Free MLB Pick: Red Sox vs. Yankees Odds
Looking for AL Wildcard – Game 2 Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Red Sox taking on the Yankees on 10/1 at Yankee Stadium, in New York. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Red Sox Yankees free pick.
2025 MLB Handicapping – Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees
AL Wildcard – Game 2
(1-0) Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees (0-1)
Date: Oct 01, 2025
Time: 6:08 PM ET
Venue: Yankee Stadium in New York, NY
Projected Starting Pitchers: Brayan Bello vs. Carlos Rodón
MLB Moneyline Odds: Red Sox +145 | Yankees -175 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Red Sox +1.5 | Yankees -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 7.5
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Red Sox vs. Yankees Gameday
Game 2 of the AL Wildcard goes down tonight in the Bronx, and the New York Yankees are suddenly playing for their lives. The Boston Red Sox rode Garrett Crochet’s dominant pitching performance to a 3-1 win in Game 1, snatching home-field momentum away and putting Aaron Boone’s team on the brink.
For Alex Cora’s Red Sox, the path is clear: win again tonight and the series is over. Boston finished just one game behind New York in the regular season standings, but last night they looked like the sharper, hungrier team.
The Yankees, who went 50-31 at Yankee Stadium this year, need every ounce of that home-field edge now.
These bitter rivals split hairs all season long — New York had the slight regular season edge head-to-head, but Boston just landed the first postseason punch.
With elimination on the line, the energy tonight at Yankee Stadium will be electric.
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2025 MLB Baseball Handicapping
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Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Odds & Last 5
The Yankees are still getting respect from oddsmakers, listed as -173 favorites, while the Red Sox sit as underdogs at +144. The runline has New York -1.5 at +126, with Boston +1.5 at -152. The total is 8 runs, shaded slightly to the under.
Boston has now won three of their last five overall, including last night’s postseason statement. New York came in hot, sweeping Baltimore to end the regular season, but all that momentum evaporated in one October night.
Game 2 will tell us if that was a blip or the start of another Red Sox October takedown in the Bronx.
Yankees Stats
The Yankees lived off the long ball all year, leading the majors with 274 home runs and ranking first in slugging percentage (.455). Their lineup is stacked with power threats — Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton, and Jazz Chisholm Jr. — but the bats went mostly quiet in Game 1.
On the mound, New York’s staff was solid with a 3.91 ERA (13th) and a .228 batting average against (2nd). The bullpen has been a weapon, but it couldn’t outduel Crochet last night. For Boone’s club, the formula is simple: hit homers and keep the Red Sox from manufacturing runs.
The Yankees need Judge and Stanton to actually deliver when it counts. One more flat night at the plate, and it’s winter in the Bronx.
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Red Sox Stats
Boston’s calling card is pressure offense. They led MLB in doubles (324) and ranked third in batting average at .254. They don’t rely as heavily on homers (186, 13th) as the Yankees, but they create extra-base hits and run the bases aggressively — 139 steals (5th in MLB) proved it.
On the hill, the Sox were steady with a 3.72 ERA (5th) and 72 quality starts (2nd). Crochet set the tone last night, and now the rest of the staff just needs to keep pounding the zone.
Offensively, Trevor Story and Masataka Yoshida have been catalysts. If their lineup strings together rallies like they did last night, they can finish the job quickly.
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Red Sox vs. Yankees Pitching Matchup
Boston hands the ball to Brayan Bello, who went 11-9 with a 3.35 ERA and 1.24 WHIP. He’s shown poise beyond his years and has quietly been one of the Sox’ most reliable arms.
The Red Sox don’t need him to be Crochet — just good enough to keep the Yankees from jumping ahead early.
The Yankees counter with Carlos Rodón, their ace lefty who went 18-9 with a 3.09 ERA and 1.05 WHIP. He has the strikeout stuff to dominate, and Boone will be counting on him to shove in an elimination spot.
This duel is strength versus strength: Rodón’s power arm trying to keep the Yankees alive, versus Bello’s steady control trying to send Boston through.
If Rodón falters, the Yankees’ season could be over before they even get on the plane for a Game 3.
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Baseball Betting Trends
- The Yankees have won their last five games straight up, displaying consistency in their recent performance.
- Also, the Yankees have covered the run line in four of their last five games, indicating strong offensive and defensive play.
- The total has gone over in three of the Yankees’ last five games, suggesting high-scoring affairs.
- The Red Sox have a 3-2 record in their last five games straight up, reflecting a mixed performance.
- Additionally, the Red Sox have covered the run line in only two of their last five games, showing some inconsistency.
- The total has gone under in three of the Red Sox’s last five games, pointing to lower scoring outcomes.
AL Wildcard – Game 2 Red Sox vs Yankees Prediction: Over 7.5
The Yankees enter Game 2 of the AL Wild Card after a gut-punch loss in Game 1, and that type of setback often fuels a quick offensive response. Their bats have been steady overall, with three of their last five outings sailing past the posted total.
Even though the Red Sox have seen more unders lately, these two teams have a history of producing fireworks when they square off. With New York’s urgency sky-high after dropping the opener, you can expect them to attack at the plate.
Desperation and power usually add up to runs in October baseball.
Boston’s pitching has shown cracks, and against a Yankees lineup that rarely stays cold for long, those mistakes can quickly turn into big innings. Given how both sides match up offensively, a lower total like 7.5 feels vulnerable.
All things considered, the over 7.5 is the sharper side here. With New York pushing to even the series and Boston capable of answering back, this one sets up as another high-scoring Wild Card battle.
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MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
A Standing O for @MaxFried32 👏 pic.twitter.com/UHtRQ3itUy
— New York Yankees (@Yankees) September 30, 2025
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