Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres 10/2/2024 Free Pick & MLB Betting Prediction




Free MLB Pick: Braves vs. Padres Odds

Looking for Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Braves taking on the Padres on Wednesday, October 2nd, 2024 at PETCO Park, in San Diego, CA. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Braves Padres free pick.

2024 MLB Handicapping – Atlanta Braves vs San Diego Padres

(89-73) Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres (93-69)
Date: Wednesday, October 2nd
Time: 8:38 ET
Venue: PETCO Park San Diego, CA
Projected Starting Pitchers: Max Fried vs. Joe Musgrove
MLB Moneyline Odds: Braves +104 | Padres -123 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Braves +1.5 | Padres -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 6.5

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Braves vs. Padres Gameday

At 8:38 PM ET in San Diego, the Padres are set to host the Braves in this NL matchup. The weather forecast is calling for clear skies and a temperature of 78 degrees at PETCO Park.

Joe Musgrove will be on the mound for the Padres, while the Braves will counter with Max Fried. The Padres are currently listed as the favorites with a money line payout of -123 compared to the Braves at +104.

San Diego cruised to a 4-0 win over the Braves in the most recent game of this series. The Padres had a two-run 1st inning and added their final two runs in the 8th. Heading into the game, they were favored at -196 on the money line.

Michael King pitched well for the Padres in this one, going seven innings and striking out 12 without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while AJ Smith-Shawver only went 1 1/3 innings and took the loss for Atlanta.

Fernando Tatis Jr. and Kyle Higashioka each homered for the Padres. Tatis, Jake Cronenworth, and Wil Myers each scored two runs for San Diego’s offense.

With the Padres leading the series 1-0, the Braves will be looking to even things up today. If they can’t, their season will come to an end. Currently, the Braves are 3rd in the NL East, six games behind the Phillies for the division lead. Overall, the Braves are 89-73 heading into today’s game.

At home, the Braves have gone 46-35 this season, and they are just above .500 at 43-38 on the road. The Braves have dropped three straight games as the underdog, and their overall record as the underdog is 13-19. As the favorite, the Braves are 76-55 this year. Their overall series record is 29-17-8, and they have won two straight series on the road.

The Braves and Padres meet in Game 2 of their series, with San Diego leading 1-0. The O/U line for today’s game is set at 6.5 runs, which is lower than the combined run average of 8.1 runs per game for these two teams. The under has hit in two straight games for the Braves, who have an O/U record of 59-98 on the season.

Braves Gambling

Atlanta is 77-86 against the run line this season, including a 43-39 mark on the road. The Braves have been favored in 131 games this season, and they are 59-72 against the run line in those contests. They have been the underdog in 32 games and are 18-14 against the run line in those contests.

Braves Stats

The Atlanta Braves have been an average offensive team this season, scoring 4.3 runs per game, which ranks 15th in the league. Their home offense has been a bit weaker, averaging 3.9 runs per game, which is 23rd in the league. However, they have hit a total of 213 home runs this season, which is 4th in the league. Their top hitters for the season have been Marcell Ozuna and Matt Olson. Ozuna is hitting .302 with 39 home runs and 104 RBI this season. In terms of recent performances, Ozzie Albies is on a 3-game hitting streak, while Matt Olson has a 5-game hitting streak.

San Diego leads the series vs. the Braves 1-0 and will be looking to close it out today at home. The Padres’ overall record is 93-69 heading into today’s game. They are 5.0 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West.

At home, the Padres are 45-36 this season and have been really good on the road at 48-33. So far, they have been good as the favorite, going 61-43 and 33-26 as the underdog. San Diego’s overall series record is 32-15-6 this year.

The San Diego Padres lead the series 1-0 heading into game 2 against the Atlanta Braves, with the Padres looking to close out the series at home. The over/under line for today’s game is set at 6.5 runs, which is lower than their combined run average of 8.8 runs per game this season. Overall, the over/under record for the Padres this season is 82-77, with the average line set at 8 runs per game.

Padres Gambling

San Diego is 34-48 against the run line at home this season, but they are 51-30 against the run line on the road. The Padres have won three straight games against the run line at home, and they are 41-18 against the run line as an underdog this season. Their average run differential in winning games is +3.6, while their average run differential in losing games is -3.5.

Padres Stats

The San Diego Padres have been one of the top offensive teams in the league this season, leading the MLB in batting average at .263. Their runs per game on the road are 5.0, which is 7th in the league. Their home runs total of 190 is 10th in the league. The Padres have been led by Manny Machado, who has 29 home runs and 105 RBI this season. Jackson Merrill has been a key contributor as well, hitting .292 with 24 home runs and 90 RBI. Kyle Higashioka is currently on a 4-game hitting streak.

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Braves Padres Pitching

Max Fried will be looking to build off his last outing, where he came one out away from a complete game shutout. Against the Royals on September 27th, Fried went 8 2/3 innings, giving up no runs on three hits. He finished the outing with nine strikeouts. Fried has made 29 starts this season and has a record of 11-10 with a 3.25 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Fried has a WHIP of 1.16 and has issued just 2.94 walks per nine innings compared to 8.57 strikeouts. This year, he has two complete games and one shutout.

Joe Musgrove gets the start for the Padres today and will be looking to build off his last outing, where he finished with a no-decision. Against the Dodgers, he went 6 1/3 innings, giving up two earned runs, and one homer. Looking back further, Musgrove has made 19 starts and has a record of 6-5, along with an ERA of 3.88. Opponents have a batting average of .246 off Musgrove this season. One of his 10 quality starts came in his most recent outing. Musgrove has a BB/9 figure of 2.08 compared to 9.12 strikeouts per nine innings.

Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres MLB Baseball Betting Trends

• The Braves head into the game having gone 5-5 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
• The Braves they are 5-5 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
• Conversely, the Padres are 6-4 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
• Furthermore, the Padres have a 6-4 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
• Also, the Braves are 1-2 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 0-3 as the underdog (last 3).
• The Padres have a record of 2-1 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 2-1 in their last three games.

Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:

Our prediction for this Braves vs. Padres matchup is to take the Padres on the money line at -123. We have the Padres winning this one by a score of 5-2.

Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Joe Musgrove finishing with more strikeouts than Max Fried, and we also have him finishing with fewer earned runs.

If you’re looking for a parlay, you could also look to the over/under, as the line is sitting at 6.5 runs. However, we see this one finishing with a combined seven runs, so we’re sticking with the Padres to pick up the win.

Today’s MLB Free Pick

MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day

Once a King, always a King. pic.twitter.com/41MJjVnjqJ

— San Diego Padres (@Padres) October 2, 2024

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About Brent Matousek

Brent is a Cappers Picks regular contributor since 2014. He was not new to betting back then, and he's even better now! Gambling since the first day he turned 18.

Filed Under: MLB Baseball