Free MLB Pick: Cubs vs. Reds Odds
Looking for Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Cubs taking on the Reds on 9/19 at Great American Ball Park, in Cincinnati. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Cubs Reds free pick.
2025 MLB Handicapping – Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds
(88-65) Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds (77-76)
Date: Sep 19, 2025
Time: 6:40 PM ET
Venue: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH
Projected Starting Pitchers: Shota Imanaga vs. Nick Lodolo
MLB Moneyline Odds: Cubs -123 | Reds +105 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Cubs -1.5 | Reds +1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 8.5
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Cubs vs. Reds Gameday
As the Chicago Cubs visit the Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park, both teams have distinct objectives. The Cubs, with a record of 88-65, are looking to bounce back after a recent loss. Meanwhile, the Reds, standing at 77-76, aim to extend their two-game winning streak.
In recent head-to-head games, the Cubs and Reds have been evenly matched. Over the last ten encounters, both teams have claimed five wins each, with the Cubs slightly outscoring the Reds by 0.9 runs on average. Notably, their recent contests have favored the under, with six of the last ten games going under the total.
The Cubs’ road performance this season has been solid, with a 42-36 record away from Wrigley Field. They aim to improve on their 27-19 division record as they face their NL Central rivals. On the other hand, the Reds have been competitive at home, posting a 41-34 record at Great American Ball Park.
The weather for the game is expected to be very hot, with scattered clouds providing some relief. Fans can catch the action live on MARQ at 6:40 PM. The Cubs and Reds will strive to capitalize on their strengths as the season nears its conclusion.
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Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds Odds & Last 5
Interestingly, the Cubs hold a slight edge in the moneyline odds at -124, while the Reds are at +105. This reflects the Cubs’ stronger overall record and recent performance despite their recent loss to the Reds. The runline also favors the Cubs, with -1.5 at +136, indicating a close contest is expected.
In their last ten games, the Cubs have shown a strong form with a 7-3 record. The Reds, on the other hand, have been more inconsistent, splitting their last ten games evenly. However, the Reds have momentum on their side with a two-game winning streak.
In recent encounters, the Cubs and Reds have been evenly matched, with the Cubs outscoring the Reds by a narrow margin. Notably, the last three games between these teams have all gone under the total, suggesting a trend toward lower-scoring games. This is reflected in the total odds set at 8.5, with the under slightly favored at -112.
Reds Stats
The Cincinnati Reds have shown consistent performance in their recent games, winning four out of their last five. This includes a narrow 1-0 win against the Chicago Cubs, where Hunter Greene pitched a complete game, allowing just one hit. Their recent success has been driven by strong pitching and timely hitting.
Meanwhile, the Reds’ offense ranks 11th in batting average at .245 and 12th in on-base percentage at .315. However, their slugging percentage of .390 places them 18th, indicating room for improvement in power hitting. Despite this, they have managed to hit 153 home runs, ranking 17th in the league.
On the pitching front, the Reds have an ERA of 3.94, placing them 15th in the league. They excel in limiting opponents’ batting average, holding them to .235, which ranks 7th. Additionally, their 67 quality starts rank 3rd, showcasing their ability to deliver solid outings consistently.
Furthermore, Elly De La Cruz stands out as a key player, leading the team with a .261 batting average, 19 home runs, and 99 runs scored. Spencer Steer and Matt McLain also contribute significantly, with Steer hitting 18 home runs and McLain providing 69 runs. The Reds will look to maintain their momentum as they continue their push in the standings.
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Cubs Stats
First, let’s examine the Chicago Cubs’ hitting performance this season. Their batting average stands at .249, placing them 9th in the league. Additionally, they have a solid on-base percentage of .320, ranking 8th, and a slugging percentage of .426, which ranks 7th.
Moreover, the Cubs have shown power at the plate with 205 home runs, ranking 6th in the league. They have also been effective in collecting doubles, with 252, placing them 7th. Their lineup has been disciplined, drawing 529 walks, which ranks 5th overall.
Turning to pitching, the Cubs have maintained a team ERA of 3.81, positioning them 7th in the league. Their pitching staff has limited opponents to a batting average against of .239, ranking 9th. However, they have surrendered 185 home runs, which is 16th in the league.
In recent games, the Cubs have seen mixed results. They won three out of their last five games, including a series win against the Pittsburgh Pirates. Key hitters like Michael Busch and Ian Happ have contributed significantly, with Busch hitting .257 and leading the team with 29 home runs.
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Cubs vs. Reds Pitching Matchup
Shota Imanaga takes the mound for the Chicago Cubs with a 3.29 ERA and a WHIP of 0.95. His win-loss record stands at 9-7, indicating a solid season. Additionally, his ability to keep runners off base is evident from his WHIP, showing consistency in his performances.
Imanaga has shown a trend of maintaining control in his outings, often limiting walks and hits. This has been key in his ability to navigate through lineups effectively. As a result, his presence on the mound often gives the Cubs a chance to stay competitive in games.
On the other side, Nick Lodolo will start for the Cincinnati Reds with a 3.30 ERA and a WHIP of 1.04. His record of 8-8 reflects a balanced season, where he has been both effective and challenged at times. Furthermore, Lodolo’s ERA suggests he can keep games close, providing the Reds with opportunities to win.
Lodolo has shown a pattern of striking out batters at crucial moments, which is a strength in his pitching arsenal. This ability to get key outs has been instrumental in his performances throughout the season. Consequently, his outings often keep the Reds in contention, making him a reliable option on the mound.
Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds Baseball Betting Trends
- The Reds have won 3 of their last 5 games, indicating a strong recent performance.
- Also, the Reds have been involved in games with a total of 7 or more runs in 3 out of their last 5 contests.
- The Cubs have won 4 out of their last 5 games, showing consistent success.
- The Cubs have kept their opponents to 3 or fewer runs in 3 of their last 5 games.
- Additionally, the Reds have covered the run line in 3 out of their last 5 games.
- The Cubs have seen the total go under in 2 of their last 5 games.
Cubs vs Reds Prediction: Cubs ML -124
The Cubs enter this matchup in excellent form, riding a stretch of four wins in their last five games. Even more impressive, they’ve held opponents to three runs or fewer in three of those contests, showcasing the kind of defensive sharpness bettors love to see.
Meanwhile, the Reds have been competitive, taking three of their last five, but their games have leaned toward higher-scoring affairs. Because they’ve allowed totals of seven or more runs in three of those outings, their pitching staff looks far less reliable than Chicago’s.
The Cubs’ ability to dictate pace and limit damage gives them a clear edge in this divisional clash.
Additionally, Chicago’s bullpen depth has been a difference-maker, helping them close out tight games with consistency. Since the Reds’ arms have shown cracks under pressure, this matchup tilts toward the Cubs to keep momentum rolling.
Therefore, backing Chicago on the moneyline at -124 offers solid value. With their current rhythm and pitching advantage, the Cubs are the sharper side to invest in here.
Today’s MLB Free Pick
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MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
A gem of a night#ATOBTTR pic.twitter.com/FqjIOCwJgW
— Cincinnati Reds (@Reds) September 19, 2025
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