Free MLB Pick: Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Odds
Looking for Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Red Sox taking on the Blue Jays on Monday, September 23rd, 2024 at Rogers Centre, in Toronto, ON. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Red Sox Blue Jays free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays
(78-78) Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays (73-83)
Date: Monday, September 23rd
Time: 7:07 ET
Venue: Rogers Centre Toronto, ON
Projected Starting Pitchers: Tanner Houck vs. Chris Bassitt
MLB Moneyline Odds: Red Sox +100 | Blue Jays -118 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Red Sox +1.5 | Blue Jays -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 8
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Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Gameday
At 7:07 PM ET in Toronto, the Blue Jays are hosting the Red Sox in an AL East matchup at Rogers Centre. The Blue Jays are favored in this one, with a money line of -118 compared to the Red Sox at +100. The over/under line is set at 8 runs, with the over paying out at -108 and the under at -113.
On the mound for the Red Sox is Tanner Houck, while the Blue Jays are countering with Chris Bassitt. The Red Sox are looking to extend their winning streak to three games, while the Blue Jays are hoping to snap a three-game skid.
Boston Red Sox
Boston is at .500 with a record of 78-78, and they are 14 games behind the Yankees for the AL East lead. The Red Sox are also 14 games behind the Rays for the second Wild Card spot. The Red Sox have won two straight games, and they are 4-6 over their last 10 games.
So far, the Red Sox are 22-24 against other AL East teams. Today, they are on the road, where they are 41-37 compared to 37-41 at home. As the underdog, Boston is 37-43 this year and 26-30 as the road underdog.
Romy Gonzalez had a big game at the plate for the Red Sox in their most recent game vs. the Twins, going 1/4 with a homer and four RBIs. The Red Sox really broke things open with a six-run 6th inning. Looking at the betting lines going into the game, the Red Sox were the slight underdog at +102.
Kutter Crawford got the start for the Red Sox, going 7 2/3 innings, and picked up the win. He also issued just three walks and struck out seven Twins batters. Boston’s offense was carried by Romy Gonzalez, who went 1/4 with a homer and four RBIs.
Red Sox Gambling
The Boston Red Sox are on the road today against the Toronto Blue Jays. The over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs. The combined run average for Red Sox games this season is 9.4 runs per game. Boston has a 77-71 over/under record on the season, and their games have had an average over/under line of 9 runs.
When the over/under line has been set at 8 runs this season, the Red Sox have a record of 14-10-3. Overall, 67.3% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs. The Red Sox have hit the over in their last two games.
When the Red Sox are on the road, they have been a good bet against the run line, going 44-34. They have a run line record of 74-82 overall, and their average run margin is +0.1 runs per game.
They have been a better bet against the run line as the underdog, going 46-34, compared to 28-48 as the favorite. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.9 runs per game, while it is -3.8 runs per game in losing games.
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Red Sox Stats
The Boston Red Sox offense has been solid this season, ranking 9th in runs per game at 4.7. They have been slightly better on the road, averaging 4.8 runs per game away from home. The Red Sox have hit 193 home runs this season, which is 5th in the league, and their .253 batting average is 6th. They have been good at getting on base with a .319 OBP, and their .427 slugging percentage and .746 OPS both rank 5th in the league.
Their BABIP of .32 is the best in the league. Jarren Duran has been hot at the plate, as he is currently on a 3-game hitting streak. Rafael Devers and Tyler O’Neill have been the top hitters for the Red Sox this season.
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Toronto Blue Jays
Toronto is 73-83 overall, and they are in 5th place in the AL East, 19 games behind the Yankees for the division lead. The Blue Jays have dropped three straight games, and they are 5th in the AL East, 14 games behind the Red Sox.
So far, the Blue Jays are 20-29 against other AL East teams. At home, they are 38-37 compared to 35-46 on the road. As the favorite, the Blue Jays are 44-29 and 29-54 as the underdog. Toronto’s overall series record is 17-26-6, and they have lost two straight series.
The Blue Jays will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Rays with a 4-3 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 9th inning before the Rays scored a run in the bottom of the 9th to pick up the win. Toronto was the +111 underdog on the money line going into the game.
Ryan Burr got the start for the Blue Jays and took the loss. He only lasted 1 1/3 innings, giving up three earned runs. Offensively, the Blue Jays had 11 hits but only scored three runs. Ernie Clement was hot at the top of the lineup, going 3/5 with a double, run scored, and RBI.
Blue Jays Gambling
When the Blue Jays play at home, the over/under line is set at 8 runs. This season, the combined run average in their games is 8.7 runs per game. Overall, the over/under record for Toronto is 78-74, and their games have averaged an over/under line of 8 runs.
When the line is set at 8 runs, their record is 24-17-2. So far this season, 71 of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, accounting for 45.5% of their games. Conversely, 42 games have had lines set lower than 8 runs, making up 26.9% of their games. Currently, the under has hit in five straight Blue Jays games.
When the Blue Jays win, they do so by an average of 3.3 runs per game, but when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.5 runs per game. As a result, their run line record is 79-77, with a 51-30 mark on the road and a 28-47 mark at home. They are 32-41 against the run line as the favorite and 47-36 as the underdog.
Blue Jays Stats
The Toronto Blue Jays offense has been average this season, ranking 20th in runs per game both at home and on the road. They have hit a below-average 153 home runs this season, and their .242 team batting average is 13th in the league.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been the standout performer for the Blue Jays this season, hitting .327 with 30 home runs and 100 RBIs. He is currently on a 4-game hitting streak, going 10 for 22 (.455) with 2 home runs and 3 RBIs over that span. George Springer has also been a key contributor, hitting .219 with 19 home runs and 56 RBIs this season.
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Red Sox Blue Jays Pitching
Tanner Houck gets the start for the Red Sox today as he faces the Blue Jays on the road. He has made 29 starts this season and has a record of 8-10 with an ERA of 3.21. Houck’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.16.
In his 29 appearances, he has one complete game shutout and 19 quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, Houck finished with a no-decision after giving up one earned run in four innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least four earned runs in three straight starts. Houck has allowed a total of 11 homers this season.
Chris Bassitt gets the start for the Blue Jays today and comes in with a record of 10-13 and an ERA of 4.16. Looking back at his last outing, Bassitt finished with a no-decision after giving up one earned run in 3 2/3 innings of work.
Before that, he had picked up the win in two straight outings. One of those wins came against the Mets, where he went six innings and gave up just one earned run. Bassitt has made 30 starts this year, and opponents are batting .263 off him. His ERA at home is 5.55 compared to 3.94 on the road.
Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Red Sox head into the game having gone 2-8 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Red Sox they are 3-7 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Blue Jays are 2-8 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Blue Jays have a 6-4 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Red Sox are 1-2 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 2-1 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Blue Jays have a record of 1-2 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 1-2 in their last three games.
Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
Our prediction for today’s Red Sox vs. Blue Jays matchup is to take the Blue Jays on the money line at -118. We actually have the Blue Jays winning this one by a score of 9-4, and with the payout for a Blue Jays win at -118, we see this as a great value pick.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Chris Bassitt finishing with seven strikeouts, which is the highest among all starters in today’s games.
As for Tanner Houck, we have him finishing with five K’s, which is fourth among all starters.
Today’s MLB Free Pick
MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
Baseball is filled with stories 🤗
Leo Jiménez and José Caballero both grew up in Las Tablas, Panama 🇵🇦
Caballero was also Bowden Francis’ shortstop at Chipola College, and both players were drafted in the 7th round in 2017.
Today, they exchanged jerseys and shared memories. pic.twitter.com/Ll4c5HXTqN
— Toronto Blue Jays (@BlueJays) September 23, 2024
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