Free MLB Pick: Orioles vs. Red Sox Odds
Looking for Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Orioles taking on the Red Sox on Monday, September 9th, 2024 at Fenway Park, in Boston, MA. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Orioles Red Sox free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox
(82-62) Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox (72-71)
Date: Monday, September 9th
Time: 7:10 ET
Venue: Fenway Park Boston, MA
Projected Starting Pitchers: Cade Povich vs. Brayan Bello
MLB Moneyline Odds: Orioles +101 | Red Sox -120 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Orioles -1.5 | Red Sox +1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 9.5
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Orioles vs. Red Sox Gameday
At 7:10 PM ET in Boston, the Orioles and Red Sox are set to face off in an AL East matchup. The Orioles are slight underdogs on the road, with a moneyline payout of +101 compared to the Red Sox at -120.
Looking at the pitching matchup, Cade Povich will take the mound for the Orioles, while Brayan Bello gets the start for the Red Sox. The over/under line is set at 9.5 runs, with the over paying out at -109 compared to the under at -111.
Baltimore Orioles
Heading into today’s road matchup vs. the Red Sox, the Orioles are 82-62 overall, putting them a half-game behind the Yankees for the AL East lead. This season, they have gone 29-17 in AL East matchups. The Orioles dropped the final two games of their series vs. the Rays and are 5-5 across their last 10 games.
As the favorite, the Orioles are 67-47 this season and 15-15 as the underdog. They have an overall record of 42-33 at home compared to 40-29 on the road. So far, they have been good as the road favorite, going 29-17 this season. The Orioles’ overall series record is 24-14-7, and they are 2nd in the AL East standings.
The Orioles will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Rays with a 2-0 loss. Baltimore was the heavy favorite at -218 going into the game but couldn’t get anything going offensively, as they only had five hits and didn’t score a run. The Orioles also wasted a good start from Corbin Burnes, who took the loss, going six innings and giving up just two runs on seven hits. He only had three strikeouts in the outing and took the loss.
Baltimore’s offense was especially quiet in the late innings, as they didn’t score a run after the 4th inning. Gunnar Henderson was hot at the plate, going 3/4 with a run scored, but the Orioles couldn’t get him home. Cedric Mullins was the only other Orioles hitter with more than one hit, going 2/4.
Orioles Gambling
The Baltimore Orioles are on the road today against the Boston Red Sox. The over/under line for the game is set at 9.5 runs. The Orioles have played in 133 games this season with over/under lines set below 9.5 runs, which accounts for 92.4% of their games. Their games have had an average combined run total of 9.2 runs per game this season. Their over/under record for the season is 77-56, and when the line is set at 9.5 runs, they have a record of 6-2.
When the Orioles are on the road, they have been a good bet against the run line, going 42-27. They have a run differential of +0.9 runs per game on the road, which is better than their +0.4 run differential at home. They have been favored in 114 games and have gone 57-57 against the run line in those contests. They have been an underdog in 30 games and have gone 21-9 against the run line in those contests.
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Orioles Stats
The Baltimore Orioles have been a solid offensive team this season, averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 4th in the league. They have been even better on the road, scoring 5.2 runs per game, which is 3rd in the league. The Orioles have hit 211 home runs this season, which is 2nd in the league. Their slugging percentage of .439 is 1st in the league, and their ISO of .189 is also the best in the league. Gunnar Henderson has been one of the Orioles’ top hitters this season, with a .282 batting average and 36 home runs. In his last 5 games, he has hit .450 with 2 home runs. Anthony Santander has also been a key contributor, hitting .239 with 39 home runs and 91 RBI this season.
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Boston Red Sox
Boston is 72-71 overall and is 10 games behind the Yankees in the AL East. Currently, they are in 3rd place in the division and have gone just 18-18 in divisional games this year. The Red Sox will host the Orioles today, and they trail the Orioles by 0.5 games in the AL East.
At home, the Red Sox are 33-39 compared to 39-32 on the road. As the underdog, Boston has dropped five straight games, and they are 33-39 as the underdog overall. When favored, the Red Sox are 39-32 this year. Their overall series record is 22-17-6, and they won their most recent series vs. the White Sox.
Boston closed out their series vs. the White Sox with a 7-2 loss. Heading into the game, the Red Sox were the heavy favorite at -282. Things started off well for the Red Sox, as they got on the board with a run in the 2nd inning but gave up the lead right away as the White Sox scored three times in the top of the 3rd.
Richard Fitts got the start for the Red Sox and took the loss. He only lasted 5 2/3 innings, giving up six hits and issuing three walks. Connor Wong was hot at the plate, going 3/4 with a homer and scoring Boston’s other run. The Red Sox’s offense also wasted a big game from Zack Kelly, who went 3/4 with a double.
Red Sox Gambling
The Red Sox have played 16 games this season with an over/under line of 9.5 runs, and their record in those games is 12-14. Their games have averaged 9.5 runs per game this season, and their overall over/under record is 73-63. The average over/under line in their games this season is 9 runs, and they have played 101 games with an over/under line lower than 9.5 runs.
When the Red Sox win, they win big, with an average run margin of +3.8. But when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -4.0. That’s why they’re just 66-77 against the run line this season. They’ve been a better bet on the road, going 40-31 against the run line, compared to 26-46 at home. They’ve also been a better bet as an underdog, going 40-32 against the run line, compared to 26-45 as a favorite.
Red Sox Stats
The Boston Red Sox have been a solid offensive team this season, ranking 10th in runs per game with 4.7. They have been particularly strong on the road, averaging 5.0 runs per game, which is 6th in the league. The Red Sox have been hitting the ball well, with a team batting average of .256, which is 5th in the league. Their top hitters this season have been Jarren Duran, Rafael Devers, and Tyler O’Neill. Devers leads the team in home runs with 28 and RBI with 81. In their last 9 games, Duran has hit .278 with 1 home run and 4 RBI, while O’Neill has hit .269 with 3 home runs and 4 RBI in his last 8 games.
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Orioles Red Sox Pitching
Cade Povich gets the start for the Orioles today as he faces the Red Sox on the road. This year, he has made 12 starts and has a record of 2-7 with an ERA of 5.76. Povich’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.60. In his last outing, he pitched 7 1/3 innings, picking up the win and not allowing a run. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in four straight outings. Povich has a 24.39 ERA on the road compared to 3.94 at home.
Right-hander Brayan Bello gets the start for the Red Sox today as he faces the Orioles at home. Bello has made 26 starts this season and has a record of 12-7 with a 4.75 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Bello has a WHIP of 1.38 and has issued 3.36 walks per nine innings compared to 8.56 strikeouts. Coming into this game, he has a batting average allowed of .255. In his last outing, Bello took the loss, giving up four earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. One of those wins came against the Orioles, where he allowed one earned run in six innings of work.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Orioles head into the game having gone 4-6 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Orioles they are 6-4 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Red Sox are 3-7 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Red Sox have a 4-6 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Orioles are 1-2 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 1-2 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Red Sox have a record of 2-1 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 1-2 in their last three games.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
Our prediction for this Orioles vs. Red Sox matchup is to take the Orioles on the money line, with the payout being +101. We actually have the Orioles winning this one by a score of 4-2.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Brayan Bello finishing with more strikeouts than Cade Povich, but we have Povich going 5 innings and Bello going 6.
As for the Orioles’ lineup, they are actually our top projected team in terms of total hits, and they are also projected to hit the most home runs in the league today.
Today’s MLB Free Pick
MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
Wilyer blasts one! 🚀 pic.twitter.com/wHpWdm7r9s
— Red Sox (@RedSox) September 8, 2024
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