Free MLB Pick: Red Sox vs. Royals Odds
Looking for Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Red Sox taking on the Royals on Monday, August 5th, 2024 at Kauffman Stadium, in Kansas City, MO. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Red Sox Royals free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – Boston Red Sox vs Kansas City Royals
(59-51) Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals (63-50)
Date: Monday, August 5th
Time: 8:10 ET
Venue: Kauffman Stadium Kansas City, MO
Projected Starting Pitchers: James Paxton vs. Brady Singer
MLB Moneyline Odds: Red Sox +123 | Royals -145 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Red Sox +1.5 | Royals -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 9.5
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Red Sox vs. Royals Gameday
It’s going to be a hot one in Kansas City tonight, with temperatures expected to reach 100 degrees at Kauffman Stadium. First pitch is set for 8:10 PM ET, and you can catch the action on BSKC. The pitching matchup features James Paxton for the Red Sox against Brady Singer for the Royals.
Oddsmakers have this one as a close matchup, with the Royals coming in as slight favorites at -145 on the money line. The over/under line is set at 9.5 runs, with the over carrying a payout of -117 compared to -105 for the under.
Boston Red Sox
Boston is 59-51 overall and trails the Orioles and Yankees in the AL East. Currently, they are 6.5 games behind the Orioles for the division lead. The Red Sox are 14-13 against other AL East teams this year. They will be on the road today, where they are 32-23 compared to 27-28 at home.
As the road underdog, the Red Sox have gone 18-18 this year, and they are 27-29 overall as the underdog. Boston has been good as the favorite, putting together a mark of 32-22. Their overall series record is 18-13-5, and they have won two straight series.
Heading into their last game vs. the Rangers, the Red Sox closed out the series with a 7-2 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at +106 on the money line. It was a big 3rd inning that really turned things in their favor, and the Rangers could only score two runs, both of which came in the 1st.
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Wilyer Abreu went 2/4 with two homers and four RBIs. The Red Sox really broke things open with a three-run 6th inning, and Abreu’s second homer of the game was part of that. Boston’s starter, Nick Pivetta, picked up the win, going 4 2/3 innings and giving up just two runs on two hits. He also issued only one walk and struck out five Rangers batters.
Red Sox Gambling
Today’s over/under line of 9.5 runs for the Boston Red Sox and Kansas City Royals game is slightly higher than the combined run average of 9.6 runs per game for the two teams. The Red Sox have played to the over in 56 of their 104 games this season, and their games have averaged 9 runs per game. Boston has gone over the total in seven of their 15 games with an over/under line of 9.5 runs, and their games have gone over the total in three straight contests.
When betting the run line on the Red Sox, it’s been a better proposition to take them on the road this season. Boston is 31-24 vs. the run line away from Fenway Park, compared to 21-34 at home. The Red Sox have been a better bet as the underdog, going 32-24 vs. the run line in those games, compared to 20-34 as the favorite. Their average run margin in all games is +0.3, but it jumps to +0.9 on the road.
Red Sox Stats
The Boston Red Sox have been one of the top offensive teams in the league this season, ranking 4th in runs per game with an average of 4.9. Their batting average of .262 is 2nd in the league, and their slugging percentage of .444 is 2nd as well. They have been especially strong on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per game away from home. Rafael Devers has been on fire recently, hitting .419 over his last 7 games with 2 home runs and 6 RBIs. He is currently on an 11-game hitting streak, and Jarren Duran has a 6-game hitting streak.
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Kansas City Royals
Kansas City is 63-50 overall, putting them 3rd in the AL Central. They are five games behind the Guardians for the division lead. The Royals have been good against other teams in the AL Central, putting together a record of 25-11. They closed the gap on the Guardians by taking their series vs. the Tigers 3-1.
At home, the Royals are 36-22 this year compared to a 27-28 mark on the road. As the favorite, the Royals are 36-20 and 27-30 as the underdog. Kansas City has won two straight series, and their overall series record is 17-18-1 this year.
To close out their series vs. the Tigers, the Royals picked up a 3-2 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at -137 on the money line. It was a big 9th inning for the Royals, as they scored three runs in the top of the 9th to pick up the win. Kansas City’s offense was carried by MJ Melendez, who went 1/1 with a homer and three RBIs.
Chris Stratton picked up the win out of the bullpen, and Hunter Harvey got the save. The Royals also got a good start from Michael Wacha, who went six innings and gave up just two runs on seven hits. He only had two strikeouts in the outing and got the win.
Royals Gambling
The Kansas City Royals are playing host to the Boston Red Sox today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 9.5 runs. The Royals have played to an average combined run total of 8.6 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 48-62. When the over/under line has been set at 9.5 runs this season, their record is 5-5. This is just the 5th time this season that the over/under line has been set at 9.5 runs for a Royals game, accounting for only 4.4% of their games this season.
When the Royals win, they do so by an average of 3.9 runs per game. When they lose, they lose by an average of 3.1 runs per game. Kansas City is 64-49 against the run line this season, including a 34-24 mark at home. They are 30-25 against the run line on the road. As the favorite, they are 29-27 against the run line, while as the underdog, they are 35-22.
Royals Stats
The Kansas City Royals have been solid offensively this season, averaging 4.7 runs per game, which ranks 9th in the league. Their offense has been particularly strong at home, where they average 5.2 runs per game, good for 3rd in the league. The Royals have been tough to strike out, leading the league in fewest strikeouts per game with 6. However, their walk rate is 25th in the league. Bobby Witt Jr. has been the standout hitter for the Royals this season, leading the team in batting average (.344), on-base percentage (.390), home runs (20), and RBI (79). Vinnie Pasquantino has also been hot at the plate, with a .326 average over his last 10 games and a current 8-game hitting streak.
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Red Sox Royals Pitching
James Paxton will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing as he gets the start for the Red Sox today. The left-hander gave up three earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of work in his last outing, coming out with the loss. Before that, he had picked up the win in two straight starts. Paxton’s ERA for the season is 4.52, along with a record of 8-3. Out of his 19 starts, he has turned in six quality starts and is averaging 6.63 strikeouts per nine innings. For the year, he has allowed 12 homers and is averaging 4.71 walks per nine innings.
Brady Singer will be looking to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win vs. the White Sox. In that start, he went seven innings and gave up three earned runs. Looking back further, Singer has been pitching well, as he has picked up the win in three straight outings. The right-hander has a record of 8-6 and an ERA of 2.88. Out of his 22 starts, Singer has turned in 10 quality starts and is averaging 8.28 strikeouts per nine innings. For the season, he has allowed 13 homers and is averaging just 2.59 walks per nine innings.
Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Red Sox head into the game having gone 4-6 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Red Sox they are 5-5 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Royals are 7-3 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Royals have a 6-4 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Red Sox are 2-1 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 2-1 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Royals have a record of 2-1 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 0-3 in their last three games.
Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
Our prediction for today’s Red Sox vs. Royals game is that the Royals will pick up a 7-4 win at home. Given that they are at -145 on the money line, this is the best way to play this one.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have James Paxton finishing with six strikeouts, which is good for fifth among starters today. As for Brady Singer, he is projected to finish with five K’s, which has him down in 12th.
Today’s MLB Free Pick
MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
Diggin Deep for the win and the celly. pic.twitter.com/DZCaeuwjhe
— Kansas City Royals (@Royals) August 4, 2024
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