Free MLB Pick: Orioles vs. Mets Odds
Looking for Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Orioles taking on the Mets on Monday, August 19th, 2024 at Citi Field, in New York, NY. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Orioles Mets free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – Baltimore Orioles vs New York Mets
(73-52) Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets (64-60)
Date: Monday, August 19th
Time: 7:10 ET
Venue: Citi Field New York, NY
Projected Starting Pitchers: Trevor Rogers vs. David Peterson
MLB Moneyline Odds: Orioles +108 | Mets -128 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Orioles +1.5 | Mets -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 8.5
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Orioles vs. Mets Gameday
It’s a beautiful night for baseball in New York, with the temperature at first pitch expected to be 87 degrees under broken clouds. The Baltimore Orioles are in town to take on the New York Mets in an interleague matchup at Citi Field.
First pitch is set for 7:10 PM ET, and you can catch the action on MLBN. David Peterson will be on the mound for the Mets, while the Orioles will counter with Trevor Rogers. The Mets come into this one as the slight favorites, with a money line payout of -128 compared to +108 for the Orioles.
Baltimore Orioles
Baltimore heads into today’s road matchup vs. the Mets with an overall record of 73-52, which has them tied with the Yankees for the AL East lead. The Orioles are 28-15 in division play and split their previous series vs. the Red Sox. So far, they have been good both at home, going 37-28, and on the road, where they are 36-24.
The Orioles have an overall series record of 23-11-6 this season, and they are 61-41 when favored. As for how they have done as the underdog, Baltimore has gone 12-11 and have lost four straight as the underdog. Heading into today’s game, the Orioles have an even 5-5 record over their last 10 games.
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Baltimore closed out their series vs. the Red Sox with a 4-2 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at -125 on the money line. It was a big 2nd inning for the Orioles, as they scored three runs in the inning. The Red Sox could only score two runs, both of which came in the 8th.
Albert Suarez put together a good start for the Orioles, going six innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just two walks and struck out six Red Sox batters. Gunnar Henderson was hot at the plate, going 1/4 with a homer and two RBIs.
Orioles Gambling
The Orioles have been involved in high-scoring games this season, with a combined run average of 9.4 runs per game. Their over/under record is 68-47, and when the line is set at 8.5 runs, they have gone over in 20 of 35 games. Overall, 31.2% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs or higher. Their under streak is at 2 games.
The Orioles have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 68-57 overall. They have been particularly good on the road, going 36-24 against the run line. They have covered the run line in three straight road games and have an average run margin of +1.0 runs per game away from home.
Orioles Stats
The Baltimore Orioles have been one of the top offensive teams in the league this season. They are 3rd in runs per game overall and 2nd in runs per game on the road. The Orioles lead the league in total home runs with 192, and their slugging percentage of .451 is also the best in the MLB. Their OPS of .770 is 2nd best in the league. Gunnar Henderson has been one of the Orioles’ top hitters this season, with a .288 batting average and 33 home runs. He has been hot lately, hitting .316 with 4 home runs and 8 RBI over his last 5 games.
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New York Mets
The Mets host the Orioles today with an overall record of 64-60, which has them 3rd in the NL East. Currently, they are nine games behind the Phillies for the division lead and trail the Braves by two games for the 2nd spot in the division. New York’s record in the NL East is 22-17 this season.
New York took two of three in their most recent series vs. the Marlins. Over the last 10 games, the Mets are 4-6 and have gone 33-32 at home. On the road, the Mets are 31-28 this season. So far, they have been the favorite in 75 of their games, and they have a record of 41-34 in those games. As the underdog, the Mets are 23-26 this season.
The Mets will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Marlins with a 3-2 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 8th inning before the Marlins scored two runs in the top of the 8th. New York was the -195 favorite at home going into the game.
Paul Blackburn put together a good start for the Mets, going six innings and giving up just one earned run while striking out four. However, the Mets couldn’t close things out, and Reed Garrett took the loss out of the bullpen. The Mets also wasted a big game from Brandon Nimmo, who homered in the 1st inning, going 1/3.
Mets Gambling
When the Mets play at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, and their games have averaged a combined 9.3 runs per game this season. Overall, the over/under record for Mets games this season is 63-57, and when the line is set at 8.5 runs, the record is 23-15. In 31 of their games this season, the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, which accounts for 25.0% of their games. Their current under streak is at 2 games.
When the Mets win, they win big, as their average run margin in victories is 3.7. However, they have been outscored by an average of 3.5 runs in their losses. Overall, their average run margin is +0.2, and their run line record is 59-65. They have been a better bet on the run line on the road, where they are 31-28, compared to 28-37 at home.
Mets Stats
The New York Mets have been solid offensively this season, averaging 4.8 runs per game, which ranks 10th in the league. Their offense has been slightly better on the road, averaging 5.0 runs per game, which is 6th in the league. The team’s home run total of 156 is 5th in the league, and their .250 batting average is 8th. Francisco Lindor has been a key contributor, hitting .264 on the season with 24 home runs and 72 RBIs. Pete Alonso has also been productive, hitting .243 with 27 home runs and 69 RBIs. Lindor has been hot at the plate recently, hitting .382 over his last 8 games. The Mets have a few players on hitting streaks, with Lindor leading the way with a 12-game streak.
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Orioles Mets Pitching
Left-hander Trevor Rogers gets the start for the Orioles today as he faces the Mets on the road. This year, he has made 24 starts and has a record of 2-11. Rogers’ ERA is 4.89, and he has a WHIP of 1.57. In his 24 appearances, he has turned in just three quality starts and is averaging 6.92 strikeouts per nine innings. Rogers has struggled with the long ball, as he has allowed 13 homers and is coming off a start in which he gave up two homers and five earned runs in five innings of work. He took the loss in that outing.
David Peterson gets the start for the Mets today vs. the Orioles and comes into the game with a record of 7-1 and an ERA of 3.04. So far this season, he has made 13 starts, and opponents are batting .238 off the left-hander. Peterson has made six quality starts this year and is averaging 7.1 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he went 6 1/3 innings, giving up one earned run and picking up the win. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight starts. Peterson has been much better on the road, coming in with a record of 4-0 and an ERA of 3.01 compared to 3-1 with a 3.35 ERA at home.
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Orioles head into the game having gone 5-5 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Orioles they are 5-5 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Mets are 4-6 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Mets have a 4-6 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Orioles are 2-1 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 0-3 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Mets have a record of 2-1 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 0-3 in their last three games.
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
Our prediction for this Orioles vs. Mets matchup is to take the Mets on the money line at -128. We have the Mets winning this one by a score of 6-3. With the over/under sitting at 8.5 runs, there isn’t a lot of room for error, and we recommend sticking with the Mets to pick up the win.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have David Peterson finishing with six strikeouts compared to Trevor Rogers with seven. However, Rogers is projected to go deeper into the game, finishing with seven innings compared to Peterson with six.
Today’s MLB Free Pick
MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
The @Mets and @Mariners will be heading to Williamsport for next year’s #LittleLeagueClassic!
Mark your calendars for August 17, 2025.
(MLB x @NewYorkLife) pic.twitter.com/5LgDHsTrUX
— MLB (@MLB) August 19, 2024
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