Free MLB Pick: Red Sox vs. Yankees Odds
Looking for Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Red Sox taking on the Yankees on Friday, July 5th, 2024 at Yankee Stadium, in New York, NY. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Red Sox Yankees free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees
(47-39) Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees (54-35)
Date: Friday, July 5th
Time: 7:05 ET
Venue: Yankee Stadium New York, NY
Projected Starting Pitchers: Tanner Houck vs. Nestor Cortes
MLB Moneyline Odds: Red Sox +120 | Yankees -141 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Red Sox +1.5 | Yankees -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 8.5
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Red Sox vs. Yankees Gameday
It’s an AL East showdown tonight at Yankee Stadium as the New York Yankees host the Boston Red Sox. First pitch is set for 7:05 PM ET with the temperature expected to be 92 degrees under overcast skies. The Yankees are looking to snap a three-game losing streak, while the Red Sox are riding a four-game winning streak.
On the mound, it will be Tanner Houck for the Red Sox facing off against Nestor Cortes for the Yankees. The current money line has the Yankees as the favorite at -141, while the Red Sox are sitting at +120. The over/under line is currently set at 8.5 runs.
Boston Red Sox
Boston is on a four-game winning streak, and they are 47-39 overall this season. The Red Sox are 3rd in the AL East, trailing the Orioles by 7.5 games. So far, they have gone 11-10 in divisional matchups. Boston closed out their series vs. the Marlins with three straight wins.
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At home, the Red Sox are 20-23 this season, and they have gone 27-16 on the road. As the road underdog, the Red Sox are 14-13 this season, and they have won five straight as the underdog overall. Boston’s overall series record is 13-10-5, and they have won three straight series on the road.
The Red Sox’s most recent game was a 6-5 win over the Marlins to close out their series. Boston was the heavy favorite going into the game at -156. Things got off to a good start for the Red Sox, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning and added another run in the 6th.
Nick Pivetta put together a good start for the Red Sox, going seven innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just two walks and struck out 10 Marlins batters. Boston’s offense was carried by Tyler O’Neill, who went 3/5 with two doubles, two RBIs, and a run scored. The Red Sox also had a couple of players with two hits.
Red Sox Gambling
The Boston Red Sox are on the road today against the New York Yankees. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Red Sox have had a combined run average of 8.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 42-39. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs this season, their record is 15-11. Overall, 27.9% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs. Their current over streak is at three games.
When the Red Sox win, they win big, with an average run margin of 4.2 runs per game. That’s helped them to a 40-46 run line record, including a 25-18 mark on the road. They’ve been a good bet as the underdog, going 25-17 against the run line in those games.
Red Sox Stats
The Boston Red Sox have been solid offensively this season, averaging 4.7 runs per game, which ranks 11th in the league. Their offense has been particularly strong on the road, where they average 5.1 runs per game, good for 5th in the MLB. The Red Sox have a .253 team batting average, which is 7th in the league. They are also 7th in OBP (.323) and 7th in SLG (.418). Rafael Devers has been one of their top hitters, hitting .288 on the season with 18 home runs and 51 RBI. He has been on fire recently, hitting .400 over his last 8 games with 4 home runs and 12 RBI. Tyler O’Neill is also swinging a hot bat, as he is currently on a 3-game hitting streak.
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New York Yankees
The Yankees kick off their series vs. the Red Sox at home today, having dropped three straight games, and they are two games behind the Orioles for the AL East lead. New York’s overall record is 54-35, and they are 12-14 in AL East matchups this year. The Yankees have lost four straight games at home, and they are 24-17 at home this year.
As for how they have fared on the road, the Yankees are 30-18, and they have dropped three straight as the favorite overall. This year, the Yankees are 42-29 as the favorite and 12-6 as the underdog. Looking at their series record, the Yankees are 17-8-3 this year but just lost their most recent series vs. the Reds.
The Yankees will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Reds with an 8-4 loss. New York was the heavy favorite at -182 going into the game but fell behind big early, as the Reds scored three times in the 2nd.
Marcus Stroman had a rough outing, giving up five earned runs on five hits and issuing two walks. The Yankees’s offense scored their only four runs in thejson 3rd, with Juan Soto going deep and Austin Wells adding a homer of his own. The Yankees also wasted a big game from Alex Verdugo, who went 3/4 with two doubles.
Yankees Gambling
When the New York Yankees play at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The Yankees have played 20 games this season with an over/under line of 8.5 runs, and their over/under record in those games is 23-15. Their games have averaged 9.0 runs per game this season, and their overall over/under record is 47-40.
When the Yankees are favored, they are 34-37 against the run line, but when they are the underdog, they are 14-4. Their average run margin is 1.1 runs per game, and they are 48-41 against the run line overall. They have a better run line record on the road (28-20) than at home (20-21).
Yankees Stats
The New York Yankees have been a strong offensive team this season, averaging 5 runs per game, which ranks 3rd in the league. Their offense has been particularly potent on the road, where they average 5.4 runs per game, 2nd in the league. The Yankees are 2nd in total home runs with 127, and they lead the league in walks. Their top hitters for the season include Aaron Judge, who is hitting .314 with 32 home runs and 83 RBIs. Judge has been on fire recently, hitting .438 with 4 home runs and 13 RBIs over his last 9 games. Giancarlo Stanton is currently on a 10-game hitting streak, while Jahmai Jones has hit safely in 3 straight games.
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Red Sox Yankees Pitching
Tanner Houck gets the start for the Red Sox today as he faces the Yankees on the road. He has made 17 starts this season and has a record of 7-6 with a 2.67 ERA. Houck’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.02. In his 17 appearances, he has one complete game shutout and 13 quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, Houck took the loss, going 4 1/3 innings and giving up seven earned runs on four homers. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without giving up a homer. Houck has been much better on the road, coming in with a 4-2 record and 1.89 ERA compared to 3-4 with a 3.77 ERA at home.
New York is sending left-hander Nestor Cortes to the mound today vs. the Red Sox. He has made 18 starts this season and has a record of 4-7 with an ERA of 3.51. Cortes’ WHIP for the season is currently 1.10. In his 18 starts, he has turned in eight quality starts and is averaging 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings. Cortes most recently faced the Blue Jays, where he took the loss, going 4 1/3 innings and giving up three earned runs. Before that, he had pitched at least six innings in three straight outings.
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Red Sox head into the game having gone 9-1 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Red Sox they are 6-4 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Yankees are 3-7 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Yankees have a 3-7 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Red Sox are 3-0 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 3-0 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Yankees have a record of 0-3 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 1-2 in their last three games.
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
Our prediction for this game is that the Yankees will pick up a 6-5 win over the Red Sox. With the Yankees being the money line favorites, we would recommend taking them to win straight up at -141.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Nestor Cortes finishing with six strikeouts compared to Tanner Houck with five. However, if you’re looking for a player prop bet, you could take the over on Cortes’ strikeout line, as we have him finishing with six.
Today’s MLB Free Pick
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