a record of 50-56, the Cubs are 5th in the NL Central, trailing the Brewers by 10 games. Overall, they are 13-23 against other teams in the NL Central. The Cubs will be looking to pick up a win today, as they are just 1 game behind the Reds for 4th place in the division.
Chicago has dropped two straight series and are 11-19-3 in series this year. At home, the Cubs are 27-25 and have gone 23-31 on the road. As the underdog, the Cubs are 27-31 compared to 23-25 as the favorite.
The Cubs are on the road in Kansas City today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Cubs and their opponents have combined to average 8.3 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 44-58. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, their record is 12-13. Overall, 26.4% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs or higher.
Cubs Gambling
When the Cubs win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.3 runs per game. But when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.2 runs per game. That’s why their overall run line record is just below .500 at 51-55. They’ve been a good bet on the run line on the road, where they are 32-22, compared to just 19-33 at home. They’ve also been a good bet as the underdog, going 38-20 on the run line in those games.
Cubs Stats
When it comes to the Chicago Cubs’ offense, they have struggled to score runs this season, averaging just 4.1 runs per game, which ranks 24th in the league. Their batting average of .232 is 18th in the league, and their slugging percentage of .374 is 23rd. However, they do draw walks well, ranking 6th in the league in that category. Looking at some of their top hitters for the season, Ian Happ has been a bright spot, leading the team in home runs with 16 and RBI with 60. He is also on a 4-game hitting streak. Another player to watch is Seiya Suzuki, who is hitting .368 over his last 5 games.
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Kansas City is 3rd in the AL Central, trailing the Guardians by 5.5 games. Overall, the Royals are 57-48, and they have gone 19-10 against other teams in the AL Central. The Royals will host the Cubs today with an overall record of 36-21 at home.
So far, the Royals have gone 21-27 on the road. As the favorite, the Royals are 31-18 this year and 22-10 as the favorite at home. Their overall series record is 15-17-1, and they are currently tied in their series vs. the Cubs. Kansas City is 5-5 across their last 10 games.
When the Kansas City Royals are at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, which is slightly higher than their combined run average of 8.6 runs per game. The Royals have played 32 games this season with over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, and their record in those games is 10-19. Overall, their over/under record for the season is 43-59.
Royals Gambling
When the Royals win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.9 runs per game. That’s helped them to a 60-45 run line record on the season. They’ve been especially good at covering the run line at home, going 34-23. In games they’ve lost, they’ve been outscored by an average of 3.1 runs per game.
Royals Stats
The Kansas City Royals have been solid offensively this season, averaging 4.6 runs per game, which ranks 11th in the league. Their offense has been particularly strong at home, where they average 5.2 runs per game, good for 2nd in the league. The Royals have been hitting .251 as a team, which is 6th in the league. They are led by Bobby Witt Jr., who is hitting .342 on the season with 18 home runs and 71 RBI. Salvador Perez is also having a strong season, hitting .277 with 19 home runs and 70 RBI. Witt Jr. has been especially hot lately, hitting .581 over his last 8 games. Perez is on a 5-game hitting streak.
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Cubs Royals Pitching
Through 18 starts, Javier Assad has a record of 4-3 and an ERA of 3.15. He has made three quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he didn’t allow a run. Against the Brewers on July 22nd, Assad went 3 1/3 innings, giving up just one hit and two walks. He finished the outing with two strikeouts. Assad’s ERA at home is 2.32, compared to 4.58 on the road. The right-hander has a record of 2-2 on the road.
Cole Ragans gets the start for the Royals today vs. the Cubs and is coming off a strong outing. In his most recent start, he went 6 innings, picking up the win, and only gave up 3 earned runs. Looking back over his last three starts, Ragans has given up 3 earned runs in each outing. Ragans has made 21 starts this year and has a record of 7-6 with an ERA of 3.23. Opponents are batting .214 off the left-hander this year. Out of his 21 starts, Ragans has turned in 15 quality starts and is averaging 10.71 strikeouts per nine innings.
Chicago Cubs vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Cubs head into the game having gone 6-4 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Cubs they are 7-3 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Royals are 4-6 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Royals have a 5-5 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Cubs are 1-2 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 1-2 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Royals have a record of 1-2 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 0-3 in their last three games.
Chicago Cubs vs. Kansas City Royals 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
Our prediction for today’s Cubs vs. Royals matchup is to take the over, with the line sitting at 8.5 runs. We see the Royals coming out on top by a score of 5-4, giving us a little bit of wiggle room if you wanted to take the line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Cole Ragans finishing with five strikeouts compared to Javier Assad with just four. However, we do have Assad going seven innings, with Ragans going just five.
Offensively, the Cubs are projected to finish with just nine hits compared to the Royals with nine. However, the Royals are projected to finish with seven strikeouts, which is the fourth fewest in the league today.
For a potential payout, the money line has the Royals at -171, and we see there being better value on the over at -119.
Today’s MLB Free Pick
MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
Thank you to Bob Kendrick for stopping by to talk about the legacy of the Negro Leagues as we prepare to Salute the Negro Leagues today. pic.twitter.com/eIpw8piQoE
— Kansas City Royals (@Royals) July 28, 2024
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