Free MLB Pick: Orioles vs. Red Sox Odds
Looking for Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Orioles taking on the Red Sox on Wednesday, September 11th, 2024 at Fenway Park, in Boston, MA. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Orioles Red Sox free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox
(83-63) Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox (73-72)
Date: Wednesday, September 11th
Time: 7:10 ET
Venue: Fenway Park Boston, MA
Projected Starting Pitchers: Dean Kremer vs. Nick Pivetta
MLB Moneyline Odds: Orioles +104 | Red Sox -124 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Orioles +1.5 | Red Sox -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 9
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Orioles vs. Red Sox Gameday
At 7:10 PM ET in Boston, the Orioles and Red Sox are set to face off in an AL East matchup. The weather forecast is calling for 78 degrees with a few clouds overhead at Fenway Park.
Dean Kremer will take the mound for the Orioles, while Nick Pivetta will get the start for the Red Sox. The oddsmakers have the Red Sox as the slight favorites in this one, with a money line payout of -124 compared to the Orioles’ +104.
About Last Night…
Baltimore picked up a 5-3 road win over the Red Sox in the most recent game of this series. The Orioles had a two-run lead after the first inning and added three more runs in the 3rd. As for the Red Sox, they scored their first run in the 4th and added two more in the 8th.
Albert Suarez started for the Orioles and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with eight strikeouts but issued two walks. Kutter Crawford got the start for the Red Sox and took the loss, giving up three earned runs in 6 1/3 innings of work.
Cedric Mullins was the difference for the Orioles, as he homered twice, scored three times, and finished with three RBIs. Adley Rutschman also had a two-hit game for Baltimore. As for the Red Sox, Connor Wong went 2/4 with two RBIs.
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Baltimore is 83-63 overall and trail the Yankees by just a half-game for the AL East lead. The Orioles are 30-18 against other teams in the AL East. They are 5-5 over their last 10 games and are currently tied with the Red Sox in their series.
At home, the Orioles have gone 42-33 this year, and they have been good on the road, going 41-30. So far, they have been good as the favorite, going 67-47, and they are an even 16-16 as the underdog this year.
The Baltimore Orioles are on the road against the Boston Red Sox today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 9 runs. The Orioles have a combined run average of 9.2 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 78-57. When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, their record is 15-14-4. So far this season, 13 of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs, accounting for 8.9% of their games.
Orioles Gambling
The Orioles have been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 79-67 overall. They have been especially good on the road, where they are 43-28 against the run line. Their average run margin for the season is +0.6 runs per game, and they have been a better bet against the run line as the underdog, going 22-10.
Orioles Stats
The Baltimore Orioles have been a solid offensive team this season, ranking 4th in runs per game with 4.9. They have been particularly strong on the road, where they are averaging 5.1 runs per game, which is 3rd in the league. Their power has been evident all season, as they rank 2nd in total home runs with 214. Their slugging percentage of .438 is the best in the league, and their ISO of .188 is also tops in the league. Two of their top hitters this season have been Gunnar Henderson and Anthony Santander. Henderson is hitting .282 with 36 home runs and 85 RBI, while Santander has 40 home runs and 94 RBI. Henderson has been hot lately, hitting .400 over his last 6 games, and he is currently on a 3-game hitting streak.
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Boston is 73-72 overall, and they are 10.0 games behind the Yankees in the AL East. The Red Sox are 19-19 in divisional games this year. The Red Sox will host the Orioles today, and they are 34-40 at home this year.
The Red Sox have really struggled recently, going just 3-7 over their last 10 games. So far, they have been the favorite in 73 of their games, going 40-33 in those games. As the underdog, Boston is 33-39 this year. The Red Sox’ overall series record is 22-17-6, and they are tied in their current series vs. the Orioles.
The Boston Red Sox are playing at home against the Baltimore Orioles today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 9 runs. The combined run average for Red Sox games this season is 9.5 runs, and their over/under record is 74-64. The average over/under line for their games is 9 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 9 runs is 8-5-3. So far this season, 30.3% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs, with 58.6% of their games having lower lines.
Red Sox Gambling
The Red Sox have a run line record of 67-78 this season, with a run line record of 27-47 at home. Their average run margin for the season is 0.0, with a scoring margin of -0.5 at home and 0.6 on the road. As the favorite, they are 27-46 vs. the run line, while they are 40-32 as the underdog. Their average run margin in wins is 3.9, while it is -4.0 in losses.
Red Sox Stats
The Boston Red Sox have been a solid offensive team this season, ranking 8th in runs per game with 4.8. They have been particularly strong on the road, averaging 5.0 runs per game away from home, which is 6th in the league. Their batting average of .256 is 5th best in the MLB, and their .433 slugging percentage ranks 4th. They have a few hitters who have been performing well recently, including Connor Wong, who is hitting .375 over his last 6 games, and Tyler O’Neill, who has 4 home runs in his last 6 games. Trevor Story is currently on a 3-game hitting streak, while Wong is on a 4-game streak.
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Orioles Red Sox Pitching
Right-hander Dean Kremer is starting for the Orioles today as he faces the Red Sox on the road. He has made 21 starts this season and has a record of 7-9 with an ERA of 4.27. Kremer’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.27. In his last outing, Kremer picked up the win, going six innings and not giving up a run to the Rays. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight starts. Kremer has a total of eight quality starts this year and is averaging 8.54 strikeouts per nine innings.
Right-hander Nick Pivetta gets the start for the Red Sox today as he faces the Orioles at home. Pivetta has made 22 starts this season and has a record of 5-10 with an ERA of 4.38. So far, he has turned in nine quality starts and is averaging 10.73 strikeouts per nine innings. Pivetta’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.15. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, going six innings and giving up one earned run on six hits. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight outings.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Orioles head into the game having gone 5-5 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Orioles they are 6-4 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Red Sox are 3-7 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Red Sox have a 4-6 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Orioles are 1-2 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 1-2 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Red Sox have a record of 1-2 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 1-2 in their last three games.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
Our predicted score for this game is 8-6 in favor of the Orioles, and with the Orioles at +104 on the money line, we see this as a great value pick. In terms of the over/under, with the line sitting at 9 runs, we would take the over, but we see the Orioles’ money line as a much better bet.
Looking at some of today’s starters, we have Nick Pivetta finishing with six strikeouts compared to Dean Kremer with five. However, we have Pivetta going just five innings compared to Kremer, who we have going 5.2 innings.
Tough sleddin’ for the Bo Sox tonight.
Today’s MLB Free Pick
MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
— Red Sox (@RedSox) September 10, 2024
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