Free MLB Pick: Braves vs. Padres Odds
Looking for Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Braves taking on the Padres on Thursday, March 27th, 2024 at PETCO Park, in San Diego, CA. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Braves Padres free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – Atlanta Braves vs San Diego Padres
(0-0) Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres (0-0)
Date: Thursday, March 27th
Time: 4:10 ET
Venue: PETCO Park San Diego, CA
Projected Starting Pitchers: Chris Sale vs. Michael King
MLB Moneyline Odds: Braves -125 | Padres +107 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Braves -1.5 | Padres +1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 6.5
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Braves vs. Padres Gameday
The over/under line for Thursday’s Braves vs. Padres matchup is currently at 6.5 runs, with the under paying out at +101 compared to -123 for the over. First pitch from PETCO Park is set for 4:10 PM ET, and the Braves are favored on the money line (-125).
Chris Sale is slated to start for the Braves, while the Padres are going with Michael King. This NL matchup can be seen on MLB Network, and the Braves have the better record of 4-2 compared to the Padres at 3-3.
Braves
The Braves are coming off a season where they made it to the Wild Card round but were swept by the Padres. Overall, Atlanta finished with a record of 89-73, which was good for 3rd place in the NL East and 7th in the National League.
When it comes to series records, the Braves went 30-17-7 last season. This included a mark of 17-8-2 in home series and 13-9-5 on the road. Atlanta’s overall road record was 43-38 compared to 46-35 at home.
In night games, the Braves went 59-48 last season, and they’ll be the favorite today with a money line of -125. As the underdog last season, Atlanta went 89-73 straight up.
Atlanta had an average scoring margin of +0.6 runs per game last season. They finished with a run line record of 89-73, going 46-35 at home and 43-38 on the road vs. the run line. In games they covered the run line, their average scoring margin was +3.8 runs per game compared to -3.2 runs per game in games they did not cover the run line. They were the underdog in all 162 games last season, going 89-73 vs. the run line as the underdog.
Atlanta’s over/under record last season was 59-97, and their games averaged a combined 8.4 runs per contest. In fact, 99.4% of their games had higher over/under lines than today’s 6.5, and their games averaged a combined 8.1 runs per game last year. In games with over/under lines of 6.5, the over/under record was 0-1. Last season, 59.3% of their games finished with more runs than 6.5.
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Braves Stats
The Braves were one of the best power-hitting teams in the league last season, ranking 4th in home runs (213) and 5th in isolated power (.172). Overall, they averaged 4.3 runs per game, which was 15th in the league. On the road, they were actually a better offensive team, averaging 4.7 runs per game compared to 3.9 at home.
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San Diego Padres
The Padres will be looking to build on last season’s success, where they finished with a record of 93-69. San Diego’s season came to an end in the NLDS, losing to the Dodgers 3-2.
When playing as the underdog, the Padres went 93-69 last season. In the NL, they finished in 4th place and 2nd in the NL West. In their division, San Diego had a record of 27-25.
San Diego had an average scoring margin of +0.6 runs per game last season and finished with a run line record of 93-69. At home, they were 45-36 vs. the run line compared to 48-33 on the road. In games they covered the run line, their average scoring margin was +3.6 runs per game compared to -3.5 runs per game in games they did not cover the run line. Overall, they were the underdog in all 162 games last season.
San Diego’s over/under record last season was 82-76, and their games averaged a combined 8.8 runs per game. Today’s over/under line of 6.5 is lower than 99.4% of their games last year, and in those contests, the over/under record was 0-1. Overall, 70.4% of their games finished with more than 6.5 runs.
Padres Stats
San Diego’s offense was one of the best in the league last season, leading the MLB with a .263 batting average. Overall, they averaged 4.7 runs per game (8th) and were 10th in home runs with 190. On the road, they hit .267 (1st) compared to .246 at home. In terms of strikeouts, the Padres were the best in the league and were 5th in OPS and WOBA.
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Chris Sale is coming off a season in which he went 18-3 with an ERA of 2.38. Last season, he made two appearances against the Padres and went 2-0 with an ERA of 0.45. Overall, Sale made 29 starts and had 18 quality starts. His WHIP for the season was 1.01, and he gave up a total of nine home runs. Sale’s strikeout-to-walk ratio for the season was 5.8, and he averaged 11.4 strikeouts per nine innings.
Michael King had a strong season for the Padres in 2021, making 30 starts and finishing with a record of 13-9. His ERA for the season was 2.95, and he had a WHIP of 1.19. King’s batting average allowed was .220, and his on-base percentage allowed was .294. He finished the season with 14 quality starts and allowed a total of 17 home runs. For the season, King averaged 10.42 strikeouts per nine innings and 3.26 walks per nine innings.
Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Braves head into the game having gone 5-5 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Braves they are 5-5 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Padres are 5-5 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Padres have a 5-5 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Braves are 1-2 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 0-3 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Padres have a record of 2-1 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 1-2 in their last three games.
Braves vs. Padres Prediction: Braves ML -125
Our prediction for the Braves vs. Padres matchup is to take the Braves on the money line, with the payout being -125. We have the Braves winning this one by a score of 5-3, giving you a little wiggle room if you want to take the Braves on the run line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Chris Sale going seven innings and finishing with seven strikeouts. As for Michael King, we have him going six innings and finishing with seven strikeouts.
