Free MLB Pick: Cubs vs Reds Odds
Looking for Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Cubs taking on the Reds on Monday, August 16th, 2021 at Great American Ballpark in Cincinnati, Ohio. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Cubs Reds free pick.
2021 MLB Handicapping
(52-68) Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds (31-27)
Date: Monday, August 16th
Time: 7:10 PM ET
Venue: Great American Ballpark, Cincinnati, Ohio
Projected Pitchers: Justin Steele vs. Wade Miley
MLB Moneyline Odds: Cubs +175 | Reds -205
MLB RunLine Betting Odds: Reds -1.5 (-115)
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: 9.5
The Cincinnati Reds get a gift as they try to close the 2.5 game gap on San Diego for the second wild card spot. The downtrodden Cubs come to town, losers of 11 in a row and 7 of their last 8 this season against the Reds.
As expected, the Reds are huge favorites (-205) in this one but betting against the Cubs in any capacity has been very profitable over the past couple weeks. The run line (-115) has some good value as Chicago is not only losing lately, they’ve rarely even been competitive.
Can the Cubs avoid the dirty dozen? If this game were at Wrigley Field maybe you could have an argument for a Cubs upset but Chicago has been atrocious on the road all season with a 21-40 record away from the Windy City.
The latest folly for David Ross’ team was getting swept in a three game set against last place Miami. The Marlins scored 11 runs in one inning alone on Friday night, and gave up just a solo HR in Sunday’s 4-1 win. The series before the Brewers outscored Chicago 37-9 in a 4-game sweep.
The Cubs also come in having dropped 10 of their last 11 road games vs. a LH starter. The Cubs have a collective .210 average against Reds starter Wade Miley(13-62), and nobody on the Chicago roster has ever taken the left-hander deep.
Chicago will also trot a Southpaw to the mound when Justin Steele makes his second major league start. Steele took the loss last Tuesday even though he pitched relatively well vs. Milwaukee giving up 3 ER over 5.0 IP. Steele did allow 2 HR to the Brewers though, and the Reds are 6th in MLB in home runs.
Cincinnati has a great opportunity to close in on the Padres, who are playing the Rockies this week and Colorado is a much better team at home than on the road. The Reds have won 7 of their last 8 against the Cubs, and 4 straight at the Great American Ballpark.
The Reds are playing well too, taking 2 of 3 from a red hot Phillies team over the weekend. Sonny Gray outdueled Aaron Nola on Sunday and the 7-4 win marked the 4th time in the last 5 games that Cincinnati has plated 6+ runs.
Tyler Stephenson and Joey Votto have combined for 6 HR over the past week, but look for a big night from Nick Castellanos who is hitting .359 with a couple of HRs vs. Chicago this season. Castellanos and Tucker Barnhardt have both taken Steele yard in just 2 career ABs each vs. the Cubs rookie.
Miley goes for the Reds in a good spot, but the Reds have lost 4 of his last 6 starts. The lefty was rocked for 5 ER over 5.0 IP in his last start, the third time in his last four giving up 3+. Miley is 6-2 with a 2.56 ERA at home this season however.
MLB Baseball Betting Trends:
- Cubs are 14-41 last 55 overall
- Cubs are 6-20 last 26 road games
- Cubs are 1-6 last 7 Monday games
- Cubs are 1-10 last 11 road games vs. LH starter
- Reds are 5-0 last 5 home games
- Reds are 19-7 last 26 as a home favorite
- Reds are 11-5 last 16 Monday games
- Reds are 7-1 last 8 head to head meetings
Free Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Prediction:
There’s a pretty profitable strategy going in MLB betting right now – wager against the Cubs. Chicago sold off everything at the trade deadline, and a team that can’t hit and doesn’t have much experience in the bullpen can’t be trusted even with a nice ROI of +200.
The Reds usually dominate Chicago anyways, and that’s only going to continue with Cincinnati trying to chase down a wild card spot. The Reds know every win is crucial right now, and this one should be a rather easy W.
4* Free MLB Betting Pick: Reds -1.5 (-115)
12 straight defeats for Chicago seems almost inevitable.
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