Free MLB Pick: Orioles vs. Twins Odds
Looking for Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Orioles taking on the Twins on Friday, September 27th, 2024 at Target Field, in Minnesota, MN. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Orioles Twins free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – Baltimore Orioles vs Minnesota Twins
(88-71) Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins (82-77)
Date: Friday, September 27th
Time: 8:10 ET
Venue: Target Field Minneapolis, MN
Projected Starting Pitchers: Cade Povich vs. Pablo López
MLB Moneyline Odds: Orioles +144 | Twins -173 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Orioles +1.5 | Twins -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 8.5
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Orioles vs. Twins Gameday
At 8:10 PM ET in Minneapolis, MN, the Baltimore Orioles are taking on the Minnesota Twins at Target Field. The weather forecast is calling for clear skies and a temperature of 84 degrees. This AL matchup is being televised on BSN.
On the mound for the Orioles is Cade Povich, while the Twins are countering with Pablo López. The Twins are the favorites in this one, with a money line payout of -173 compared to the Orioles’ +144. The over/under line is currently set at 8.5 runs.
Baltimore Orioles
The Orioles are 88-71 overall, putting them five games behind the Yankees in the AL East. Today, they are on the road to take on the Twins, and they are 32-20 against other teams in the AL East. Baltimore won two of three games in their series vs. the Yankees.
So far, the Orioles have been good, regardless of being the favorite or the underdog, as they are 70-52 as the favorite and 18-19 as the underdog. They have been really good on the road this year, going 44-34 compared to 44-37 at home. The Orioles’ overall series record is 26-18-7, and they have dropped three straight series at home.
Baltimore closed out their series vs. the Yankees with a 10-1 loss. Heading into the game, the Orioles were at +141 on the money line. Things started off well for the Orioles, as they got on the board with a run in the 2nd inning but gave up the lead right away as the Yankees scored six times in the bottom of the second.
Corbin Burnes took the loss for the Orioles, going only five innings and giving up six earned runs on eight hits. He also issued three walks and hit a batter. The Orioles’ offense scored their only run in the 9th inning and finished with seven hits.
Orioles Gambling
The Orioles are on the road against the Twins today, and the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. Baltimore’s games have averaged 9.2 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 85-63. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 26-22. Overall, 29.6% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, and their current over streak is at 2 games.
When the Orioles are on the road, they have been a good bet against the run line, going 46-32. Their average run differential on the road is +0.6 runs per game, and their overall run line record is 84-75. They have been a better bet against the run line as the underdog, going 24-13.
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Orioles Stats
The Baltimore Orioles have been a solid offensive team this season, averaging 4.8 runs per game, which ranks 5th in the league. Their home runs total of 228 is 2nd in the league, showing their power at the plate. Their batting average of .248 is 9th in the league, and their OPS of .747 is 4th. Gunnar Henderson has been one of their top hitters this season, leading the team in batting average at .284 and RBI with 91. Anthony Santander has also been a key contributor, hitting 44 home runs and driving in 101 runs this season. In terms of recent performances, Colton Cowser and Gunnar Henderson have been swinging the bat well over the last 6 games. James McCann, Ryan Mountcastle, and Ramón Urías are all currently on 4-game hitting streaks.
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Minnesota Twins
Minnesota is 82-77 overall and trails the Guardians by 10 games in the AL Central. The Twins are 29-23 against other teams in the division. They are at home today to take on the Orioles, and they are 43-35 at home this year.
So far, the Twins have gone 39-42 on the road. As the favorite, the Twins are 65-47 this year and 36-28 as the favorite at home. Minnesota’s overall series record is 26-21-4, but they have dropped four straight series.
The Twins will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Marlins with an 8-6 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 10th inning before the Marlins scored three runs in the top of the 11th. Minnesota was the -254 favorite at home going into the game.
David Festa got the start for the Twins and took the loss. He only lasted 4 1/3 innings, giving up three earned runs on seven hits. The Twins also wasted a big game from Carlos Correa, who went 3/5 with a homer and a run scored.
Twins Gambling
The Twins have been a solid over team this season, with an over/under record of 81-72. Their games have averaged 9.1 runs per game, and they have gone over the total in 26 of 48 games when the line has been set at 8.5 runs. The over has hit in two straight games for Minnesota.
Minnesota has been a solid run line bet this season, going 73-86 overall. They have been slightly better at home, going 33-45, compared to 40-41 on the road. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 25-22, compared to 48-64 as the favorite. Their average run margin this season is +0.1 runs per game.
Twins Stats
The Minnesota Twins have been a solid offensive team this season, averaging 4.6 runs per game, which ranks 10th in the league. Their home offense has been particularly strong, as they are averaging 4.9 runs per game at home, which is 5th in the league. Their top hitters for the season include Carlos Santana, who leads the team in home runs and RBI, and Willi Castro, who has been a consistent contributor. Recently, Byron Buxton has been hot at the plate, hitting .273 over his last 7 games. Carlos Correa is also on a 3-game hitting streak.
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Orioles Twins Pitching
Cade Povich is looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Tigers, as he got the start and went five innings, giving up two earned runs, seven hits, and three walks. He finished with a no-decision in the outing. In his 15 starts, Povich has a record of 2-9 and an ERA of 5.59. Looking at his home/away splits, Povich has gone 0-5 on the road with an 18.14 ERA. At home, his ERA is 3.9, and he is 2-4. Povich’s WHIP for the season is 1.50, and he has issued 4.01 walks per nine innings compared to 8.15 strikeouts.
Pablo López will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Red Sox, as he gave up seven earned runs in four innings of work. In that outing, he gave up three home runs. Before that start, he had pitched well, going 7 innings and giving up just one earned run vs. the Angels. López has a record of 15-9 and an ERA of 4.11. For the season, he has made 31 starts, and opponents are batting .248 vs. the right-hander. López has a total of 18 quality starts this year and is averaging 9.52 strikeouts per nine innings.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Orioles head into the game having gone 5-5 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Orioles they are 5-5 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Twins are 2-8 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Twins have a 3-7 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Orioles are 1-2 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 2-1 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Twins have a record of 1-2 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 1-2 in their last three games.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
Our prediction for the Twins vs. Orioles game is to take the Twins to win straight up. However, with the money line payout for the Twins at -173, we actually recommend taking the over, with the line sitting at 8.5 runs.
Our predicted final score is 6-4 in favor of the Twins. Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Pablo Lopez finishing with six strikeouts compared to Cade Povich with six as well.
Offensively, we have the Twins finishing with eight hits compared to the Orioles with eight. However, the Twins are projected to hit more home runs, with the Orioles finishing with just one compared to the Twins with two.
Twins 7 Projected Strikeouts Today: 6th fewest in the league today
Today’s MLB Free Pick
MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
THE KID pic.twitter.com/0Fkg5CtPyg
— Minnesota Twins (@Twins) September 27, 2024
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