Free MLB Pick: Red Sox vs. Rangers Odds
Looking for Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Red Sox taking on the Rangers on Thursday, March 27th, 2024 at Globe Life Field, in Texas, TX. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Red Sox Rangers free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – Boston Red Sox vs Texas Rangers
(0-0) Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers (0-0)
Date: Thursday, March 27th
Time: 4:05 ET
Venue: Globe Life Field Arlington, TX
Projected Starting Pitchers: Garrett Crochet vs. Nathan Eovaldi
MLB Moneyline Odds: Red Sox -113 | Rangers -104 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Red Sox -1.5 | Rangers +1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 7.5
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Red Sox vs. Rangers Gameday
The Red Sox and Rangers will face off in an AL matchup at 4:05 PM ET on Thursday. This one is being played at Globe Life Field in Arlington and has the Red Sox as the slight money line favorite, with their odds sitting at -113 compared to the Rangers at -104. The over/under line is currently 7.5 runs.
Thursday’s starting pitching matchup features Garrett Crochet for the Red Sox and Nathan Eovaldi for the Rangers. Looking at the odds, the Red Sox are +150 on the run line, while the Rangers are -182.
Red Sox
Despite finishing with a .500 record last season, the Red Sox missed out on the playoffs. In the American League, they were in 9th place and 3rd in the AL East. Their overall series record was 25-20-6.
At home, Boston went 38-43 last season compared to 43-38 on the road. In the AL East, their division record was 25-27. As underdogs, the Red Sox went 81-81 straight up.
On the road last season, the Red Sox had a run line record of 43-38, compared to 38-43 at home. Their average scoring margin in road games was +0.4 runs per game compared to -.4 runs per game at home. Overall, their average scoring margin was dead even at 0.0 runs per game. In games they covered the run line, their scoring margin was +3.9 runs per game compared to -3.8 runs per game in games they did not cover the run line. For the season, they were the underdog in all 162 games, going 81-81 vs. the run line.
Last season, Boston’s games had an average over/under line of 8.6 runs, and their O/U record was 79-75. Their games averaged a combined 9.2 runs per game, and 62.3% of their games finished with more runs than today’s line of 7.5. When their over/under line was 7.5 runs, the O/U record was 11-14.
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Red Sox Stats
Last season, the Red Sox were 9th in the league in runs per game at 4.6. On the road, they averaged 4.8 runs per game (9th). Overall, their batting average was 5th in the league at .252. In terms of strikeouts, they were 26th, but they were 6th in slugging percentage and 6th in OPS.
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Texas Rangers
The Rangers will be looking to improve on their 78-84 record from last season, which left them outside of the playoffs. In the American League, Texas finished in 11th place and 3rd in the AL-West.
At home, the Rangers went 44-37 compared to 34-47 on the road. In night games, Texas was 48-55 last season, and they were 30-29 in day games.
Against the Red Sox, the Rangers are the underdog today at -104 on the money line. Last season, Texas went 78-84 when listed as the underdog.
In their series last year, the Rangers went 21-29-1 overall. At home, they were 12-13-1 in series play, and on the road, they were 9-16.
Last season, the Rangers were the underdog in all 162 games, going 78-84 against the run line. Their average run margin was -.3 runs per game, -.9 runs per game on the road compared to +.3 runs per game at home. In games they covered the run line, their average scoring margin was +3.4 runs per game compared to -3.8 runs per game in games they did not cover the run line.
When looking at last season’s O/U record, the Rangers finished 76-80, and their games had an average O/U line of 8.4 runs. In games with an O/U line of 7.5, the over/under record was 9-10. Overall, 53.7% of their games finished with more runs than 7.5. For the season, Texas accounted for 48.1% of the runs in their games.
Rangers Stats
The Texas Rangers’ offense was middle of the pack in terms of scoring, averaging 4.2 runs per game (18th). They were slightly better at home, scoring 4.1 runs per game compared to 4.3 on the road. Overall, they hit .238 as a team (14th) and were 15th in home runs with 176. Their strikeout rate was 8th in the league, but they were just 20th in on-base percentage and 20th in slugging percentage.
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Garrett Crochet will be on the mound for the Red Sox today. Last season, he made 32 starts and went 6-12 with an ERA of 3.58. His WHIP was 1.07, and he allowed an average of .222 to opposing hitters. In terms of quality starts, Crochet had 11, and he averaged 12.88 strikeouts per nine innings. Last season, he faced the Rangers twice, going 0-1 with an ERA of 2.25.
Nathan Eovaldi is coming off a season in which he made 29 starts and finished with a record of 12-8. His ERA for the season was 3.80, and he had a WHIP of 1.11. Eovaldi made 16 quality starts and gave up a total of 23 home runs. For the season, he averaged 8.75 strikeouts per nine innings and 2.21 walks per nine innings. Eovaldi’s batting average allowed was .230, and his on-base percentage allowed was .281. His slugging percentage allowed was .388, and his FIP for the season was 3.83. Overall, Eovaldi had a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 4.0 and averaged 1.4 walks per game.
Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Red Sox head into the game having gone 4-6 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Red Sox they are 5-5 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Rangers are 5-5 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Rangers have a 5-5 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Red Sox are 0-3 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 2-1 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Rangers have a record of 3-0 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 2-1 in their last three games.
Red Sox vs. Rangers Prediction: Rangers ML -104
Our prediction for today’s Red Sox vs. Rangers game is to take the Rangers on the money line at -104. We have the Rangers winning this one by a score of 6-5, which would give you a nice payout with the money line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Nathan Eovaldi finishing with six strikeouts, which is a bit lower than his season average. As for Garrett Crochet, we have him racking up seven strikeouts, and he is projected to finish with the 17th most among starters today.
