Free MLB Pick: Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Odds
Looking for Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Red Sox taking on the Blue Jays on Thursday, May 1st, 2024 at Rogers Centre, in Toronto, ON. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Red Sox Blue Jays free pick.
2025 MLB Handicapping – Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays
(17-15) Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays (14-16)
Date: Thursday, May 1st
Time: 7:07 ET
Venue: Rogers Centre Toronto, ON
Projected Starting Pitchers: Tanner Houck vs. José Berríos
MLB Moneyline Odds: Red Sox -107 | Blue Jays -110 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Red Sox -1.5 | Blue Jays +1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 8.5
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Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Gameday
Thursday’s matchup between the Red Sox and Blue Jays has a first pitch set for 7:07 PM ET from the Rogers Centre in Toronto. The Red Sox are 17-15 this season, and they are starting Tanner Houck. The Blue Jays are starting Jose Berrios and they are favored on the money line (-110). The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs.
Boston is +152 on the run line, while the Blue Jays are -188. Tonight’s game is being televised on NESN, and the Red Sox are the 2nd in the AL East, while the Blue Jays are 4th in the the division.
Toronto rallied for three runs in the 7th inning in the most recent game of this Blue Jays vs. Red Sox series. The Blue Jays scored one run in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up three in the 7th, picking up a 7-6 win. Heading into the game, the Blue Jays were favored at -109.
Yariel Rodriguez only went one inning for the Blue Jays but gave up just two hits and one earned run. Jeff Hoffman got the win out of the bullpen, and Justin Slaten took the loss for the Red Sox.
Daulton Varsho and Alejandro Kirk each homered for the Blue Jays, while Carlos Narvaez hit a home run for the Red Sox.
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Boston is 17-15 overall and is 1.5 games behind the Yankees in the AL East. The Red Sox are 6-6 in divisional games this year. The Red Sox will take on the Blue Jays today on the road, and they are 9-9 on the road this year.
So far, the Red Sox have been really good at Fenway Park, going 8-6. As the underdog, the Red Sox have put together an overall record of 17-15. They have won two straight series on the road, and their overall series record is 5-4 this year.
Red Sox Stats
Heading into today’s game, the Red Sox have been one of the league’s best offensive teams, averaging 5.1 runs per game. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.9 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .251, which is 8th in the league, and are also near the top of the league in on-base percentage and slugging. Boston’s offense has been tough to strike out, but they are also one of the league’s most patient teams at the plate.
Alex Bregman and Wilyer Abreu have been the Red Sox’s top power threats so far, with Bregman batting .328 with seven homers and Abreu at .295 with six home runs. Bregman has been especially hot of late, going 15/36 in his last nine games, with three homers and eight RBIs. Jarren Duran has also been swinging a hot bat, going 16/41 in his last nine games with a home run.
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Toronto is 14-16 overall this season, and they are 3.5 games behind the Yankees for the AL East lead. The Blue Jays are also looking up at the Rays, who are also 3.5 games ahead of them and in 3rd place in the division. So far, they have gone 8-7 in AL East matchups.
At home, the Blue Jays are 9-6 this year and 5-10 on the road. Toronto has dropped three straight series, and their overall series record is 3-4-2. So far, they have yet to win a series as the favorite this year.
Blue Jays Stats
So far this season, the Blue Jays offense has been one of the worst in the league, averaging just 3.5 runs per game (25th) and are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and slugging percentage. As a team, they are batting .237, which is 16th in the league. Toronto’s offense has been even worse on the road, averaging just 2.7 runs per game.
Anthony Santander and Andrés Giménez are both near the top of the league in home runs for the Blue Jays, but they are hitting just .175 and .165, respectively. Santander has really struggled of late, going just 2/31 in his last eight games. Bo Bichette has hit .263 over his last nine games and is batting .295 for the season, but he has yet to go deep this season. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has three homers this season and is batting .268 overall.
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Red Sox Blue Jays Pitching
Tanner Houck is looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Guardians, where he gave up four earned runs in five innings of work. In that outing, he gave up one homer. Houck has made six starts this year and has a record of 0-2 with a 7.58 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting .322 off the right-hander this year. Houck has made two quality starts this year and is averaging 7.28 strikeouts per nine innings. For the season, he has allowed six homers and is averaging 3.64 walks per nine innings. Per the data, Houck’s ERA at home is 2.17 compared to 15.68 on the road.
José Berríos gets the start for the Blue Jays today as he faces the Red Sox at home. So far, he has made six starts and has a record of 1-1 with an ERA of 4.24. Berríos has made two quality starts this year and has a WHIP of 1.41. In his last outing, he didn’t give up a run in 5 1/3 innings of work against the Yankees. Berríos finished with a no-decision in that outing. Overall, he has finished with a no-decision in three straight starts. The right-hander has allowed at least one homer in three straight starts.
Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Red Sox head into the game having gone 6-4 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Red Sox they are 6-4 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Blue Jays are 3-7 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Blue Jays have a 5-5 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Red Sox are 2-1 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 3-0 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Blue Jays have a record of 1-2 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 1-2 in their last three games.
Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Prediction: Red Sox ML -107
Our pick for today’s Red Sox vs. Blue Jays game is to take the Red Sox on the money line, with the payout currently sitting at -107. We actually have the Red Sox winning this one by a score of 5-1.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Tanner Houck finishing with six strikeouts, which would have him finishing outside of the top 10 in terms of starters today. As for José Berríos, we have him finishing with four strikeouts, which would have him also finishing outside of the top 10.
Getting into some team projections, we have the Red Sox finishing with nine total hits, and for the Blue Jays, they are projected to finish with five hits.
Another way to play this one would be to take the over/under, and with the line sitting at 8.5 runs, we would take the UNDER.
Today’s MLB Free Pick
MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
🗣️ BLUE JAYS WIN ‼️🗣️ pic.twitter.com/K0Q0oxuNhA
— Toronto Blue Jays (@BlueJays) May 1, 2025
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