Free MLB Pick: Cubs vs. Reds Odds
Looking for Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Cubs taking on the Reds on 9/20 at Great American Ball Park, in Cincinnati. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Cubs Reds free pick.
2025 MLB Handicapping – Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds
(88-66) Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds (78-76)
Date: Sep 20, 2025
Time: 6:40 PM ET
Venue: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH
Projected Starting Pitchers: Javier Assad vs. Zack Littell
MLB Moneyline Odds: Cubs -112 | Reds -105 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Cubs -1.5 | Reds +1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 9
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Cubs vs. Reds Gameday
As the Chicago Cubs take on the Cincinnati Reds at the Great American Ball Park, both teams are in different positions within the NL Central division. The Cubs are in second place with an 88-66 record, but they are on a two-game losing streak. Meanwhile, the Reds hold a third-place spot with a 78-76 record and come into this game on a three-game winning streak.
Recently, the Cubs have struggled against the Reds, losing the last two games in this series. In their most recent game, the Cubs lost 7-4 despite out-hitting the Reds with 11 hits. The Reds capitalized on their extra-base hits, which included five home runs.
The Reds have shown strong pitching performances, particularly in their recent 1-0 win where Hunter Greene pitched a complete game with only one hit allowed. On the other hand, the Cubs’ Colin Rea pitched seven innings, allowing just one run but did not receive run support. The Cubs will need to find a way to break through against the Reds’ pitching if they hope to end their losing streak.
Looking at the head-to-head matchups, the Reds have had the upper hand this season, winning six of the last ten games. The Cubs, however, have slightly outscored the Reds overall. With the Cubs trying to regain momentum and the Reds aiming to extend their winning streak, this game could be key for both teams’ late-season aspirations.
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Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds Odds & Last 5
The odds for this game reflect the tight competition between the Cubs and the Reds. The Cubs have a slight edge on the moneyline at -111, while the Reds are close behind at -106. The over/under is set at 9.0, indicating expectations for a moderate scoring game.
In recent games, the Reds have demonstrated effective offense, particularly in their 7-4 win against the Cubs. They managed five home runs in that game, which was a significant factor in their victory. Meanwhile, the Cubs struggled to capitalize on their 11 hits, resulting in another loss.
Looking at the head-to-head matchups, the Reds have a 6-4 advantage over the Cubs in their last ten encounters. However, the Cubs have outscored the Reds by a narrow margin overall. This game could be pivotal as the Reds aim to continue their winning streak, while the Cubs look to reverse their recent fortunes.
Reds Stats
First, let’s look at the Cincinnati Reds’ recent performances. They have been on a roll, winning four of their last five games. In their latest outing, they defeated the Chicago Cubs 7-4, with Spencer Steer and Elly De La Cruz leading the charge with home runs.
Next, examining the team’s hitting stats, the Reds rank 11th in batting average at .245 and 12th in on-base percentage at .315. Their slugging percentage sits at .392, placing them 17th in the league. They have hit 158 home runs, ranking 15th, and have managed 240 doubles, also 15th in the league.
Turning to pitching, the Reds’ staff holds a 3.94 ERA, which ranks them 14th. They have been effective in limiting opponents’ batting average to .236, ranking 7th in this category. Additionally, their pitchers have recorded 67 quality starts, placing them 3rd in the league, though they have given up 185 home runs, ranking 15th.
Finally, key players like Elly De La Cruz and Spencer Steer have been pivotal. De La Cruz, playing in 154 games, holds a batting average of .262 with 20 home runs and 83 RBIs. Steer, appearing in 138 games, has a .243 batting average, also with 20 home runs, showcasing consistent power for the Reds.
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Cubs Stats
Interestingly, the Chicago Cubs’ offense shows consistency this season. They hold an eighth-place rank in both batting average (.249) and on-base percentage (.320). Additionally, their slugging percentage of .427 places them seventh, while their 207 home runs rank fifth.
On the pitching side, the Cubs’ earned run average stands at 3.82, placing them seventh. However, they have allowed a batting average against of .239, which ranks ninth. Their pitching staff also ranks seventeenth in home runs given up with 190, indicating some vulnerability.
Recently, the Cubs faced a challenging stretch on the road. They dropped two games to the Cincinnati Reds, with scores of 7-4 and 1-0, and managed a split against the Pittsburgh Pirates, securing two wins. In their latest outing, despite collecting 11 hits, they fell short against the Reds.
Key players for the Cubs include Michael Busch and Seiya Suzuki. Busch leads the team with 29 home runs and a .491 slugging percentage, while Suzuki has contributed 27 home runs. Dansby Swanson also provides solid support with his .249 batting average and 23 home runs this season.
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Cubs vs. Reds Pitching Matchup
Javier Assad takes the mound for the Chicago Cubs with an ERA of 4.23. His win-loss record stands at 3-1, indicating limited decisions over his appearances. Despite this, Assad has shown consistency in keeping games competitive.
Assad’s WHIP of 1.30 suggests he allows a moderate number of baserunners. He often relies on his ability to pitch out of jams. This trend could be crucial against a Cincinnati lineup looking to capitalize on scoring opportunities.
On the other side, Zack Littell will start for the Cincinnati Reds. He enters with a 3.86 ERA and a 9-8 record, showing more frequent decisions in games. Littell’s WHIP of 1.11 reflects his ability to limit baserunners effectively.
Littell’s performance has been steady, often giving his team a chance to win. His strikeout numbers have been consistent, contributing to his overall effectiveness. This trend will be important as he faces a Cubs lineup eager to challenge him.
Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds Baseball Betting Trends
- The Reds have won four of their last five games, demonstrating a strong performance streak.
- Also, the Reds have hit a total of seven home runs in their last five games, showcasing their power at the plate.
- The Cubs have lost their last two games against the Reds, indicating a recent struggle against this opponent.
- The Cubs have allowed only one run in two of their last five games, reflecting solid pitching performances in those outings.
- Additionally, the total has gone under in three of the Reds’ last five games, pointing to lower-scoring contests.
- The Cubs have scored four or more runs in three of their last five games, demonstrating consistent offensive production.
Cubs vs Reds Prediction: Under 9
The Cubs and Reds have been playing in tighter, low-scoring battles lately, with four of their last five meetings staying under the number. That recent head-to-head history points directly to another game where runs will be tough to come by.
Additionally, Chicago’s pitching has been steady, holding opponents to one run or less in two of their last five outings. Meanwhile, Cincinnati has leaned towards the under in three of their last five games, showcasing a lineup that hasn’t been consistently producing.
Given these trends, this matchup shapes up as another contest where scoring opportunities are limited.
Moreover, when two teams combine recent pitching success with a history of unders in the series, it often signals value on the total. Therefore, sharp bettors may want to ride the under again here, expecting a slower-paced duel rather than an offensive slugfest.
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MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
Big W tonight‼️#ATOBTTR pic.twitter.com/3aCrFCMQd3
— Cincinnati Reds (@Reds) September 20, 2025
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