Free MLB Pick: Red Sox vs. Royals Odds
Looking for Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Red Sox taking on the Royals on Saturday, 8/6/2022 at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City. Cappers picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Red Sox Royals free pick.
2022 MLB Handicapping
(53-54) Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals (42-64)
Date: Saturday, 8/6/2022
Time: 7:10 PM ET
Venue: Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City
Projected Pitchers: Nathan Eovaldi (BOS) vs. Daniel Lynch (KC)
MLB Moneyline Odds: Red Sox -140 / Royals +120
MLB RunLine Betting Odds: Red Sox -1.5 / Royals +1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: 9.5
The Red Sox and Royals will play game 3 of the series Saturday night in Kansas City. The Red Sox will send Nathan Eovaldi to the mound and the Royals will send Daniel Lynch.
The Red Sox open as -140 favorites in this match-up. The over/under is set 9.5.
Boston Red Sox
Nathan Eovaldi had a rough go of it in the month of July. He was 0-2 in 3 starts with a 11.08 ERA; yikes. At least that stat doesn’t count his last start since it was in August. He pitched 6.1 innings giving up 0 runs and striking out 6 in Houston vs the Astros. He will look to build on that successful start against one of the AL powerhouse teams.
On the season, Eovaldi is 5-3 with a 4.11 ERA in 16 starts. Eovaldi has been getting hit pretty hard on the season. He ranks in the 7th percentile on hard hit percent and 7th percentile in barrel percent. The area he has been great is limiting walks; he ranks in the 96th percentile in that advanced metric.
The Sox are 6th in batting average against lefties hitting .262.; and also 6th in OBP against lefties. With that being said, they should be able to handle Daniel Lynch, who has been pretty poor on the season. The player to target would be JD Martinez who has hit lefties well. He has 14 extra base hits in 76 at-bats. The target here would be over 1.5 total bases.
Kansas City Royals
Daniel Lynch was 0-0 with a 5.87 ERA in 2 starts during the month. He only pitched a total of 7.1 innings for the whole month. Then his first start in August, he picked up the win pitching 5.1 innings and giving up 0 earned runs.
On the season, Lynch is 4-7 with a 4.70 ERA in 16 starts. The issue he has had continued from last season is that he gets hit pretty hard. He ranks in the 5th percentile in average exit velocity and 7th in hard hit percent. He will have to be careful with the middle portion of the Red Sox lineup because those guys can straight mash.
The Royals rank 16th in batting average, hitting .243 vs righties this season. In OBP, they rank 21st. I don’t see any clear people to target if you are looking for props. The name I would throw out would be Hunter Dozier, who is 3-6 against Eovaldi with a double. I wouldn’t do anything fancy; just look at over .5 total bases or over .5 hits.
MLB Baseball Betting Trends:
- Red Sox are 4-0 in Eovaldis last 4 road starts.
- Red Sox are 0-5 in their last 5 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
- Under is 7-1-1 in Eovaldis last 9 road starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
- Red Sox are 7-1 in their last 8 games with the total set at 11.0 or higher.
- Under is 4-0 in Royals last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Royals last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Red Sox are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
- Red Sox are 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Kansas City.
Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Prediction:
I’m going to go with the better pitcher in the this match-up. I will take the Red Sox -.5 F5. I don’t fully trust their pen so let’s just hope they get the lead early in this one.
4* Free MLB Pick: Red Sox F5 -.5
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