Free MLB Pick: Orioles vs. Yankees Odds
Looking for Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Orioles taking on the Yankees on 9/28 at Yankee Stadium, in New York. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Orioles Yankees free pick.
2025 MLB Handicapping – Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees
(75-86) Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees (93-68)
Date: Sep 28, 2025
Time: 3:05 PM ET
Venue: Yankee Stadium in New York, NY
Projected Starting Pitchers: Kyle Bradish vs. Luis Gil
MLB Moneyline Odds: Orioles +159 | Yankees -195 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Orioles +1.5 | Yankees -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 8.5
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Orioles vs. Yankees Gameday
The Baltimore Orioles head into Yankee Stadium trying to stop a two-game slide against the division-leading New York Yankees. Baltimore’s season has been a grind — a 75-86 record with a 4-6 mark over their last ten pretty much sums it up. They’re looking more like a team counting down the days than one charging into October.
On the other hand, the Yankees look like a machine right now. Winners of seven straight and 93-68 overall, they’ve separated themselves in the AL East. A 9-1 surge in their last ten games shows just how sharp they’ve been heading into the season’s final stretch.
The Bronx has been kind to them too. At 49-31 at home, they’ve handled business consistently in front of their fans. With mild weather expected, there’s nothing in the forecast that suggests offense will slow down.
Baltimore’s last matchup ended in a 6-1 loss, and interim manager Tony Mansolino is still searching for ways to get his club to respond.
Meanwhile, Aaron Boone just has to keep his roster focused and let his stars keep doing what they’ve been doing.
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Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees Odds & Last 5
Oddsmakers aren’t making this complicated. The Yankees are heavy favorites at -192 on the moneyline, while the Orioles check in at +158. Runline bettors see Baltimore +1.5 (-126) and New York -1.5 (+104).
Their last meeting on September 27th was all Yankees. Cam Schlittler was dominant, giving up just two hits over seven innings, while Tomoyuki Sugano served up four runs and three homers.
Recent form tells the story too. New York has stacked back-to-back games with three homers apiece, while Baltimore managed only three hits in the most recent contest.
If the Orioles want to turn the tide, they’ll need more than the occasional solo shot.
Yankees Stats
The Yankees’ offense is built for power and patience. Their .251 team average ranks 7th, but their .332 OBP and .455 slugging percentage lead the majors. They punish mistakes, and with 272 home runs, no one has gone deep more often. Add in a league-best 636 walks, and pitchers rarely get a breather.
Pitching hasn’t been perfect, but it’s been more than enough. A 3.92 ERA is middle of the pack, yet they hold opponents to a .229 average (2nd in MLB) and rank 4th in strikeouts with 1,434.
Those numbers keep their offense in position to win every night.
Throw in their current five-game win streak and the way Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton have been driving the lineup, and it’s no surprise they’re rolling.
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Orioles Stats
The Orioles sit middle-to-lower tier across most offensive categories. They’re hitting .235 (16th), with a .305 OBP (19th), and while their 189 home runs rank 12th, the consistency just isn’t there. They’ve hit 251 doubles (13th), but it hasn’t been enough to cover other holes.
Pitching has been a bigger problem. A 4.62 ERA (26th) and 215 homers allowed (23rd) show how vulnerable they’ve been. Opponents are hitting .259 off them, which doesn’t exactly inspire confidence.
They’ve dropped four of their last five, including yesterday’s quiet showing. Coby Mayo provided the lone highlight with a solo homer, while Gunnar Henderson and Jackson Holliday continue to be the bright spots for the future.
Still, those two can’t carry an entire lineup against a team like New York.
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Orioles vs. Yankees Pitching Matchup
Kyle Bradish gives Baltimore its best chance. His 2.25 ERA and 1.00 WHIP show he’s capable of shutting teams down, even if his 1-1 record doesn’t reflect it. His strikeout stuff is real, and the Orioles will hope he can keep New York’s big bats quiet early.
For the Yankees, Luis Gil gets the nod. With a 3.29 ERA and 1.44 WHIP, he’s been more hittable, but a 4-1 record proves he usually gets enough support. He’s also got strikeout ability, which helps him escape jams.
Ultimately, Bradish has the cleaner numbers, but Gil’s job is made easier by the lineup behind him.
That dynamic could decide how long Baltimore can keep this one competitive.
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees Baseball Betting Trends
- The Yankees have won their last five games straight-up.
- Also, the Yankees have scored at least five runs in each of their last five games.
- The Orioles have lost four of their last five games straight-up.
- The Orioles’ games have gone over the total in three of their last five outings.
- Additionally, the Yankees’ games have gone over the total in four of their last five contests.
- The Orioles have allowed at least six runs in three of their last five games.
Orioles vs Yankees Prediction: Over 8.5
The Yankees are scorching right now, riding a five-game winning streak while plating at least five runs in each outing. Because of that consistency, their lineup looks primed to keep producing against a shaky Baltimore staff.
Meanwhile, the Orioles have had trouble keeping opponents in check, giving up six or more runs in three of their last five games.
That combination of New York’s red-hot bats and Baltimore’s defensive lapses points directly to another high-scoring affair.
Furthermore, recent trends back the over, as Orioles games have leaned that way thanks to their struggles on the mound. With the Yankees swinging freely, it’s tough to envision this one turning into a pitchers’ duel.
All in all, the over 8.5 is the recommended play. Both clubs are showing patterns that drive totals higher, and Yankee Stadium should provide the perfect stage for plenty of offense.
Today’s MLB Free Pick
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MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
Captain America. pic.twitter.com/I8HjpstCzU
— New York Yankees (@Yankees) September 28, 2025
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