Free MLB Pick: Orioles vs. Red Sox Odds
Looking for Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Orioles taking on the Red Sox on Sunday, September 19th, 2021 at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Orioles Red Sox free pick.
2021 MLB Handicapping
(47-101) Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox (85-65)
Date: Sunday, September 19th, 2021
Time: 1:10 PM ET
Venue: Fenway Park, Boston, MA.
Projected Pitchers: Wells (Bal), Eovaldi (BOS)
MLB Moneyline Odds: Orioles +270 | Red Sox -333
MLB RunLine Betting Odds: Orioles -170 | Red Sox +150
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: 10.0 (Over -115)
For roughly all of August and September, more than a quarter of a full season, Baltimore has been winning just one out of every four games it plays.
That’s about what it has done against Boston this season (4-11) after losing the first two games of this weekend’s series.
The Orioles have one last chance to avoid a sweep at Fenway Park before they host the Red Sox for one last series next weekend.
Alexander Wells, a 24-year-old southpaw from Australia, made his big league debut back in June of this year, mopping up a loss in relief.
Since, he has started five games and gone 0-3. He pitched pretty well in the first of those starts, getting two outs in the sixth inning against Tampa Bay and allowing just five hits and three earned runs.
That was one of his no-decisions. He’s been hit hard twice by New York. This is the first time he will face Boston.
Boston Red Sox
The Red Sox’ win on Saturday kept them a game ahead of Toronto, which actually jumped ahead of New York into the final playoff spot in the American League.
Boston has the same number of losses as Toronto but two extra wins. It leads New York by 1.5 games (two wins and a loss).
Compared to the ride Sox fans have been on in September, they are breathing easy right now. The Red Sox have an 85 percent chance to reach the postseason, according to Baseball-Reference.
Four of their final twelve games, including this one, are against the Orioles, which helps. Three games against the Yankees loom, however.
But New York and Toronto also play three against each other. That advantage alone should be enough to get Boston into at least one of the two wild card spots.
Chis Sale, who won Friday’s opening game of the series, has looked good since coming back from his long rehab but so too has Nathan Eovaldi, who made his first All-Star team this season.
Nate has only won 10 games but look closer and you’ll see he has pitched excellently in each of his last six starts. His record in that stretch? 0-1.
His strikeout-to-walk numbers are some of the best in baseball and his 135 ERA+ comes over a much larger body of work than Sale’s.
If the Red Sox wind up in that wild card elimination game, Alex Cora will have a decision to make.
For now, Eovaldi gets the start Sunday. He hasn’t faced Baltimore since Opening Day, when he went 5.1 innings, gave up one run, and lost.
MLB Baseball Betting Trends:
- Orioles are 22-54 in their last 76 games after losing the first 2 games of a series.
- Orioles are 54-135 in their last 189 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Orioles are 30-80 in their last 110 games as an underdog.
- Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Head to Head: Orioles are 0-5 in the last 5 meetings in Boston.
Free Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Prediction:
The Red Sox can’t seem to get Eovaldi any run support but the offense has looked good over the weekend and it’s still getting back up to speed after missing all those players who tested positive for covid.
So the unlikely happens on Sunday and Boston spoils Eovaldi with a crooked number early. He coasts to victory and Boston easily covers the runline, on which it is a juicy +150 payout.
4* Free MLB Betting Pick: Red Sox Runline (+150)
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